- The Mets are -150 favorites vs the Brewers
- Brewers starting pitcher: Julio Teheran
- Mets starting pitcher: David Peterson
- Watch the game on SNY
The Milwaukee Brewers (+125) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-150) on Tuesday, June 27, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, Queens.
The Mets are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Brewers vs Mets Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Brewers are 41-37 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 29-49 ATS.
Brewers vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | +1.5 -155 | O 9 -105 | +125 |
| Mets | -1.5 +125 | U 9 -115 | -150 |
Brewers vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 66.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Mets and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Brewers vs Mets and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 22 games (+15.45 Units / 35% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Hits Under in 25 of his last 47 games (+11.95 Units / 24% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 33 of his last 50 games (+11.65 Units / 19% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Total Bases Under in 30 of his last 47 games (+9.55 Units / 14% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+9.30 Units / 25% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 23 games (+13.00 Units / 33% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Under in 28 of his last 39 games (+12.55 Units / 23% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.20 Units / 34% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+12.10 Units / 31% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+9.05 Units / 27% ROI)
Mets vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Starling Marte | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Tommy Pham | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Brett Baty | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Owen Miller | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
Mets vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Starling Marte | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -250 |
| Tommy Pham | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Brett Baty | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
| Owen Miller | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Mets vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Starling Marte | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Tommy Pham | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Brett Baty | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Owen Miller | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
Mets vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| David Peterson | 5.5 -135 | 5.5 +105 |
| Julio Teheran | 3.5 -130 | 3.5 +100 |
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 56 games (+10.60 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 40 of their last 72 games (+8.05 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 34 of their last 56 games (+7.60 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.40 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 away games (+3.60 Units / 23% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games at home (+8.75 Units / 26% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games at home (+3.55 Units / 19% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games at home (+3.25 Units / 22% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 13 games at home (+2.40 Units / 15% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.00 Units / 30% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 34-44 against the Run Line (-14.95 Units / -15.22% ROI).
- 41-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.85 Units / -0.87% ROI
- 33-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.7 Units / -15.82% ROI
- 42-33 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.9 Units / 6.94% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 29-49 against the Run Line (-27.15 Units / -27.15% ROI).
- 35-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -24.7 Units / -22.38% ROI
- 35-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.3 Units / -13.17% ROI
- 42-35 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.4 Units / 3.96% ROI
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Julio Teheran has walked 4 of 21 batters (19%) over the past seven days (1 games) — highest in NL over the last week; League Avg: 5% — second Percentile.
Julio Teheran has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 10.0 innings pitched — Elvis Peguero has the longest active streak at 19.2.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .045 (1-for-22) against Julio Teheran — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .255 — 100th Percentile.
Julio Teheran has allowed an OBP of just .252 (131 PA’s) this season — tied for 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .316 — 97th Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
David Peterson has a strike rate of just 60% (1,197/1,998) against right-handed batters since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 95 total IP; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
David Peterson has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 51% (199/388) of right-handed hitters since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 95 total IP; League Avg: 66% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 35% (35/101) against David Peterson on sliders since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 95 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 38% (14/37) against David Peterson on sliders this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: 22% — second Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Brewers are 24-13 (.649) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Brewers are 31-26 (.544) after a road loss since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .451.
The Brewers are 30-4 (.882) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .786.
The Brewers are 6-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .778.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Mets are just 2-7 (.222) after a loss as underdogs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .409.
The Mets are just 6-4 (.600) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .778.
The Mets are just 23-15 (.605) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .786.
The Mets are just 10-14 (.417) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .682.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Brewers are batting just .220 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Brewers hitters have an OPS of just .647 (702 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .739.
The Brewers are batting just .227 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Brewers hitters are slugging just .223 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .268.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have just 1,279 strikeouts in 6,361 PA’s (20%) against RHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Mets have scored first in 62% of their home games since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Mets hitters have an OPS of .742 (6,361 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .711.
Mets hitters have an OBP of .331 (4,925 PA’s) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .309.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have walked 46 of 692 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% in close and late situations since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers pitchers have walked 5 of 107 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (12 games) — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Mets pitchers have walked 30 of 228 batters (13%) over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 59% of opposing batters this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Elieser Hernández (Mets): Shoulder, D60
- Samuel Coonrod (Mets): Lat, D60
- Edwin DÃaz (Mets): Knee, D60
- Edwin Uceta (Mets): Ankle, D15
- Bryce Montes de Oca (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Timothy Locastro (Mets): Back, D60
- José Quintana (Mets): Rib, D60
- Jake O. Cousins (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Eric Lauer (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Garrett Mitchell (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Wade Miley (Brewers): Cramps, Day-to-Day
- Darin Ruf (Brewers): Knee, D60
- Justin Wilson (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Labrum, D60
- Jason Alexander (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Brandon Woodruff (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- John Sousa (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Tyrone Taylor (Brewers): Elbow, D10
Bet now on Brewers vs Mets and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
