- The Mariners are -125 favorites vs the Brewers
- Brewers vs Mariners Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Brewers / Mariners TV Channel: RTNW | FDWI | MLBN
The Milwaukee Brewers (+105) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-125) on Tuesday, July 22, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle, WA.
This season, the Brewers are 60-40 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 42-56 ATS.
Brewers vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Brewers starting pitcher: Jacob Misiorowski 4-1, 2.81 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert 2-3, 3.42 ERA
Brewers vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | +1.5 -235 | O 7 -125 | +105 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +180 | U 7 +105 | -125 |
Brewers vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 53.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+12.55 Units / 45% ROI)
- Isaac Collins has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 away games (+11.90 Units / 149% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.10 Units / 60% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+10.05 Units / 37% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+9.75 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 games at home (+19.10 Units / 191% ROI)
- Logan Gilbert has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+14.95 Units / 53% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.20 Units / 28% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+11.00 Units / 51% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+9.75 Units / 38% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 54 games (+23.85 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 48 of their last 96 games (+21.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 58 of their last 96 games (+15.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 38 away games (+14.35 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 54 of their last 93 games (+12.34 Units / 11% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 52 of their last 88 games (+15.80 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 32 games at home (+7.05 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+6.35 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 33 games (+6.05 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 22 games (+3.10 Units / 12% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 54-44 against the Run Line (+3.4 Units / 2.49% ROI).
- 60-40 when betting on the Moneyline for +18.5 Units / 14.64% ROI
- 42-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -19 Units / -17.17% ROI
- 55-42 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.9 Units / 8.13% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 42-56 against the Run Line (-14.65 Units / -12.07% ROI).
- 53-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.05 Units / -3.09% ROI
- 55-40 when betting on the total runs Over for +11.1 Units / 10.13% ROI
- 40-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -20.62 Units / -18.67% ROI
Mariners vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -295 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Mariners vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Brice Turang (MIL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Andrew Vaughn (MIL) | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
Mariners vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Andrew Vaughn (MIL) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Mariners vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Logan Gilbert (SEA) | 6.5 -140 | 6.5 +110 |
| Jacob Misiorowski (MIL) | 6.5 +120 | 6.5 -155 |
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jacob Misiorowski has thrown 107 fastballs at 100+ MPH this season — 10th most among pitchers in MLB — 90th Percentile.
Jacob Misiorowski has a strikeout rate of 33% (14 SO in 42 PAs) this month (2 games) — tied for 8th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 21% — 95th Percentile.
Jacob Misiorowski has thrown 58% of his pitches in the strike zone (94/163) this month (2 games) — 9th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 51% — 94th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 53% of Jacob Misiorowski’s pitches (87/163) this month (2 games) — 10th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 93rd Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Logan Gilbert has allowed an OBP of just .183 (405 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 — 100th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has allowed an OPS of just .451 (405 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .668 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .156 (61-for-391) against Logan Gilbert when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 — 100th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert allowed an OPS of just .412 (297 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .670 — 100th Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Brewers are 17-5 (.773) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .635.
The Brewers are 3-36 (.077) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .043.
The Brewers are 22-3 (.880) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
The Brewers are 37-22 (.627) after a win this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .506.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Mariners are 20-13 (.606) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season They play the Brewers (Ranks fifth runs allowed) today.
The Mariners are 4-39 (.093) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .043.
The Mariners are 16-94 (.145) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .097.
The Mariners are 6-38 (.136) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .092.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have struck out in just 12% of their PA’s against LHP over the last 14 days — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Brewers hitters have struck out in just 14% of their PA’s against LHP this month (14 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Brewers hitters have 88 extra-base hits out of 314 total hits (just 28%) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Brewers hitters have 33 extra-base hits out of 132 total hits (just 25%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters have an OBP of .346 (2,071 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .310.
The Mariners are batting just .222 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .260.
The Mariners are batting just .224 against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
The Mariners batted just .207 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 56% of the time since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 57% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 52% with two-strikes over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .267 (2,348 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .309.
Mariners pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 7% of batters since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers walked 76 of 1,441 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
More MLB Reading:
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