- The Brewers are -145 favorites vs the Marlins
- Brewers vs Marlins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Brewers / Marlins TV Channel: FDFL | FDWI
The Milwaukee Brewers (-145) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+120) on Saturday, July 5, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Miami, FL, FL.
This season, the Brewers are 49-39 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 51-35 ATS.
Brewers vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Brewers starting pitcher: Chad Patrick 3-7, 3.54 ERA
- Marlins starting pitcher: Cal Quantrill 3-7, 5.38 ERA
Brewers vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | -1.5 +115 | O 8.5 -110 | -145 |
| Marlins | +1.5 -135 | U 8.5 -110 | +120 |
Brewers vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 57.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Chad Patrick has hit the Strikeouts Over in his last 8 games (+8.55 Units / 88% ROI)
- Chad Patrick has hit the Hits Allowed Over in his last 4 away games (+4.25 Units / 91% ROI)
- Chad Patrick has hit the Pitching Outs Under in his last 4 games (+4.20 Units / 79% ROI)
- Chad Patrick has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.70 Units / 69% ROI)
- Chad Patrick has hit the Earned Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+2.10 Units / 43% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Cal Quantrill has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+5.50 Units / 45% ROI)
- Cal Quantrill has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 7 of his last 10 games (+4.15 Units / 37% ROI)
- Cal Quantrill has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+3.70 Units / 42% ROI)
- Cal Quantrill has hit the Strikeouts Under in 7 of his last 10 games at home (+3.00 Units / 23% ROI)
- Cal Quantrill has hit the Earned Runs Over in 12 of his last 20 games (+2.35 Units / 9% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
Marlins Best Bets Today:
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 44-42 against the Run Line (-3.8 Units / -3.19% ROI).
- 49-39 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.15 Units / 5.69% ROI
- 36-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.45 Units / -20.18% ROI
- 49-36 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.6 Units / 11.15% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 51-35 against the Run Line (+9.35 Units / 8.48% ROI).
- 39-47 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.15 Units / 5.72% ROI
- 43-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.15 Units / -6.51% ROI
- 43-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.15 Units / -3.4% ROI
Marlins vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Stowers (MIA) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jesus Sanchez (MIA) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Agustin Ramirez (MIA) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
Marlins vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Sal Frelick (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Brice Turang (MIL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Agustin Ramirez (MIA) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Jesus Sanchez (MIA) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Marlins vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Agustin Ramirez (MIA) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Brice Turang (MIL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Marlins vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Quantrill (MIA) | 3.5 +105 | 3.5 -140 |
| Chad Patrick (MIL) | 5.5 +140 | 5.5 -185 |
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 31% (78/255) against Chad Patrick this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .148 (12-for-81) against Chad Patrick with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 98th Percentile.
Chad Patrick has allowed a BABIP of .383 vs left-handed batters this season — tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .280 — third Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 24% (28/116) against Chad Patrick this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cal Quantrill has allowed an OPS of 1.031 (161 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: .694 — 0 Percentile.
Cal Quantrill has allowed a slugging percentage of .633 (95 Total Bases / 150 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: .391 — 0 Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 35% (45/130) against Cal Quantrill this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .360 (54-for-150) against Cal Quantrill this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: .243 — 0 Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Brewers are 16-5 (.762) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .633.
The Brewers are 68-57 (.544) on the road since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .469.
The Brewers are 19-8 (.704) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Brewers are 18-3 (.857) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .714.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Marlins are just 71-14 (.835) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .902.
The Marlins are just 49-77 (.389) at home since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .530.
The Marlins are 7-35 (.167) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .091.
The Marlins were just 39-14 (.736) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have 28 extra-base hits out of 111 total hits (just 25%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Brewers hitters are slugging just .465 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .580.
Brewers hitters are slugging just .353 at home this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Brewers hitters have 83 extra-base hits out of 293 total hits (just 28%) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .649 (2,889 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Marlins hitters are slugging just .355 against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .392.
Marlins hitters pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Marlins hitters have an OBP of .353 (415 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .323.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 55% of the time since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 40% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Brewers pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 57% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
The Marlins have allowed 5.68 runs per game (233/41) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.
The Marlins allowed 6.04 runs per game (489/81) at home in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.41.
Marlins pitchers have walked 4% of batters over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 5.38 (356.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.25.
More MLB Reading:
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