• The Brewers are -145 favorites vs the Padres
• Brewers vs Padres Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Brewers / Padres TV Channel: BRTV | PDTV

The Milwaukee Brewers (-145) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (+120) on August 11, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 pm in San Diego, CA.

This season, the Brewers are 74-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 63-55 ATS.

Brewers vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:

• Brewers starting pitcher: Robert Gasser 3-4, 4.57 ERA
• Padres starting pitcher: Walker Buehler 6-5, 5.12 ERA

Brewers vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Brewers vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 58.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Brewers vs Padres and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jackson Chourio has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 games (+14.50 Units / 207% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+14.30 Units / 38% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.80 Units / 52% ROI)
• Brice Turang has hit the Walks Under in 21 of his last 25 away games (+13.45 Units / 34% ROI)
• Jake Bauers has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+13.15 Units / 42% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jackson Merrill has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 5 games at home (+19.60 Units / 392% ROI)
• Jackson Merrill has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+18.50 Units / 93% ROI)
• Jake Cronenworth has hit the Walks Under in 18 of his last 20 games at home (+14.40 Units / 37% ROI)
• Ty France has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.60 Units / 41% ROI)
• Luis Campusano has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.20 Units / 41% ROI)

Brewers Best Bets Today:

• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+10.40 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.15 Units / 43% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 40 away games (+5.35 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 25 away games (+5.05 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+5.00 Units / 42% ROI)

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+9.40 Units / 17% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 24 games at home (+8.80 Units / 28% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+8.45 Units / 34% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games at home (+8.45 Units / 17% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 30 games (+5.25 Units / 14% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 62-57 against the Run Line (+13.75 Units / 10.07% ROI).

• 74-45 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.75 Units / 6.1% ROI
• 50-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -22.3 Units / -17.02% ROI
• 66-50 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.35 Units / 8.66% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 63-55 against the Run Line (+2.1 Units / 1.32% ROI).

• 63-57 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.4 Units / 1.68% ROI
• 54-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.35 Units / -11.58% ROI
• 63-54 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.95 Units / 3% ROI

Padres vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Brewers were 71-7 (.910) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .797.

The Brewers were 13-6 (.684) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Brewers were 36-8 (.818) when they hit 2 or more home runs in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .699.

The Brewers were 30-12 (.714) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .641.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Padres were 11-55 (.167) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .124.

The Padres were 13-8 (.619) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .498.

The Padres were 66-8 (.892) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .804.

The Padres were 67-6 (.918) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .856.

Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends

The Brewers are batting .386 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB.

Brewers hitters are slugging .651 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB.

Brewers hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,364 of their 4,597 plate appearances (30%) this season — highest in MLB.

Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 44% this season — lowest in MLB.

Padres Hitting Stats & Trends

The Padres are batting .370 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Padres hitters have grounded into 92 double plays in 778 opportunities (12%) this season — highest in MLB.

Padres hitters are slugging just .365 against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Padres hitters are slugging just .361 at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% this season — best in MLB.

The Brewers have won 51% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB.

The Brewers have won 60% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .213 against Brewers pitchers with runners on base this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Padres Pitching Stats & Trends

Padres pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% in close and late situations this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Padres pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 62% of their games at home this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Padres pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% in late innings this season — tied for 5th best in MLB.

The longest HR allowed by the Padres pitchers this season traveled 0.0 feet — — tied for shortest in MLB

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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