• The Brewers are -118 favorites vs the Padres
• Brewers vs Padres Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Brewers / Padres TV Channel: BRTV | PDTV

The Milwaukee Brewers (-118) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-102) on August 10, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 pm in San Diego, CA.

This season, the Brewers are 74-44 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 62-55 ATS.

Brewers vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:

• Brewers starting pitcher: Shane Drohan 6-4, 3.89 ERA
• Padres starting pitcher: Bradgley Rodriguez 3-2, 2.17 ERA

Brewers vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Brewers vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Monday‘s MLB game with 51.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Brewers vs Padres and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jackson Chourio has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+15.50 Units / 258% ROI)
• Jake Bauers has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+13.15 Units / 43% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.80 Units / 45% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.30 Units / 40% ROI)
• Brice Turang has hit the Walks Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+11.20 Units / 28% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jackson Merrill has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+18.00 Units / 90% ROI)
• Jackson Merrill has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games at home (+14.60 Units / 365% ROI)
• Ty France has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.45 Units / 41% ROI)
• Gavin Sheets has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+12.40 Units / 61% ROI)
• Jake Cronenworth has hit the Walks Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+12.30 Units / 42% ROI)

Brewers Best Bets Today:

• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+10.40 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+7.15 Units / 40% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 40 away games (+5.30 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 25 away games (+5.05 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 38% ROI)

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games at home (+9.50 Units / 40% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+9.40 Units / 17% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 23 games at home (+7.75 Units / 26% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 45 games at home (+6.45 Units / 13% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+5.70 Units / 25% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 62-56 against the Run Line (+14.75 Units / 10.88% ROI).

• 74-44 when betting on the Moneyline for +12 Units / 6.86% ROI
• 50-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.2 Units / -16.32% ROI
• 65-50 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.35 Units / 7.97% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 62-55 against the Run Line (+1.1 Units / 0.7% ROI).

• 62-57 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.35 Units / 0.95% ROI
• 54-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.25 Units / -10.84% ROI
• 62-54 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.95 Units / 2.26% ROI

Padres vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Brewers were 71-7 (.910) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .797.

The Brewers were 82-5 (.943) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .909.

The Brewers were 97-65 (.599) in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Brewers were 30-12 (.714) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .641.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Padres were 13-8 (.619) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .498.

The Padres were 66-8 (.892) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .804.

The Padres were 93-69 (.574) in the 2024 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Padres were 63-5 (.926) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .875.

Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends

The Brewers are batting .383 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB.

Brewers hitters are slugging .642 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB.

The Brewers have a winning percentage of 63% this season — best in MLB.

Brewers hitters have an OBP of .371 (498 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.

Padres Hitting Stats & Trends

The Padres are batting .373 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Padres hitters are slugging just .365 against LHP this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB.

Padres hitters have an OPS of just .672 (1,099 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Padres hitters have grounded into 91 double plays in 774 opportunities (12%) this season — highest in MLB.

Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends

The Brewers have won 60% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% this season — best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% in the first 5 innings this season — best in MLB.

Padres Pitching Stats & Trends

Padres pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% in close and late situations this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Padres pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% in late innings this season — tied for 5th best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .267 against Padres pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Padres pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 100 MPH 629 times this season — 5th fewest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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