- The Brewers are -140 favorites vs the Nationals
- Brewers vs Nationals Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Brewers / Nationals TV Channel: BRTV | NATV
The Milwaukee Brewers (-140) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+115) on May 2, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05 pm in Washington, DC.
This season, the Brewers are 17-14 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 19-13 ATS.
Brewers vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Brewers starting pitcher: Kyle Harrison 2-1, 2.35 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: Foster Griffin 3-0, 2.68 ERA
Brewers vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | -1.5 +135 | O 7.5 -115 | -140 |
| Nationals | +1.5 -160 | U 7.5 -105 | +115 |
Brewers vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brice Turang has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 away games (+12.15 Units / 41% ROI)
- Gary Sanchez has hit the Walks Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+11.75 Units / 78% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+9.90 Units / 34% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jake Bauers has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 25 games (+7.55 Units / 30% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Daylen Lile has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games at home (+24.50 Units / 350% ROI)
- Jacob Young has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.50 Units / 28% ROI)
- James Wood has hit the Walks Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.45 Units / 33% ROI)
- Jacob Young has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+8.65 Units / 29% ROI)
- Curtis Mead has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.10 Units / 31% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 40 games (+9.20 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 25 away games (+5.70 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 50 away games (+4.50 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 30 games (+3.90 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 22 away games (+3.25 Units / 14% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 45 games (+15.85 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 45 games (+10.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games (+10.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.85 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 21 games (+5.65 Units / 27% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 19-12 against the Run Line (+10.15 Units / 27.73% ROI).
- 17-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.65 Units / -4.02% ROI
- 17-14 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.55 Units / 4.52% ROI
- 14-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.6 Units / -13.53% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 19-13 against the Run Line (+2.75 Units / 6.19% ROI).
- 15-18 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.9 Units / 11.71% ROI
- 21-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.25 Units / 28.43% ROI
- 10-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.25 Units / -36.2% ROI
Nationals vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Gary Sanchez | +425 |
| James Wood | +450 |
| William Contreras | +525 |
| Jake Bauers | +575 |
| CJ Abrams | +725 |
Nationals vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| William Contreras | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +170 |
| James Wood | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Brice Turang | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Brandon Lockridge | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Luis Rengifo | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
Nationals vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Lockridge | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Brice Turang | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Drew Millas | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Gary Sanchez | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Curtis Mead | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Brewers are 86-9 (.905) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .794.
The Brewers are just 0-9 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .057.
The Brewers are just 2-12 (.143) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .269.
The Brewers are 2-8 (.200) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .111.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Nationals are just 3-11 (.214) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.
The Nationals are just 34-60 (.358) at home since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .541.
The Nationals are just 10-3 (.769) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .889.
The Nationals are 8-2 (.800) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against RHP since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.
Brewers hitters have an OBP of .340 (3,753 PA’s) on the road since the 2025 season — best in MLB.
Brewers hitters have chased 19% of pitches out of the zone in non-two strike counts since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.
Brewers hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 30% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have an OBP of just .247 (158 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.
The Nationals are batting just .150 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.
Nationals hitters have an OPS of just .677 (906 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB.
The Nationals are just 3-11 (.214) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 35% over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — best in MLB.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Brewers pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB.
Brewers pitchers have 63 three-pitch strikeouts this season — most in MLB.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.52 (865.1 IP) at home since the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.29 (1722.2 IP) since the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.
The Nationals have allowed 6.04 runs per game (574/95) at home since the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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