- The – are favorites vs the –
- Brewers starting pitcher: Wade Miley
- Nationals starting pitcher: MacKenzie Gore
- Watch the game on MASN
The Milwaukee Brewers () visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals () on Wednesday, August 2, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Washington.
The – are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().
The Brewers vs Nationals Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Brewers are 58-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 58-50 ATS.
Brewers vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | O | ||
| Nationals | U |
Brewers vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 61.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Willy Adames has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 20 away games (+16.80 Units / 39% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Singles Under in 25 of his last 33 games (+13.20 Units / 25% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 31 games (+12.55 Units / 39% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+11.90 Units / 48% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+11.25 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Alex Call has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 35 of his last 49 games (+15.70 Units / 21% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Runs Over in 20 of his last 30 games (+14.65 Units / 48% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 33 of his last 48 games (+14.20 Units / 22% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.95 Units / 46% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+10.75 Units / 22% ROI)
Nationals vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Canha | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Michael Chavis | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
Nationals vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Canha | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Michael Chavis | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Joey Meneses | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -250 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Nationals vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Canha | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Michael Chavis | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Nationals vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Wade Miley | 3.5 -120 | 3.5 -110 |
| Mackenzie Gore | 5.5 -150 | 5.5 +115 |
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 102 games (+9.90 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 51 of their last 86 games (+9.70 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 51 of their last 86 games (+9.55 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 games (+7.80 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 16 away games (+4.65 Units / 24% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 90 games (+11.25 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 57 of their last 102 games (+4.75 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+4.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 32 games (+3.40 Units / 9% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 50-58 against the Run Line (-12.25 Units / -9.07% ROI).
- 58-50 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.55 Units / 1.92% ROI
- 46-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.45 Units / -15.38% ROI
- 58-46 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.75 Units / 6.59% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 58-50 against the Run Line (+0.65 Units / 0.49% ROI).
- 45-63 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.35 Units / 5.73% ROI
- 52-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.5 Units / -3.75% ROI
- 51-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.45 Units / -4.63% ROI
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Wade Miley has thrown inside pitches 49% of the time (135/276) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 99th Percentile.
Wade Miley has located his fastball inside 56% of the time (465/835) since the 2021 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 171 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 99th Percentile.
Wade Miley has thrown his cutter 48% of the time (372/767) in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total CUT; League Avg: 21% — 97th Percentile.
Wade Miley has located his fastball inside 51% of the time (145/282) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 35% — 98th Percentile.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 37% (51/138) against MacKenzie Gore on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 95th Percentile.
MacKenzie Gore has an ERA of 7.38 (61.0 IP) against division opponents since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 106 total IP; League Avg: 3.97 — second Percentile.
MacKenzie Gore has allowed an OBP of .276 (268 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — tied for 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 12th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .165 (16-for-97) against MacKenzie Gore’s elevated fastball this season — tied for 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .221 — 95th Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Brewers are 30-16 (.652) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Brewers are 10-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .783.
The Brewers are 35-29 (.547) after a road loss since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .453.
The Brewers are just 0-46 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Nationals are just 30-146 (.170) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .287.
The Nationals are just 5-7 (.417) after a win as favorites since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .592.
The Nationals are just 47-89 (.346) at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .529.
The Nationals are just 52-36 (.591) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .725.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters are slugging just .221 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .269.
The Brewers are batting just .225 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Brewers hitters have not struck out in 13 PA’s against LHP over the past seven days (4 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 20%.
The Brewers are batting just .239 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have drawn 176 walks in 2,743 PA’s (6%) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 35% at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Nationals hitters have just 1,342 strikeouts in 6,794 PA’s (20%) against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals hitters have just 518 strikeouts in 2,743 PA’s (19%) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have walked 67 of 958 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Brewers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 47% of their games at home this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Brewers pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 105 MPH 209 times this season — 4th fewest in MLB.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in late innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Thaddeus Ward (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
- Paolo Espino (Nationals): Finger, D15
- Steven Cavalli (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Victor Robles (Nationals): Back, D60
- Hunter Harvey (Nationals): Elbow, D15
- Carl Edwards Jr. (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
- Víctor Arano (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
- Israel Pineda (Nationals): Finger, D60
- Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs/Shoulder, D60
- Joshua Garcia (Nationals): Biceps, D15
- Brian Anderson (Brewers): Back, D10
- Eric Lauer (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Garrett Mitchell (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Darin Ruf (Brewers): Knee, D60
- Justin Wilson (Brewers): Lat, D15
- Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Labrum, D60
- Salvatore Frelick (Brewers): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
- Brandon Woodruff (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- John Sousa (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Ryan Tellez (Brewers): Forearm, D10
- Julio Teheran (Brewers): Hip, D15
- Jesse Winker (Brewers): Back, D10
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