• The Brewers are -275 favorites vs the Pirates
• Brewers vs Pirates Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Brewers / Pirates TV Channel: BRTV | SNPT

The Milwaukee Brewers (-275) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (+220) on September 15, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in Pittsburgh, PA.

This season, the Brewers are 93-57 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 71-75 ATS.

Brewers vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:

• Brewers starting pitcher: Jacob Misiorowski 14-5, 1.95 ERA
• Pirates starting pitcher: Lake Bachar 1-3, 3.54 ERA

Brewers vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Brewers vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 61.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jake Bauers has hit the Walks Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+20.05 Units / 75% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+19.30 Units / 322% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+13.40 Units / 49% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 25 away games (+13.10 Units / 35% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+12.20 Units / 46% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Spencer Horwitz has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.05 Units / 30% ROI)
• Spencer Horwitz has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+12.65 Units / 52% ROI)
• Jacob Gonzalez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+10.15 Units / 40% ROI)
• Brandon Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+9.95 Units / 19% ROI)
• Konnor Griffin has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 games at home (+8.50 Units / 106% ROI)

Brewers Best Bets Today:

• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games (+10.25 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 35 games (+9.15 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games (+5.50 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 30 games (+4.90 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 30 games (+3.95 Units / 12% ROI)

Pirates Best Bets Today:

• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 19 games (+11.60 Units / 53% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 45 games at home (+9.60 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+8.55 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.55 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.40 Units / 48% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 78-72 against the Run Line (+16.7 Units / 9.79% ROI).

• 93-57 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.3 Units / 6.44% ROI
• 67-78 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.3 Units / -11.1% ROI
• 78-67 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.5 Units / 2.72% ROI

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 71-75 against the Run Line (-10.15 Units / -5.33% ROI).

• 75-75 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.55 Units / -5.69% ROI
• 76-67 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.35 Units / 1.42% ROI
• 67-76 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.25 Units / -9.87% ROI

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

The Brewers are 20-17 (.541) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Brewers are 15-2 (.882) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB.

The Brewers are 4-48 (.077) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB.

The Brewers are 30-47 (.390) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Pirates are just 6-36 (.143) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Pirates are just 10-24 (.294) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

The Pirates were just 7-44 (.137) when allowing 10 or more hits in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.

The Pirates are just 20-123 (.140) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends

Brewers hitters have an OBP of .341 (5,843 PA’s) this season — best in MLB.

The Brewers are batting .399 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB.

Brewers hitters have an OBP of .347 (4,057 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB.

Brewers hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,742 of their 5,843 plate appearances (30%) this season — highest in MLB.

Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends

Pirates hitters have struck out in 26% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Pirates hitters have put just 34% of their swings in play against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Pirates hitters have an OBP of .330 (5,813 PA’s) this season — 4th best in MLB.

Pirates hitters have 117 extra-base hits out of 401 total hits (just 29%) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends

The Brewers have won 60% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB.

The Brewers have won 49% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% in the first 5 innings this season — best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have struck out 27% of left-handed batters they faced this season — best in MLB.

Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends

The Pirates pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 43% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Pirates have won just 23% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Pirates pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 39% of their games this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have an ERA of 4.40 (660.0 IP) at home this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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