• The Brewers are +100 favorites vs the Phillies
• Brewers vs Phillies Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Brewers / Phillies TV Channel: BRTV | NSPA

The Milwaukee Brewers (+100) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-120) on September 24, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:05 pm in Philadelphia, PA.

This season, the Brewers are 99-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 67-90 ATS.

Brewers vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:

• Brewers starting pitcher: Bryse Wilson 0-0, 3.67 ERA
• Phillies starting pitcher: Andrew Painter 3-10, 5.60 ERA

Brewers vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Brewers vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 51.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

• William Contreras has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+15.70 Units / 157% ROI)
• Joey Ortiz has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+15.00 Units / 49% ROI)
• Jake Bauers has hit the Walks Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+14.30 Units / 52% ROI)
• Joey Ortiz has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+13.80 Units / 38% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+12.45 Units / 50% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• J.T. Realmuto has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+14.20 Units / 71% ROI)
• Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+13.75 Units / 40% ROI)
• Luis Arraez has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.15 Units / 27% ROI)
• J.T. Realmuto has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+12.50 Units / 57% ROI)
• Luis Arraez has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+11.00 Units / 24% ROI)

Brewers Best Bets Today:

• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 45 games (+12.70 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 35 games (+9.50 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 45 games (+7.15 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 35 games (+5.55 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 45 games (+4.85 Units / 9% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 50 games (+10.30 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 35 games (+6.00 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 45 games at home (+4.75 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 45 games at home (+4.35 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 50 games (+4.15 Units / 5% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 81-77 against the Run Line (+14.4 Units / 8.02% ROI).

• 99-59 when betting on the Moneyline for +17.95 Units / 7.67% ROI
• 71-82 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.65 Units / -10.74% ROI
• 82-71 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.15 Units / 2.38% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 67-90 against the Run Line (-31.1 Units / -16.51% ROI).

• 87-71 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.55 Units / -1.93% ROI
• 74-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.4 Units / -5.4% ROI
• 76-74 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.95 Units / -2.85% ROI

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Brewers are 13-45 (.224) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB.

The Brewers are 16-3 (.842) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB.

The Brewers are 20-17 (.541) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Brewers are 11-47 (.190) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Phillies are 7-62 (.101) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB.

The Phillies are 15-55 (.214) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Phillies are 20-1 (.952) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — tied for best in MLB.

The Phillies are 47-6 (.887) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends

The Brewers are batting .400 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB.

Brewers hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,812 of their 6,145 plate appearances (29%) this season — highest in MLB.

Brewers hitters have an OBP of .345 (4,264 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB.

Brewers hitters have a 46% QAB rate this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends

The Phillies are just 11-26 (.297) against the run line (-54.2% ROI) when underdogs this season — lowest in MLB.

The Phillies are batting just .228 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Phillies have a winning percentage of 56% on the road this season — 5th best in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .663 (3,059 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends

The Brewers have won 49% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB.

The Brewers have won 60% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB.

The longest HR allowed by the Brewers pitchers this season traveled 523.9 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Phillies pitchers this season — best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

The Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.8 MPH this season (3,821 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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