- The Rangers are -125 favorites vs the Brewers
- Brewers starting pitcher: Brandon Woodruff
- Rangers starting pitcher: Andrew Heaney
- Watch the game on BSSW
The Milwaukee Brewers (+105) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-125) on Friday, August 18, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington.
The Rangers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Brewers vs Rangers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Brewers are 65-57 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 72-48 ATS.
Brewers vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | +1.5 -190 | O 8 -105 | +105 |
| Rangers | -1.5 +155 | U 8 -115 | -125 |
Brewers vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 55.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Brewers vs Rangers and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Willy Adames has hit the RBIs Under in 27 of his last 30 games (+21.25 Units / 33% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+12.25 Units / 29% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Singles Under in 32 of his last 45 games (+12.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 28 games (+10.90 Units / 25% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 away games (+10.60 Units / 42% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Marcus Semien has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 46 games (+13.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Runs Under in 27 of his last 34 games (+11.30 Units / 17% ROI)
- Jordan Montgomery has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.95 Units / 69% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 17 games at home (+10.95 Units / 64% ROI)
- Mitch Garver has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 9 games at home (+9.65 Units / 78% ROI)
Rangers vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mark Canha | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| William Contreras | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
Rangers vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mark Canha | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| William Contreras | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Rangers vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mark Canha | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| William Contreras | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Rangers vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Heaney | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -110 |
| Brandon Woodruff | 6.5 -130 | 6.5 +100 |
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 60 of their last 100 games (+12.75 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 59 of their last 100 games (+10.85 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 42 away games (+7.90 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 61 away games (+4.90 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 23 away games (+1.55 Units / 6% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 72 of their last 113 games (+26.23 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 68 of their last 113 games (+25.55 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 58 games at home (+24.55 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 69 of their last 113 games (+19.42 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 58 games at home (+13.50 Units / 20% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 54-68 against the Run Line (-18.2 Units / -12.09% ROI).
- 65-57 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.25 Units / 0.16% ROI
- 52-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.05 Units / -14.2% ROI
- 64-52 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.95 Units / 5.26% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 72-48 against the Run Line (+27.3 Units / 18.43% ROI).
- 72-48 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.75 Units / 6.89% ROI
- 59-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.7 Units / -1.28% ROI
- 55-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.85 Units / -7.47% ROI
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brandon Woodruff allowed a batting average of just .050 vs right-handed batters (best)– 100th Percentile and .333 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (tied for sixth worst among qualified SPs)– 13th Percentile.
Brandon Woodruff has allowed a just .200 SLG vs right-handed batters (fifth best)– 95th Percentile and .714 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (third worst among qualified SPs)– fifth Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .050 (1-for-20) against Brandon Woodruff — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .252 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 52% (127/246) against Brandon Woodruff on changeups since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 112 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Andrew Heaney has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 85.9 MPH on pitches out of the zone since last season (94 balls in play) — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 112 total IP; League Avg: 80.6
Opponents are hitting just .157 (17-for-108) against Andrew Heaney’s inside fastball since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 112 total IP; League Avg: .261 — 100th Percentile.
Andrew Heaney has spotted his fastball inside for a strike just 53% (216/408) of the time this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.
Andrew Heaney has thrown elevated pitches 48% of the time (192/396) when behind in the count this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 99th Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Brewers are 13-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Brewers are 29-9 (.763) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .691.
The Brewers are 14-7 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Brewers are 15-12 (.556) after a loss as underdogs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .422.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Rangers are 22-14 (.611) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .387.
The Rangers are just 0-41 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .051.
The Rangers are just 1-122 (.008) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Rangers are 72-49 (.595) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters are slugging just .220 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
Brewers hitters are slugging just .351 on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .405.
Brewers hitters have an OPS of just .459 (2,495 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .520.
The Brewers are batting just .226 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters are slugging .504 at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .421.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of .354 (1,285 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .322.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .803 (4,723 PA’s) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .733.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .821 (1,285 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .739.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% in close and late situations since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% over the past seven days (6 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 39% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 51% against Rangers pitchers over the last 14 days (12 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Rangers pitchers since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Bradley Miller (Rangers): Hamstring, D10
- Jacob deGrom (Rangers): Elbow, D60
- Joshua Jung (Rangers): Thumb, D10
- Nathan Eovaldi (Rangers): Elbow, D15
- Eric Lauer (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Garrett Mitchell (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Darin Ruf (Brewers): Knee, D60
- Justin Wilson (Brewers): Lat, D60
- Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Labrum, D60
- Ryan Tellez (Brewers): Forearm, D10
- Blake Perkins (Brewers): Oblique, D10
- Jean Carlos Mejía (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Julio Teheran (Brewers): Hip, D15
- Jesse Winker (Brewers): Back, D10
Bet now on Brewers vs Rangers and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
