- The Brewers are -155 favorites vs the Nationals
- Brewers vs Nationals Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Brewers / Nationals TV Channel: ATV
The Milwaukee Brewers (-155) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+130) on Friday, August 1, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45pm EDT in Washington, D.C., DC.
This season, the Brewers are 64-44 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 54-54 ATS.
Brewers vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Brewers starting pitcher: Jose Quintana 7-4, 3.52 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: Mitchell Parker 7-10, 4.90 ERA
Brewers vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | -1.5 +105 | O 8.5 -105 | -155 |
| Nationals | +1.5 -125 | U 8.5 -115 | +130 |
Brewers vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Friday‘s MLB game with 58.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Sal Frelick has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 games (+15.00 Units / 167% ROI)
- Isaac Collins has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 15 away games (+12.05 Units / 66% ROI)
- Isaac Collins has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 15 away games (+11.20 Units / 75% ROI)
- Isaac Collins has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+10.60 Units / 52% ROI)
- Isaac Collins has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 15 away games (+9.95 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Riley Adams has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games (+9.40 Units / 134% ROI)
- Brady House has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+8.95 Units / 85% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+8.55 Units / 107% ROI)
- Jacob Young has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 6 games (+7.55 Units / 126% ROI)
- Brady House has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+7.30 Units / 41% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 62 games (+21.85 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 51 of their last 104 games (+20.35 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 40 away games (+16.35 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 49 away games (+15.25 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 59 of their last 101 games (+14.04 Units / 12% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 33 games (+11.85 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 33 games at home (+11.80 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 48 of their last 82 games (+10.32 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+3.95 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 9 games (+1.55 Units / 12% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 58-48 against the Run Line (+3.95 Units / 2.69% ROI).
- 64-44 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.5 Units / 12.02% ROI
- 47-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.3 Units / -14.48% ROI
- 58-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.4 Units / 5.41% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 54-54 against the Run Line (-11.55 Units / -8.2% ROI).
- 44-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.77 Units / -8.51% ROI
- 56-48 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.15 Units / 2.64% ROI
- 48-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.45 Units / -11.35% ROI
Nationals vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Vaughn (MIL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Josh Bell (WAS) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| James Wood (WAS) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Nationals vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Isaac Collins (MIL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| James Wood (WAS) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Brice Turang (MIL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Caleb Durbin (MIL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Nationals vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Vaughn (MIL) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Nathaniel Lowe (WAS) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
| Josh Bell (WAS) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
Nationals vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Parker (WAS) | 3.5 +110 | 3.5 -145 |
| Jose Quintana (MIL) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Quintana had a strike rate of just 59% (1,306/2,224) against right-handed batters in the 2024 season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — first Percentile.
Jose Quintana had a strike rate of just 49% (469/961) when behind in the count in the 2024 season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — first Percentile.
Jose Quintana had a strike rate of just 59% (1,676/2,819) in the 2024 season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 59% (1,908/3,241) against right-handed batters since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 107 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Mitchell Parker has a strikeout rate of just 31% (74 SO in 241 PAs) with two-strikes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Mitchell Parker has a strikeout rate of just 9% (11 SO in 120 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Mitchell Parker has a strikeout rate of just 16% (31 SO in 189 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .216 (47-for-218) against Mitchell Parker with two-strikes this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .163 — sixth Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Brewers are 23-4 (.852) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .711.
The Brewers are 46-6 (.885) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .800.
The Brewers are 28-24 (.538) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .451.
The Brewers are 128-8 (.941) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .904.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Nationals are just 20-31 (.385) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .549.
The Nationals are just 10-25 (.286) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season They play the Brewers (Ranks fourth runs allowed) today.
The Nationals are just 42-56 (.424) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.
The Nationals are just 8-26 (.229) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .363.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 46% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Brewers hitters have a groundball batting average of .277 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Brewers hitters have chased just 19% pitches with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have put just 31% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 40% at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 55%.
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 41% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Nationals hitters have struck out in 32% of their PA’s against LHP over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 57% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 56% of the time since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Brewers pitchers have walked 9% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 53% of the time since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Nationals have allowed 1.88 runs per game (203/108) in late innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.33.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .288 against Nationals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.08 (476.1 IP) on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.28.
More MLB Reading:
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