- The Brewers are -120 favorites vs the Marlins
- Brewers vs Marlins Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Brewers / Marlins TV Channel: FDFL | FDWI | WBFS
The Milwaukee Brewers (-115) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-105) on Sunday, July 6, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Miami, FL, FL.
This season, the Brewers are 49-40 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 52-35 ATS.
Brewers vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Brewers starting pitcher: Brandon Woodruff 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Marlins starting pitcher: Edward Cabrera 3-2, 3.43 ERA
Brewers vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | -1.5 +145 | O 8 -110 | -115 |
| Marlins | +1.5 -180 | U 8 -110 | -105 |
Brewers vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Joseph Ortiz has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+25.00 Units / 250% ROI)
- Caleb Durbin has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.90 Units / 51% ROI)
- Caleb Durbin has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 10 games (+10.45 Units / 66% ROI)
- Isaac Collins has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+10.15 Units / 59% ROI)
- Caleb Durbin has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 59% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Otto Lopez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+22.50 Units / 281% ROI)
- Kyle Stowers has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+14.65 Units / 98% ROI)
- Agustin Ramirez has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 games at home (+14.20 Units / 61% ROI)
- Otto Lopez has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+12.40 Units / 29% ROI)
- Kyle Stowers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.50 Units / 59% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 40 of their last 85 games (+13.85 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 49 of their last 85 games (+12.90 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 43 games (+11.10 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 42 away games (+10.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 33 away games (+8.75 Units / 18% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 44 of their last 68 games (+16.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 23 games (+14.65 Units / 63% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 32 games at home (+13.40 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 47 games (+8.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 46 games at home (+8.05 Units / 15% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 44-43 against the Run Line (-5.8 Units / -4.79% ROI).
- 49-40 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.75 Units / 5.19% ROI
- 36-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.55 Units / -19.82% ROI
- 50-36 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.55 Units / 10.85% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 52-35 against the Run Line (+11.35 Units / 10.04% ROI).
- 40-47 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.35 Units / 5.81% ROI
- 43-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.25 Units / -6.47% ROI
- 44-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.2 Units / -3.38% ROI
Marlins vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Stowers (MIA) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jesus Sanchez (MIA) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Agustin Ramirez (MIA) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Connor Norby (MIA) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
Marlins vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Agustin Ramirez (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Sal Frelick (MIL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Marlins vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Agustin Ramirez (MIA) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Otto Lopez (MIA) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jesus Sanchez (MIA) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Marlins vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Woodruff (MIL) | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 +100 |
| Edward Cabrera (MIA) | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -135 |
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brandon Woodruff allowed a BABIP of .204 in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .295 — 99th Percentile.
Opponents batted just .079 (5-for-63) against Brandon Woodruff’s elevated fastballs in 2023 — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .229 — 100th Percentile.
Brandon Woodruff allowed a slugging percentage of just .127 (8 Total Bases / 63 ABs) on elevated fastballs in 2023 — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .404 — 100th Percentile.
Brandon Woodruff allowed an OPS of just .551 (253 PA’s) in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .736 — 99th Percentile.
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a chase percentage of 43% (58/136) against Edward Cabrera with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .128 (5-for-39) against Edward Cabrera in his last two starts — 2nd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .243 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 59% (17/29) against Edward Cabrera in his last two starts — 5th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 41% — 94th Percentile.
The last hit on a Edward Cabrera curveball was May 31st. Hitters are 0 for their last 22 in ABs ending on his curveball. — Shane Baz has the longest active streak at 24.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Brewers are just 4-7 (.364) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Brewers are 16-5 (.762) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .633.
The Brewers are 68-58 (.540) on the road since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .469.
The Brewers are 115-8 (.935) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .902.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Marlins are just 71-14 (.835) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .902.
The Marlins were just 39-14 (.736) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Marlins are just 20-26 (.435) at home this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .547.
The Marlins are 9-35 (.205) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .128.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have 28 extra-base hits out of 112 total hits (just 25%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Brewers hitters have struck out in just 15% of their PA’s against LHP over the last 14 days — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 46% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Brewers hitters have 83 extra-base hits out of 294 total hits (just 28%) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Marlins batted .281 against LHP in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Marlins hitters have chased 32% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Marlins hitters chased 34% of pitches out of the zone against LHP in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .647 (2,899 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 56% of the time since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 57% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 39% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 5.38 (356.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.25.
Marlins pitchers have walked 4% of batters over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The longest HR allowed by the Marlins pitchers in the 2024 season traveled 518.2 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 470.4
Batters facing the Marlins pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 43% of the time over the last 14 days — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%. over the last 14 days — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
More MLB Reading:
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