- The – (37-23) are favorites vs the – (37-23)
- Brewers starting pitcher: Adrian Houser (3-6), 3.92 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: Christopher Bassitt (4-4), 4.34 ERA
- Watch the game on SNY
The Milwaukee Brewers () visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets () on Tuesday, June 14, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, Queens.
The – are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at ().
The Brewers vs Mets Over/Under is total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Brewers are 34-28 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 37-25 ATS.
Brewers vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | O | ||
| Mets | U |
Brewers vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 67.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Mets and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Runs Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 51% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Singles Over in his last 6 games (+6.15 Units / 84% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+5.95 Units / 61% ROI)
- Tyrone Taylor has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 6 away games (+5.30 Units / 59% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Singles Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 65% ROI)
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 19 games at home (+9.95 Units / 34% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 13 games at home (+8.20 Units / 63% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 11 games (+7.35 Units / 66% ROI)
- Eduardo Escobar has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+6.90 Units / 26% ROI)
- Luis Guillorme has hit the Hits Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+6.80 Units / 53% ROI)
Mets vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nimmo | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Eduardo Escobar | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Jeff McNeil | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Luis Guillorme | 0.5 +1100 | 0.5 |
Mets vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nimmo | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -275 |
| Eduardo Escobar | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
| Luis Guillorme | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
| Mark Canha | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
Mets vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nimmo | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
| Eduardo Escobar | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -250 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -185 |
| Jeff McNeil | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -225 |
| Luis Guillorme | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
Mets vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Bassitt | 5.5 -140 | 5.5 -105 |
| Adrian Houser | 3.5 -105 | 3.5 -135 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Brewers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 42 games (+6.20 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 24 of their last 42 games (+5.60 Units / 12% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Mets: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 62 games (+13.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 62 games (+13.25 Units / 15% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 19 of their last 28 games (+10.40 Units / 33% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 36 of their last 62 games (+8.97 Units / 13% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 8 games at home (+8.20 Units / 59% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 25-37 against the Run Line (-13.25 Units / -18.33% ROI).
- 34-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.55 Units / -6.71% ROI
- 30-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.6 Units / -2.31% ROI
- 29-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.95 Units / -4.37% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 37-25 against the Run Line (+13.65 Units / 18.26% ROI).
- 40-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.25 Units / 15.25% ROI
- 32-26 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.85 Units / 4.1% ROI
- 26-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.5 Units / -12.68% ROI
Adrian Houser: Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Adrian Houser has thrown his off-speed pitches for a strike just 52% (186/355) of the time this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — first Percentile.
Adrian Houser has a strike rate of just 56% (136/241) with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .317 (13-for-41) against Adrian Houser’s elevated fastball this season — 10th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .230 — 15th Percentile.
Adrian Houser has struck out just 15% (20/134) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — eighth Percentile.
Christopher Bassitt: Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Gerrit Cole has allowed a .469 SLG vs right-handed batters (eighth worst)– 10th Percentile and just .278 vs left-handed batters this season (sixth best among qualified SPs)– 90th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a miss rate of 45% (52/115) against Gerrit Cole when he’s behind in the count this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 40% (133/330) against Gerrit Cole in non-two strike counts this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 43% (38/89) against Gerrit Cole with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Brewers are 4-23 (.148) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .098.
The Brewers are 19-16 (.543) on the road this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .482.
The Brewers are just 3-13 (.188) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .277.
The Brewers are just 29-3 (.906) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .926.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Yankees are 26-7 (.788) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .518.
The Yankees are 29-1 (.967) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .794.
The Yankees are 18-3 (.857) when scoring in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .663.
The Yankees are 24-3 (.889) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .708.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Brewers are batting just .226 against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Brewers hitters are slugging just .380 against LHP since the start of last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .409.
Brewers hitters are averaging 4.08 pitches per plate appearance this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Brewers hitters are averaging 4.08 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters are slugging .635 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .444.
The Yankees are batting .455 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game over the last 14 days (8 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .271.
Yankees hitters have drawn 83 walks in 749 PA’s (11%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters are slugging .446 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .393.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 33% in close and late situations since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Brewers pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Brewers pitchers since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have won 70% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Yankees pitchers have walked 144 of 2,192 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Yankees have won 55% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Yankees pitchers have won 60% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Mets vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- John Curtiss (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Jacob deGrom (Mets): Shoulder, D60
- Travis Jankowski (Mets): Hand, D10
- Joseph Lucchesi (Mets): Elbow, D60
- James McCann (Mets): Hamate, D10
- Colin Holderman (Mets): right shoulder, D15
- Maxwell Scherzer (Mets): Oblique, D15
- Trevor May (Mets): Triceps, D60
- Sean Reid-Foley (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Luis Perdomo (Brewers): Elbow, D15
- Alex J Jackson (Brewers): Finger, D10
- Trevor Gott (Brewers): Groin, D15
- Jake O. Cousins (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Kolten Wong (Brewers): Calf, D10
- Brandon Woodruff (Brewers): Ankle, D15
- Jandel Gustave (Brewers): Hamstring, D15
- Justin Topa (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Freddy Peralta (Brewers): Lat, D60
- Michael Brosseau (Brewers): Ankle, D10
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