Brewers vs Marlins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 19

Miami Marlins second baseman Otto Lopez (61) throws to first base for an out during the eight inning of a baseball game against the Los Angeles Dodgers, Tuesday, Sept. 17, 2024, in Miami.
(AP Photo/Marta Lavandier)
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  • The Brewers are -120 favorites vs the Marlins
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The Milwaukee Brewers (-120) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+100) on April 19, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40 pm in Miami, FL.

This season, the Brewers are 12-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 7-14 ATS.

Brewers vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Brewers starting pitcher: Jacob Misiorowski 1-1, 3.33 ERA
  • Marlins starting pitcher: Eury Perez 1-1, 5.40 ERA

Brewers vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Brewers-1.5 +140O 8 -115-120
Marlins +1.5 -170U 8 -105+100

Brewers vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Gary Sanchez has hit the Walks Over in his last 9 games (+15.55 Units / 173% ROI)
  • Brice Turang has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 away games (+11.95 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Brice Turang has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games (+11.90 Units / 198% ROI)
  • Sal Frelick has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.00 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Luis Rengifo has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.00 Units / 56% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Liam Hicks has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games at home (+23.00 Units / 288% ROI)
  • Jakob Marsee has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+15.40 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Otto Lopez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.20 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Jakob Marsee has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.25 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Liam Hicks has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.15 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 50 away games (+9.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 21 away games (+8.00 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 50 away games (+7.20 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+6.10 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 50 away games (+5.80 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games (+10.35 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+9.70 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 50 games (+6.95 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 40 games (+6.10 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+2.05 Units / 25% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 13-7 against the Run Line (+8.35 Units / 35.08% ROI).

  • 12-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.3 Units / 1.09% ROI
  • 11-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.9 Units / 4.04% ROI
  • 9-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.95 Units / -13.56% ROI

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 7-14 against the Run Line (-9.1 Units / -33.83% ROI).

  • 9-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.9 Units / -10.84% ROI
  • 13-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.45 Units / 27.86% ROI
  • 6-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.2 Units / -35.57% ROI

Marlins vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Jake Bauers +525
William Contreras +525
Agustin Ramirez +725
Brice Turang +775
Garrett Mitchell +775

Marlins vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Sal Frelick 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Otto Lopez 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Brice Turang 0.5 -185 0.5 +135
Luis Rengifo 0.5 -175 0.5 +130
Jakob Marsee 0.5 -160 0.5 +120

Marlins vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Agustin Ramirez 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Heriberto Hernandez 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Brandon Lockridge 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
William Contreras 0.5 -165 0.5 +125
Xavier Edwards 0.5 -140 0.5 +105

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Brewers are 2-4 (.333) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .105.

The Brewers are 81-9 (.900) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .793.

The Brewers are just 7-4 (.636) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .871.

The Brewers are 2-4 (.333) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .129.

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Marlins were 65-1 (.985) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .956.

The Marlins are just 1-10 (.091) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .238.

The Marlins are 6-85 (.066) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .043.

The Marlins are 15-76 (.165) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .125.

Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against RHP since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

The Brewers batted .268 against LHP in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Brewers hitters have an OBP of .361 (536 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB.

The Brewers batted .255 with two outs in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Marlins hitters are slugging just .354 against LHP since the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .647 (4,064 PA’s) against LHP since the 2024 season — lowest in MLB.

The Marlins are batting just .164 on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — lowest in MLB.

Marlins hitters put 40% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have picked-off 7 runners from first base this season — most in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have picked-off 8 runners this season — most in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.62 (1620.2 IP) since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers had an ERA of 3.87 (703.0 IP) on the road in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have walked 12% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Marlins pitchers this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

Marlins pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes in the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 5.07 (776.1 IP) on the road since the 2025 season — 3rd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.