- The Pirates are -125 favorites vs the Brewers
- Brewers vs Pirates Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Brewers / Pirates TV Channel: BRTV | SNPT
The Milwaukee Brewers (+105) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-125) on July 10, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in Pittsburgh, PA.
This season, the Brewers are 58-34 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 46-45 ATS.
Brewers vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:
- Brewers starting pitcher: Brandon Sproat 3-4, 5.11 ERA
- Pirates starting pitcher: Braxton Ashcraft 9-3, 3.22 ERA
Brewers vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | +1.5 -190 | O 8 -110 | +105 |
| Pirates | -1.5 +155 | U 8 -110 | -125 |
Brewers vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Friday‘s MLB game with 56.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brandon Sproat has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+3.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- Brandon Sproat has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 6 of his last 9 away games (+3.05 Units / 31% ROI)
- Brandon Sproat has hit the Strikeouts Under in 4 of his last 5 away games (+2.95 Units / 45% ROI)
- Brandon Sproat has hit the Earned Runs Under in 5 of his last 7 away games (+2.35 Units / 24% ROI)
- Brandon Sproat has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+2.30 Units / 34% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Henry Davis has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+16.30 Units / 34% ROI)
- Henry Davis has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+11.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- Henry Davis has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+10.85 Units / 38% ROI)
- Henry Davis has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+9.15 Units / 35% ROI)
- Henry Davis has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+8.65 Units / 15% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- team high – away
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- team high – home
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 50-42 against the Run Line (+14.9 Units / 13.93% ROI).
- 58-34 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.6 Units / 8.82% ROI
- 40-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.85 Units / -14.67% ROI
- 50-40 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.15 Units / 6.07% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 46-45 against the Run Line (-0.15 Units / -0.13% ROI).
- 47-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.7 Units / -6.53% ROI
- 53-37 when betting on the total runs Over for +12.45 Units / 12.15% ROI
- 37-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -21 Units / -20.55% ROI
Pirates vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Brandon Lowe | +340 |
| Esmerlyn Valdez | +450 |
| Jackson Chourio | +450 |
| Jake Bauers | +525 |
| Ryan O'Hearn | +550 |
Pirates vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Gonzales | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
| Sal Frelick | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Brice Turang | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Pirates vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Callihan | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jared Triolo | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Ryan O'Hearn | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| Henry Davis | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Brewers are 8-25 (.242) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .097.
The Brewers are 10-24 (.294) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .136.
The Brewers are 30-16 (.652) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .477.
The Brewers are 39-19 (.672) after a win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .514.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Pirates are 27-19 (.587) after a loss this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Pirates are just 4-24 (.143) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Pirates are just 21-50 (.296) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2025 season Today, they face Brewers (second in runs allowed).
The Pirates are just 11-67 (.141) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have an OBP of .367 (411 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.
The Brewers are batting .385 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB.
Brewers hitters have an OBP of .337 (3,626 PA’s) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.
The Brewers have a winning percentage of 65% on the road this season — best in MLB.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters have an OBP of .355 (1,875 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB.
Pirates hitters have struck out in 26% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB.
Pirates hitters have an OPS of .791 (2,707 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Pirates hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 582 of their 1,657 plate appearances (35%) versus relief pitchers this season — highest in MLB.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Brewers have won 55% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% in the first 5 innings this season — best in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .205 against Brewers pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB.
The Pirates have allowed 1.77 runs per game (166/94) in late innings this season — 3rd highest in MLB.
The Pirates have allowed 5.10 runs per game (245/48) at home this season — 4th highest in MLB.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Pirates won just 14% of the time this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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