• The Pirates are -125 favorites vs the Brewers
• Brewers vs Pirates Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Brewers / Pirates TV Channel: PEAC

The Milwaukee Brewers (+105) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-125) on July 12, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 12:15 pm in Pittsburgh, PA.

This season, the Brewers are 59-36 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 48-46 ATS.

Brewers vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:

• Brewers starting pitcher: Robert Gasser 2-3, 4.16 ERA
• Pirates starting pitcher: Paul Skenes 7-8, 3.59 ERA

Brewers vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Brewers vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Brewers vs Pirates and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

• Garrett Mitchell has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.05 Units / 45% ROI)
• Brice Turang has hit the Walks Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+11.60 Units / 37% ROI)
• Joseph Ortiz has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 5 games (+11.00 Units / 220% ROI)
• Jake Bauers has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+10.70 Units / 35% ROI)
• Garrett Mitchell has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.30 Units / 54% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Esmerlyn Valdez has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 7 games at home (+23.00 Units / 329% ROI)
• Henry Davis has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.25 Units / 27% ROI)
• Henry Davis has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+11.60 Units / 36% ROI)
• Henry Davis has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+11.15 Units / 40% ROI)
• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+10.75 Units / 53% ROI)

Brewers Best Bets Today:

• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games (+8.80 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 35 away games (+7.60 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+7.00 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 away games (+4.40 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.45 Units / 22% ROI)

Pirates Best Bets Today:

• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 50 games at home (+14.65 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.55 Units / 43% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.65 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 19 games (+3.70 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 19 games (+3.30 Units / 13% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 51-44 against the Run Line (+14.25 Units / 12.96% ROI).

• 59-36 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.05 Units / 7.43% ROI
• 42-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.95 Units / -13.34% ROI
• 51-42 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.95 Units / 4.73% ROI

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 48-46 against the Run Line (+0.25 Units / 0.21% ROI).

• 49-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.6 Units / -5.45% ROI
• 55-38 when betting on the total runs Over for +13.35 Units / 12.62% ROI
• 38-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -22.2 Units / -21.04% ROI

Pirates vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

The Brewers are 10-25 (.286) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .135.

The Brewers are 8-27 (.229) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .097.

The Brewers are 9-2 (.818) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Brewers are 30-18 (.625) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .477.

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Pirates are 38-9 (.809) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .725.

The Pirates are just 4-24 (.143) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.

The Pirates are just 2-120 (.016) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .047.

The Pirates are just 23-50 (.315) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2025 season Today, they face Brewers (second in runs allowed).

Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends

Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 44% this season — lowest in MLB.

The Brewers have a winning percentage of 62% on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Brewers are 10-25 (.286) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .135.

The Brewers are batting .380 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB.

Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends

Pirates hitters have an OPS of .790 (2,744 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Pirates hitters have an OBP of .353 (2,744 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB.

Pirates hitters have an OBP of .354 (1,943 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB.

The Pirates are batting .296 on fastballs this season — best in MLB.

Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends

The Brewers have won 59% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB.

The Brewers have won 52% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.36 (851.1 IP) this season — best in MLB.

Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends

The Pirates pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 46% of their games at home this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB.

The Pirates have allowed 5.06 runs per game (253/50) at home this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 49% of their games this season — 5th highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

Bet now on Brewers vs Pirates and all games with BetMGM

Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.