Brewers vs Mets Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 25

New York Mets catcher Francisco Alvarez hits a double against the Detroit Tigers during the third inning of the first game of a baseball doubleheader, Thursday, April 4, 2024, in New York. New York Mets catcher Francisco Alvarez hits a double against the Detroit Tigers during the third inning of the first game of a baseball doubleheader, Thursday, April 4, 2024, in New York.
(AP Photo/Noah K. Murray)
Sportsbook Promos
  • The Brewers are -165 favorites vs the Mets
  • Brewers vs Mets Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Brewers / Mets TV Channel: BRTV | SNY

The Milwaukee Brewers (-165) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (+140) on August 25, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in Flushing, Queens, NY.

This season, the Brewers are 81-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 58-71 ATS.

Brewers vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Brewers starting pitcher: Kyle Harrison 10-3, 2.86 ERA
  • Mets starting pitcher: Zach Thornton 3-4, 3.08 ERA

Brewers vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Brewers-1.5 +110O 7.5 -110-165
Mets +1.5 -135U 7.5 -110+140

Brewers vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 63.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jake Bauers has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+14.70 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Jake Bauers has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+14.05 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+13.00 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Jake Bauers has hit the Walks Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+12.50 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Jake Bauers has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.30 Units / 32% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Luis Torrens has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+23.50 Units / 392% ROI)
  • Christopher Morel has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+15.00 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Carson Benge has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+11.55 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 20 games (+11.20 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Carson Benge has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.05 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games (+12.30 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+9.05 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 19 games (+8.75 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.80 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 away games (+4.95 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games (+15.50 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 18 games at home (+10.85 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 19 games at home (+9.25 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+7.00 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+6.00 Units / 29% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 68-63 against the Run Line (+14.45 Units / 9.6% ROI).

  • 81-50 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.75 Units / 6.66% ROI
  • 56-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -22.8 Units / -15.84% ROI
  • 72-56 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.6 Units / 7.34% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 58-71 against the Run Line (-15.1 Units / -9.26% ROI).

  • 59-72 when betting on the Moneyline for -27.4 Units / -16.96% ROI
  • 58-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.2 Units / -8.4% ROI
  • 63-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -1 Units / -0.7% ROI

Mets vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Francisco Lindor +350
Gary Sanchez +360
Jackson Chourio +375
Jake Bauers +400
Luis Robert +400

Mets vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
William Contreras 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Bo Bichette 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Andrew Vaughn 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Francisco Lindor 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Brice Turang 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Mets vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
A.J. Ewing 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Jackson Chourio 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Marcus Semien 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Gary Sanchez 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Bo Bichette 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Brewers are 10-40 (.200) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB.

The Brewers are 12-37 (.245) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB.

The Brewers are 17-14 (.548) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Brewers are 13-2 (.867) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Mets are just 46-32 (.590) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB.

The Mets are 28-8 (.778) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Mets are 40-5 (.889) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

The Mets are just 19-67 (.221) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

The Brewers are batting .392 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB.

Brewers hitters have an OBP of .342 (3,597 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB.

Brewers hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,512 of their 5,076 plate appearances (30%) this season — highest in MLB.

The Brewers are batting .288 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.

Mets hitters have 35 extra-base hits out of 131 total hits (just 27%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OBP of just .307 (3,524 PA’s) against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters are slugging just .534 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

The Mets are batting .252 on changeups this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Brewers have won 58% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% in the first 5 innings this season — best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 31% of their games this season — lowest in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 66% of their games at home this season — tied for highest in MLB.

The longest HR allowed by the Mets pitchers this season traveled 451.0 feet — — 4th longest in MLB

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .234 against Mets pitchers this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.