• The Phillies are -140 favorites vs the Brewers
• Brewers vs Phillies Over / Under today: 7 Runs
• Brewers / Phillies TV Channel: BRTV | NSPA

The Milwaukee Brewers (+115) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-140) on September 22, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in Philadelphia, PA.

This season, the Brewers are 98-58 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 66-89 ATS.

Brewers vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:

• Brewers starting pitcher: Dustin May 7-9, 4.65 ERA
• Phillies starting pitcher: Zack Wheeler 13-5, 3.02 ERA

Brewers vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Brewers vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 58.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Brewers vs Phillies and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

• William Contreras has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games (+17.70 Units / 221% ROI)
• Joey Ortiz has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+15.00 Units / 39% ROI)
• Joey Ortiz has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.80 Units / 31% ROI)
• Luis Lara has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.80 Units / 38% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+10.55 Units / 38% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+13.80 Units / 40% ROI)
• Luis Arraez has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.60 Units / 28% ROI)
• Kyle Schwarber has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 9 games at home (+12.60 Units / 140% ROI)
• Luis Arraez has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+10.45 Units / 23% ROI)
• J.T. Realmuto has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+10.30 Units / 69% ROI)

Brewers Best Bets Today:

• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 45 games (+12.20 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 35 games (+9.75 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 50 games (+8.10 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 24 games (+5.25 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 45 games (+4.85 Units / 9% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 50 games (+10.30 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 35 games (+5.35 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 40 games at home (+4.20 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 35 games (+4.00 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 21 games (+3.75 Units / 12% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 80-76 against the Run Line (+14.7 Units / 8.31% ROI).

• 98-58 when betting on the Moneyline for +17.95 Units / 7.75% ROI
• 70-81 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.55 Units / -10.82% ROI
• 81-70 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.25 Units / 2.47% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 66-89 against the Run Line (-30.95 Units / -16.67% ROI).

• 86-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.55 Units / -1.95% ROI
• 73-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.3 Units / -5.41% ROI
• 75-73 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.85 Units / -2.83% ROI

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Brewers are 16-2 (.889) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB.

The Brewers are 20-17 (.541) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Brewers are 13-45 (.224) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB.

The Brewers are 11-47 (.190) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Phillies are 7-61 (.103) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB.

The Phillies are 47-6 (.887) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Phillies are 15-54 (.217) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Phillies are 20-1 (.952) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — best in MLB.

Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends

The Brewers are batting .402 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB.

Brewers hitters have an OBP of .347 (4,205 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB.

Brewers hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,804 of their 6,077 plate appearances (30%) this season — highest in MLB.

Brewers hitters have an OBP of .341 (6,077 PA’s) this season — best in MLB.

Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends

Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .663 (3,059 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .487 (3,137 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Phillies have a winning percentage of 56% on the road this season — 5th best in MLB.

Phillies hitters are slugging .673 with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB.

Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends

The Brewers have won 60% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB.

The longest HR allowed by the Brewers pitchers this season traveled 523.9 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB

The Brewers have won 49% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Brewers pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB.

Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Phillies pitchers this season — best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.9 MPH this season (3,783 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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