Brewers vs Nationals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 2

Washington Nationals right fielder James Wood jogs off the field during a baseball game against the Philadelphia Phillies, Friday, Sept. 27, 2024, in Washington. (AP Photo/Terrance Williams)
Welcome OfferBetting Promos
  • The Brewers are -140 favorites vs the Nationals
  • Brewers vs Nationals Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Brewers / Nationals TV Channel: BRTV | NATV

The Milwaukee Brewers (-140) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+115) on May 2, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05 pm in Washington, DC.

This season, the Brewers are 17-14 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 19-13 ATS.

Brewers vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Brewers starting pitcher: Kyle Harrison 2-1, 2.35 ERA
  • Nationals starting pitcher: Foster Griffin 3-0, 2.68 ERA

Brewers vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Brewers-1.5 +135O 7.5 -115-140
Nationals +1.5 -160U 7.5 -105+115

Brewers vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Brewers vs Nationals and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Brice Turang has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 away games (+12.15 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Gary Sanchez has hit the Walks Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+11.75 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Brice Turang has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+9.90 Units / 34% ROI)
  • William Contreras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.70 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Jake Bauers has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 25 games (+7.55 Units / 30% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Daylen Lile has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games at home (+24.50 Units / 350% ROI)
  • Jacob Young has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.50 Units / 28% ROI)
  • James Wood has hit the Walks Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.45 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Jacob Young has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+8.65 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Curtis Mead has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.10 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 40 games (+9.20 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 25 away games (+5.70 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 50 away games (+4.50 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 30 games (+3.90 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 22 away games (+3.25 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 45 games (+15.85 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 45 games (+10.55 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games (+10.25 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.85 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 21 games (+5.65 Units / 27% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 19-12 against the Run Line (+10.15 Units / 27.73% ROI).

  • 17-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.65 Units / -4.02% ROI
  • 17-14 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.55 Units / 4.52% ROI
  • 14-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.6 Units / -13.53% ROI

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 19-13 against the Run Line (+2.75 Units / 6.19% ROI).

  • 15-18 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.9 Units / 11.71% ROI
  • 21-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.25 Units / 28.43% ROI
  • 10-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.25 Units / -36.2% ROI

Nationals vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Gary Sanchez +425
James Wood +450
William Contreras +525
Jake Bauers +575
CJ Abrams +725

Nationals vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
William Contreras 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
James Wood 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Brice Turang 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Brandon Lockridge 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Luis Rengifo 0.5 -200 0.5 +145

Nationals vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Lockridge 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Brice Turang 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Drew Millas 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Gary Sanchez 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Curtis Mead 0.5 -175 0.5 +130

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Brewers are 86-9 (.905) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .794.

The Brewers are just 0-9 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .057.

The Brewers are just 2-12 (.143) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .269.

The Brewers are 2-8 (.200) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .111.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Nationals are just 3-11 (.214) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.

The Nationals are just 34-60 (.358) at home since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .541.

The Nationals are just 10-3 (.769) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .889.

The Nationals are 8-2 (.800) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against RHP since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Brewers hitters have an OBP of .340 (3,753 PA’s) on the road since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Brewers hitters have chased 19% of pitches out of the zone in non-two strike counts since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Brewers hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 30% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Nationals hitters have an OBP of just .247 (158 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

The Nationals are batting just .150 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

Nationals hitters have an OPS of just .677 (906 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

The Nationals are just 3-11 (.214) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 35% over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Brewers pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have 63 three-pitch strikeouts this season — most in MLB.

Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.52 (865.1 IP) at home since the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.29 (1722.2 IP) since the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.

The Nationals have allowed 6.04 runs per game (574/95) at home since the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


Bet now on Brewers vs Nationals and all games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.

The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.

About the Author Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.