Brewers vs Mets Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 14

min read
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 14, 2022, 11:24 AM
  • The (37-23) are favorites vs the (37-23)
  • Brewers starting pitcher: Adrian Houser (3-6), 3.92 ERA
  • Mets starting pitcher: Christopher Bassitt (4-4), 4.34 ERA
  • Watch the game on SNY

The Milwaukee Brewers () visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets () on Tuesday, June 14, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, Queens.

The are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at ().

The Brewers vs Mets Over/Under is total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Brewers are 34-28 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 37-25 ATS.

Brewers vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Brewers O
Mets U

Brewers vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 67.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Mets and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Mets vs Brewers and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Rowdy Tellez has hit the Runs Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Christian Yelich has hit the Singles Over in his last 6 games (+6.15 Units / 84% ROI)
  • Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+5.95 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Tyrone Taylor has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 6 away games (+5.30 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Willy Adames has hit the Singles Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 65% ROI)

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 19 games at home (+9.95 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 13 games at home (+8.20 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Brandon Nimmo has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 11 games (+7.35 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Eduardo Escobar has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+6.90 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Luis Guillorme has hit the Hits Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+6.80 Units / 53% ROI)

Mets vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Nimmo 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Eduardo Escobar 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Francisco Lindor 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
Jeff McNeil 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
Luis Guillorme 0.5 +1100 0.5

Mets vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Nimmo 1.5 +190 1.5 -275
Eduardo Escobar 0.5 -190 0.5 +135
Francisco Lindor 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
Luis Guillorme 0.5 -190 0.5 +135
Mark Canha 0.5 -200 0.5 +140

Mets vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Nimmo 0.5 +185 0.5 -275
Eduardo Escobar 0.5 +160 0.5 -250
Francisco Lindor 0.5 +125 0.5 -185
Jeff McNeil 0.5 +150 0.5 -225
Luis Guillorme 0.5 +240 0.5 -350

Mets vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Chris Bassitt 5.5 -140 5.5 -105
Adrian Houser 3.5 -105 3.5 -135
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 42 games (+6.20 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 24 of their last 42 games (+5.60 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 62 games (+13.65 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 62 games (+13.25 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 19 of their last 28 games (+10.40 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 36 of their last 62 games (+8.97 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 8 games at home (+8.20 Units / 59% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 25-37 against the Run Line (-13.25 Units / -18.33% ROI).

  • 34-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.55 Units / -6.71% ROI
  • 30-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.6 Units / -2.31% ROI
  • 29-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.95 Units / -4.37% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 37-25 against the Run Line (+13.65 Units / 18.26% ROI).

  • 40-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.25 Units / 15.25% ROI
  • 32-26 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.85 Units / 4.1% ROI
  • 26-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.5 Units / -12.68% ROI

Adrian Houser has thrown his off-speed pitches for a strike just 52% (186/355) of the time this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — first Percentile.

Adrian Houser has a strike rate of just 56% (136/241) with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .317 (13-for-41) against Adrian Houser’s elevated fastball this season — 10th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .230 — 15th Percentile.

Adrian Houser has struck out just 15% (20/134) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — eighth Percentile.

Christopher Bassitt: Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Gerrit Cole has allowed a .469 SLG vs right-handed batters (eighth worst)– 10th Percentile and just .278 vs left-handed batters this season (sixth best among qualified SPs)– 90th Percentile.

Opposing hitters have a miss rate of 45% (52/115) against Gerrit Cole when he’s behind in the count this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 40% (133/330) against Gerrit Cole in non-two strike counts this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 43% (38/89) against Gerrit Cole with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Brewers are 4-23 (.148) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .098.

The Brewers are 19-16 (.543) on the road this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .482.

The Brewers are just 3-13 (.188) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .277.

The Brewers are just 29-3 (.906) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .926.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Yankees are 26-7 (.788) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .518.

The Yankees are 29-1 (.967) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .794.

The Yankees are 18-3 (.857) when scoring in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .663.

The Yankees are 24-3 (.889) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .708.

The Brewers are batting just .226 against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Brewers hitters are slugging just .380 against LHP since the start of last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .409.

Brewers hitters are averaging 4.08 pitches per plate appearance this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

Brewers hitters are averaging 4.08 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

Yankees hitters are slugging .635 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .444.

The Yankees are batting .455 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game over the last 14 days (8 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .271.

Yankees hitters have drawn 83 walks in 749 PA’s (11%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Yankees hitters are slugging .446 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .393.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 33% in close and late situations since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Brewers pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Brewers pitchers since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Yankees pitchers have won 70% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Yankees pitchers have walked 144 of 2,192 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Yankees have won 55% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

Yankees pitchers have won 60% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Mets vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • John Curtiss (Mets): Elbow, D60
  • Jacob deGrom (Mets): Shoulder, D60
  • Travis Jankowski (Mets): Hand, D10
  • Joseph Lucchesi (Mets): Elbow, D60
  • James McCann (Mets): Hamate, D10
  • Colin Holderman (Mets): right shoulder, D15
  • Maxwell Scherzer (Mets): Oblique, D15
  • Trevor May (Mets): Triceps, D60
  • Sean Reid-Foley (Mets): Elbow, D60
  • Luis Perdomo (Brewers): Elbow, D15
  • Alex J Jackson (Brewers): Finger, D10
  • Trevor Gott (Brewers): Groin, D15
  • Jake O. Cousins (Brewers): Elbow, D60
  • Kolten Wong (Brewers): Calf, D10
  • Brandon Woodruff (Brewers): Ankle, D15
  • Jandel Gustave (Brewers): Hamstring, D15
  • Justin Topa (Brewers): Elbow, D60
  • Freddy Peralta (Brewers): Lat, D60
  • Michael Brosseau (Brewers): Ankle, D10

Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Mets vs Brewers and all MLB games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.