• The Brewers are -225 favorites vs the Mets
• Brewers vs Mets Over / Under today: 7 Runs
• Brewers / Mets TV Channel: BRTV | SNY

The Milwaukee Brewers (-225) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (+185) on August 27, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in Flushing, Queens, NY.

This season, the Brewers are 82-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 59-72 ATS.

Brewers vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:

• Brewers starting pitcher: Jacob Misiorowski 13-5, 1.67 ERA
• Mets starting pitcher: Sean Manaea 4-5, 4.34 ERA

Brewers vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Brewers vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 61.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jacob Misiorowski has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.20 Units / 40% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+10.60 Units / 46% ROI)
• Joey Ortiz has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 games (+10.50 Units / 117% ROI)
• Andrew Vaughn has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+9.50 Units / 30% ROI)
• Garrett Mitchell has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games (+8.90 Units / 35% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Luis Robert Jr. has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+14.00 Units / 140% ROI)
• Carson Benge has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+12.30 Units / 25% ROI)
• Carson Benge has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+12.15 Units / 45% ROI)
• Marcus Semien has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+11.80 Units / 37% ROI)
• Bo Bichette has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 20 games (+11.20 Units / 56% ROI)

Brewers Best Bets Today:

• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games (+12.40 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 21 games (+9.75 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games (+7.05 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.65 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 35 away games (+4.90 Units / 12% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 30 games at home (+15.90 Units / 43% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 21 games at home (+11.25 Units / 47% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 20 games at home (+10.75 Units / 50% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+7.40 Units / 34% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 games (+5.00 Units / 22% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 69-64 against the Run Line (+14.6 Units / 9.57% ROI).

• 82-51 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.1 Units / 6.21% ROI
• 57-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -22.8 Units / -15.61% ROI
• 73-57 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.5 Units / 7.16% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 59-72 against the Run Line (-15.45 Units / -9.33% ROI).

• 60-73 when betting on the Moneyline for -27 Units / -16.51% ROI
• 59-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.2 Units / -8.28% ROI
• 64-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.1 Units / -0.76% ROI

Mets vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Brewers are 12-38 (.240) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB.

The Brewers are 13-2 (.867) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB.

The Brewers are 10-41 (.196) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB.

The Brewers are 17-14 (.548) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Mets are just 47-32 (.595) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB.

The Mets are just 6-11 (.353) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

The Mets are just 55-63 (.466) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

The Mets are 28-8 (.778) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends

The Brewers are batting .392 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB.

Brewers hitters have an OBP of .343 (3,642 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB.

Brewers hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,545 of their 5,160 plate appearances (30%) this season — highest in MLB.

Brewers hitters have drawn walks in 11% of their PA’s this season — tied for best in MLB.

Mets Hitting Stats & Trends

The Mets are batting just .237 this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB.

The Mets are just 47-32 (.595) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .664 (1,247 PA’s) on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .666 (1,564 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends

The Brewers have won 58% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% in the first 5 innings this season — best in MLB.

The Brewers have won 48% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB.

Mets Pitching Stats & Trends

The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 67% of their games at home this season — highest in MLB.

Mets pitchers have 224 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 3rd most in MLB.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Mets have won just 27% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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