- The Mets are -175 favorites vs the Brewers
- Brewers starting pitcher: Colin Rea
- Mets starting pitcher: Justin Verlander
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Milwaukee Brewers (+145) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-175) on Monday, June 26, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, Queens.
The Mets are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Brewers vs Mets Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Brewers are 40-37 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 29-48 ATS.
Brewers vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | +1.5 -135 | O 8.5 -105 | +145 |
| Mets | -1.5 +110 | U 8.5 -115 | -175 |
Brewers vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 77.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Mets and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Brewers vs Mets and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 21 games (+14.45 Units / 34% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Hits Under in 24 of his last 46 games (+10.65 Units / 22% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 32 of his last 49 games (+10.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- Brian Anderson has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 24 away games (+10.40 Units / 34% ROI)
- Brian Anderson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+8.80 Units / 24% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 24 games (+13.55 Units / 39% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 22 games (+12.00 Units / 33% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 38 games (+11.55 Units / 21% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.15 Units / 36% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 19 games at home (+11.10 Units / 30% ROI)
Mets vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jesse Winker | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Tommy Pham | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -650 |
| Brett Baty | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
Mets vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jesse Winker | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +100 |
| Tommy Pham | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Brett Baty | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Mets vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jesse Winker | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Tommy Pham | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -150 |
| Brett Baty | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Mets vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Justin Verlander | 6.5 +110 | 6.5 -145 |
| Colin Rea | 3.5 -155 | 3.5 +115 |
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 55 games (+9.60 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 71 games (+7.05 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 33 of their last 55 games (+6.60 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 away games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.50 Units / 32% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 29 games at home (+7.75 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.10 Units / 49% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.95 Units / 49% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games at home (+2.55 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+1.85 Units / 9% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 33-44 against the Run Line (-15.95 Units / -16.45% ROI).
- 40-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.35 Units / -2.42% ROI
- 33-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.55 Units / -14.69% ROI
- 41-33 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.9 Units / 5.83% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 29-48 against the Run Line (-26.15 Units / -26.41% ROI).
- 35-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -23.05 Units / -21.21% ROI
- 35-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.15 Units / -11.99% ROI
- 41-35 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.4 Units / 2.83% ROI
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Colin Rea has allowed an OPS of 1.129 (97 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .766 — first Percentile.
Colin Rea has allowed a slugging percentage of .702 (59 Total Bases / 84 ABs) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .440 — first Percentile.
Colin Rea has allowed an OBP of .427 (96 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .326 — second Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 18% (18/101) against Colin Rea this season — 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 95th Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Justin Verlander has allowed an OBP of just .225 (418 PA’s) vs left-handed batters since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 95 total IP; League Avg: .309 — 100th Percentile.
Justin Verlander has allowed an OPS of just .552 (881 PA’s) since last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 95 total IP; League Avg: .710 — 98th Percentile.
Justin Verlander has not walked any of the 49 batters that he has faced — tied for best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.
Justin Verlander has allowed an OPS of just .478 (419 PA’s) vs left-handed batters since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 95 total IP; League Avg: .704 — 100th Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Brewers are 8-3 (.727) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Brewers are 24-13 (.649) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Brewers are 6-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .778.
The Brewers are 31-26 (.544) after a road loss since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .451.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Mets are just 10-14 (.417) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .682.
The Mets are just 2-7 (.222) after a loss as underdogs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .410.
The Mets are 120-1 (.992) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .953.
The Mets are just 0-34 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .107.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Brewers are batting just .221 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Brewers hitters are slugging just .352 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .417.
Brewers hitters are slugging just .220 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .268.
The Brewers are batting just .147 with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .171.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have just 561 strikeouts in 2,780 PA’s (20%) against LHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets hitters have an OBP of .346 (1,094 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .327.
The Mets have a winning percentage of just 40% on the road this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Mets hitters have an OBP of .329 (9,113 PA’s) since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have walked 46 of 683 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% in close and late situations since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers pitchers have walked 5 of 98 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (11 games) — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Brewers pitchers have allowed the 3rd hardest ball in play hit (114.3 MPH) this season (; League Avg: 116.2).
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mets pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 59% of opposing batters this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Mets pitchers have walked 63 of 669 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Elieser Hernández (Mets): Shoulder, D60
- Samuel Coonrod (Mets): Lat, D60
- Edwin DÃaz (Mets): Knee, D60
- Edwin Uceta (Mets): Ankle, D15
- Bryce Montes de Oca (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Timothy Locastro (Mets): Back, D60
- José Quintana (Mets): Rib, D60
- Jake O. Cousins (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Eric Lauer (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Garrett Mitchell (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Wade Miley (Brewers): Cramps, Day-to-Day
- Darin Ruf (Brewers): Knee, D60
- Justin Wilson (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Labrum, D60
- Jason Alexander (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Brandon Woodruff (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- John Sousa (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Tyrone Taylor (Brewers): Elbow, D10
Bet now on Brewers vs Mets and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
