Brewers vs Nationals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 1

min read
Washington Nationals designated hitter Joey Meneses (45) bats during a baseball game against the Detroit Tigers at Nationals Park, Sunday, May 21, 2023, in Washington.
(AP Photo/Alex Brandon)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 01, 2023, 3:30 PM
  • The Brewers are -160 favorites vs the Nationals
  • Brewers starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta
  • Nationals starting pitcher: Josiah Gray
  • Watch the game on MASN2

The Milwaukee Brewers (-160) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+135) on Tuesday, August 1, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Washington.

The Brewers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).

The Brewers vs Nationals Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Brewers are 57-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 58-49 ATS.

Brewers vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Brewers-1.5 +105O 8.5 -105-160
Nationals +1.5 -125U 8.5 -115+135

Brewers vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 69.4% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.


Bet now on Brewers vs Nationals and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Willy Adames has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 19 away games (+15.80 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Christian Yelich has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 30 games (+13.65 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Willy Adames has hit the Singles Under in 24 of his last 32 games (+12.20 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Willy Adames has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 19 away games (+11.50 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 27 of his last 41 games (+11.45 Units / 23% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • CJ Abrams has hit the Runs Over in 20 of his last 29 games (+15.70 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Lane Thomas has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 33 of his last 47 games (+15.20 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Alex Call has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 34 of his last 48 games (+14.70 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Lane Thomas has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 24 games at home (+12.60 Units / 26% ROI)
  • CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+11.95 Units / 45% ROI)

Nationals vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Carlos Santana 0.5 +375 0.5 -650
Joey Meneses 0.5 +625 0.5 -2000
Alex Call 0.5 +750 0.5 -3000
Dominic Smith 0.5 +575 0.5 -1600
Ildemaro Vargas 0.5 +950 0.5 -10000

Nationals vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Carlos Santana 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Joey Meneses 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Alex Call 0.5 -120 0.5 -110
Dominic Smith 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Ildemaro Vargas 0.5 -210 0.5 +160

Nationals vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Carlos Santana 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
Joey Meneses 0.5 +195 0.5 -275
Alex Call 0.5 +250 0.5 -350
Dominic Smith 0.5 +195 0.5 -275
Ildemaro Vargas 0.5 +225 0.5 -300

Nationals vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Josiah Gray 4.5 -130 4.5 +100
Freddy Peralta 5.5 +100 5.5 -135
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 51 of their last 85 games (+10.90 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 101 games (+10.90 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 51 of their last 85 games (+10.75 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 39 games (+6.80 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 15 away games (+3.60 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 89 games (+12.25 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 57 of their last 101 games (+6.00 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+5.50 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 60% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 49-58 against the Run Line (-13.3 Units / -9.92% ROI).

  • 57-50 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.55 Units / 1.18% ROI
  • 45-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.45 Units / -16.37% ROI
  • 58-45 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.75 Units / 7.5% ROI

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 58-49 against the Run Line (+1.9 Units / 1.45% ROI).

  • 45-62 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.35 Units / 6.69% ROI
  • 51-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.5 Units / -4.63% ROI
  • 51-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.45 Units / -3.81% ROI

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .111 (5 GB hits out of 45 GBs) against Freddy Peralta with runners on base this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .245 — 98th Percentile.

Freddy Peralta has a strikeout rate of 62% (13 SO in 21 PAs) over the past seven days (1 games) — best in NL over the last week; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 35% (147/415) against Freddy Peralta this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 93rd Percentile.

Freddy Peralta has a strike rate of just 62% (1,182/1,907) this season — tied for 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 10th Percentile.

Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

20 of Josiah Gray’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — tied for 2nd most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 98th Percentile.

Josiah Gray has walked 36 of 257 left-handed batters (14%) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .388 (19-for-49) against Josiah Gray on low fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .261 — first Percentile.

20 of Josiah Gray’s 70 breaking pitch strikeouts (29%) have been backdoor this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 13% — 95th Percentile.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

keys to the game – away

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

keys to the game – home

The Brewers are batting just .225 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Brewers hitters are slugging just .221 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .269.

Brewers hitters have an OPS of just .462 (2,216 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .518.

Brewers hitters have 252 strikeouts in 943 PA’s (27%) against LHP this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Nationals hitters have just 508 strikeouts in 2,709 PA’s (19%) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 35% at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 37% since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Nationals are just 2-10 (.167) against the run line (-57.6% ROI) after a win as favorites since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .447.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Brewers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 41% of their games this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% in close and late situations since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Nationals vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Thaddeus Ward (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
  • Paolo Espino (Nationals): Finger, D15
  • Steven Cavalli (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Victor Robles (Nationals): Back, D60
  • Hunter Harvey (Nationals): Elbow, D15
  • Carl Edwards Jr. (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
  • Víctor Arano (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
  • Israel Pineda (Nationals): Finger, D60
  • Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs/Shoulder, D60
  • Joshua Garcia (Nationals): Biceps, D15
  • Brian Anderson (Brewers): Back, D10
  • Eric Lauer (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
  • Garrett Mitchell (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
  • Darin Ruf (Brewers): Knee, D60
  • Justin Wilson (Brewers): Lat, D15
  • Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Labrum, D60
  • Brandon Woodruff (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
  • John Sousa (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
  • Ryan Tellez (Brewers): Forearm, D10
  • Wade Miley (Brewers): Elbow, D15
  • Julio Teheran (Brewers): Hip, D15
  • Jesse Winker (Brewers): Back, D10

Bet now on Brewers vs Nationals and all games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

BetMGM first bet offer for $1000
About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.