• The Brewers are -160 favorites vs the Nationals
• Brewers vs Nationals Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Brewers / Nationals TV Channel: BRTV | NATV | WTTG

The Milwaukee Brewers (-160) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+135) on May 1, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45 pm in Washington, DC.

This season, the Brewers are 16-14 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 19-12 ATS.

Brewers vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:

• Brewers starting pitcher: Jacob Misiorowski 1-2, 3.28 ERA
• Nationals starting pitcher: Jake Irvin 1-3, 4.80 ERA

Brewers vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Brewers vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Friday‘s MLB game with 59.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Brewers vs Nationals and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

• Sal Frelick has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+17.00 Units / 425% ROI)
• Brice Turang has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 away games (+12.15 Units / 41% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.70 Units / 31% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+8.75 Units / 33% ROI)
• Garrett Mitchell has hit the Walks Over in 9 of his last 15 games (+7.65 Units / 51% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• James Wood has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 10 games at home (+28.80 Units / 288% ROI)
• Luis Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+14.64 Units / 60% ROI)
• Jake Irvin has hit the Strikeouts Over in his last 10 games (+10.85 Units / 96% ROI)
• Jorbit Vivas has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.50 Units / 52% ROI)
• Jake Irvin has hit the Earned Runs Over in his last 10 games at home (+10.10 Units / 77% ROI)

Brewers Best Bets Today:

• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 40 games (+9.70 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 away games (+7.95 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 50 away games (+4.50 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 30 games (+3.80 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 50 away games (+2.85 Units / 5% ROI)

Nationals Best Bets Today:

• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 45 games (+15.45 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 35 games (+12.35 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 40 games (+12.00 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.00 Units / 54% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 40 games (+7.75 Units / 19% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 18-12 against the Run Line (+9.05 Units / 25.42% ROI).

• 16-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.65 Units / -6.71% ROI
• 17-13 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.65 Units / 7.98% ROI
• 13-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.6 Units / -17.02% ROI

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 19-12 against the Run Line (+4.05 Units / 9.4% ROI).

• 15-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.9 Units / 15.17% ROI
• 21-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +11.35 Units / 32.48% ROI
• 9-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.25 Units / -40.14% ROI

Nationals vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Nationals vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Nationals vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Brewers are 85-9 (.904) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .794.

The Brewers are just 0-9 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .059.

The Brewers are 113-79 (.589) since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Brewers are 25-2 (.926) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .797.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Nationals are just 3-10 (.231) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.

The Nationals are just 9-4 (.692) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .850.

The Nationals are just 34-59 (.362) at home since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .541.

The Nationals are 8-2 (.800) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends

Brewers hitters have chased just 19% pitches with the pitcher behind in the count since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

The Brewers are batting just .152 against division opponents this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Brewers hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 30% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Brewers hitters have 188 extra-base hits out of 699 total hits (just 27%) versus relief pitchers since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends

The Nationals are batting just .151 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

The Nationals are batting .271 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Nationals hitters have an OPS of .788 (377 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB.

Nationals hitters have an OBP of just .248 (157 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Brewers pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have 59 three-pitch strikeouts this season — tied for 3rd most in MLB.

Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends

The Nationals have allowed 7.31 runs per game (95/13) at home this season — highest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.30 (1713.2 IP) since the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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