• The Brewers are -145 favorites vs the Phillies
• Brewers vs Phillies Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Brewers / Phillies TV Channel: BRTV | NSPA

The Milwaukee Brewers (-145) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (+118) on September 23, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in Philadelphia, PA.

This season, the Brewers are 98-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 67-89 ATS.

Brewers vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:

• Brewers starting pitcher: Logan Henderson 10-3, 2.52 ERA
• Phillies starting pitcher: Aaron Nola 7-10, 4.51 ERA

Brewers vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Brewers vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 58.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jake Bauers has hit the Walks Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+16.85 Units / 61% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games (+16.70 Units / 186% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+14.85 Units / 58% ROI)
• David Hamilton has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+12.50 Units / 83% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+12.25 Units / 61% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+15.80 Units / 45% ROI)
• Luis Arraez has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+13.40 Units / 29% ROI)
• Luis Arraez has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.15 Units / 27% ROI)
• J.T. Realmuto has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+12.50 Units / 83% ROI)
• J.T. Realmuto has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+11.85 Units / 75% ROI)

Brewers Best Bets Today:

• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 45 games (+12.70 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 45 games (+8.20 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 45 games (+7.15 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 25 games (+6.25 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 45 games (+4.80 Units / 9% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 45 games (+10.55 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 35 games (+8.00 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 35 games (+6.50 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 22 games (+4.75 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.60 Units / 26% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 80-77 against the Run Line (+13 Units / 7.28% ROI).

• 98-59 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.95 Units / 7.29% ROI
• 71-81 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.55 Units / -10.17% ROI
• 81-71 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.15 Units / 1.82% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 67-89 against the Run Line (-29.45 Units / -15.77% ROI).

• 87-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.55 Units / -1.51% ROI
• 74-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.3 Units / -4.8% ROI
• 75-74 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.95 Units / -3.45% ROI

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Brewers are 20-17 (.541) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Brewers are 16-2 (.889) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB.

The Brewers are 11-47 (.190) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB.

The Brewers are 62-35 (.639) after a win this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Phillies are 15-54 (.217) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Phillies are 47-6 (.887) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Phillies are 20-1 (.952) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — best in MLB.

The Phillies are 7-61 (.103) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB.

Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends

The Brewers are batting .401 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB.

Brewers hitters have an OBP of .346 (4,238 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB.

Brewers hitters have an OBP of .340 (6,112 PA’s) this season — best in MLB.

Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 44% this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends

Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .489 (3,152 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .663 (3,059 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters are slugging just .248 with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters are slugging just .364 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends

The Brewers have won 60% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Brewers have won 49% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.16 (709.2 IP) at home this season — best in MLB.

Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — tied for best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

The Phillies pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 40% of their games this season — lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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