- The Mariners are -135 favorites vs the Brewers
- Brewers vs Mariners Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Brewers / Mariners TV Channel: RTNW | FDWI
The Milwaukee Brewers (+110) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-135) on Wednesday, July 23, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 3:40pm EDT in Seattle, WA, WA.
This season, the Brewers are 60-41 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 42-57 ATS.
Brewers vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Brewers starting pitcher: Quinn Priester 8-2, 3.32 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Luis Castillo 0-0, 7.05 ERA
Brewers vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | +1.5 -210 | O 7.5 -120 | +110 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +170 | U 7.5 +100 | -135 |
Brewers vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 55.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Andrew Vaughn has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 away games (+14.60 Units / 37% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+12.55 Units / 45% ROI)
- Andrew Vaughn has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+11.00 Units / 24% ROI)
- Isaac Collins has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 away games (+10.90 Units / 121% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.00 Units / 42% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Cole Young has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 games (+17.50 Units / 219% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+11.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Cal Raleigh has hit the Walks Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+10.25 Units / 40% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 games at home (+8.95 Units / 40% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+7.75 Units / 31% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 55 games (+22.85 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 48 of their last 97 games (+21.60 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 59 of their last 97 games (+16.00 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 39 away games (+15.35 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 55 of their last 97 games (+12.25 Units / 12% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 52 of their last 89 games (+14.60 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 33 games at home (+8.05 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 34 games (+7.05 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+6.35 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 23 games (+4.10 Units / 15% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 55-44 against the Run Line (+4.4 Units / 3.18% ROI).
- 60-41 when betting on the Moneyline for +17.5 Units / 13.74% ROI
- 42-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.2 Units / -18.06% ROI
- 56-42 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.9 Units / 8.96% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 42-57 against the Run Line (-15.65 Units / -12.79% ROI).
- 54-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.05 Units / -2.31% ROI
- 55-41 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.9 Units / 8.93% ROI
- 41-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.62 Units / -17.6% ROI
Mariners vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -325 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Mitch Garver (SEA) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Mariners vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Brice Turang (MIL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| J.P. Crawford (SEA) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
Mariners vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Andrew Vaughn (MIL) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -285 |
Mariners vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Quinn Priester (MIL) | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
| Luis Castillo (SEA) | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -120 |
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 15% (23/157) against Quinn Priester this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 13% (15/113) against Quinn Priester’s non-fastballs this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 17% (40/241) against Quinn Priester since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 104 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 11% (5/46) against Quinn Priester when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Castillo has thrown fastballs 69% of the time (1,728/2,513) against right-handed batters since last season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .053 (2-for-38) against Luis Castillo this month (3 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — 100th Percentile.
Luis Castillo has thrown fastballs 65% of the time (283/437) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 45% — 96th Percentile.
Luis Castillo has allowed an OPS of just .195 (42 PA’s) against right-handed batters this month (3 games) — best among among AL Starters; League Avg: .689 — 100th Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Brewers are 3-37 (.075) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .042.
The Brewers are 153-110 (.582) since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Brewers are 11-1 (.917) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .799.
The Brewers are 26-5 (.839) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .744.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Mariners are 21-13 (.618) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season They play the Brewers (Ranks fifth runs allowed) today.
The Mariners are 6-38 (.136) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .092.
The Mariners are 13-6 (.684) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Mariners are 40-2 (.952) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .907.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have struck out in just 12% of their PA’s against LHP over the last 14 days — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Brewers hitters have 33 extra-base hits out of 132 total hits (just 25%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Brewers hitters are slugging just .468 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .581.
Brewers hitters have struck out in just 15% of their PA’s against LHP this month (15 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters have an OBP of .346 (2,071 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .310.
The Mariners are batting just .222 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .260.
The Mariners batted just .207 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Mariners batted just .213 against LHP in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 56% of the time since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 57% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 63% of the time this month (17 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. this month (17 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 53% of the time since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers walked 76 of 1,441 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 7% of batters since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers walked 369 of 5,801 batters (6%) in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers allowed an OBP of just .251 (1,441 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .305.
More MLB Reading:
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