- The Rangers are -210 favorites vs the Brewers
- Brewers starting pitcher: Adrian Houser
- Rangers starting pitcher: Maxwell Scherzer
- Watch the game on BSSW
The Milwaukee Brewers (+170) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-210) on Sunday, August 20, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:35pm EDT in Arlington.
The Rangers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Brewers vs Rangers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Brewers are 67-57 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 72-50 ATS.
Brewers vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | +1.5 -115 | O 8.5 -110 | +170 |
| Rangers | -1.5 -105 | U 8.5 -110 | -210 |
Brewers vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 77.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Runs Under in 25 of his last 28 games (+18.15 Units / 32% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the RBIs Under in 27 of his last 32 games (+16.25 Units / 24% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 24 away games (+11.10 Units / 27% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 28 of his last 41 games (+10.65 Units / 19% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 47 games (+9.30 Units / 19% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Marcus Semien has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 48 games (+11.70 Units / 23% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 19 games at home (+11.55 Units / 61% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Runs Under in 27 of his last 34 games (+11.30 Units / 16% ROI)
- Jordan Montgomery has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.95 Units / 69% ROI)
- Mitch Garver has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+9.35 Units / 62% ROI)
Rangers vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Mitch Garver | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -650 |
Rangers vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Mitch Garver | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Rangers vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Mitch Garver | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
Rangers vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Scherzer | 6.5 -120 | 6.5 -110 |
| Adrian Houser | 3.5 -140 | 3.5 +105 |
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 60 of their last 102 games (+10.75 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 59 of their last 102 games (+8.85 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 44 away games (+7.80 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 63 away games (+7.00 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 25 away games (+3.55 Units / 11% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 73 of their last 115 games (+26.23 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 68 of their last 115 games (+24.35 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 60 games at home (+22.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 70 of their last 115 games (+19.42 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Over in 38 of their last 60 games at home (+13.50 Units / 20% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 56-68 against the Run Line (-16.2 Units / -10.49% ROI).
- 67-57 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.35 Units / 1.53% ROI
- 53-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.25 Units / -14.11% ROI
- 65-53 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.85 Units / 5.1% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 72-50 against the Run Line (+25.3 Units / 16.86% ROI).
- 72-50 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.25 Units / 5.35% ROI
- 60-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.9 Units / -1.41% ROI
- 56-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.95 Units / -7.43% ROI
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Adrian Houser has thrown fastballs 74% of the time (540/728) against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 11% (7/62) against Adrian Houser with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 99th Percentile.
Adrian Houser had a strike rate of 76% (57/75) — tied for 2nd highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 65% — 98th Percentile.
Adrian Houser has thrown fastballs 69% of the time (521/750) with runners in scoring position since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 113 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Max Scherzer has a first-pitch strike rate of 70% (363/516) this season — tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .226 (12-for-53) against Max Scherzer on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .341 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .089 (4-for-45) against Max Scherzer — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .238 — 100th Percentile.
Max Scherzer has allowed an OPS of just .301 (48 PA’s) — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .689 — 100th Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Brewers are 15-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Brewers are 30-17 (.638) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Brewers are 18-9 (.667) after a home loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .508.
The Brewers are 34-23 (.596) after a loss this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .486.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Rangers are just 1-124 (.008) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Rangers are just 0-43 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Rangers are 22-15 (.595) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .388.
The Rangers are just 5-113 (.042) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .093.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters are slugging just .228 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
Brewers hitters have 720 strikeouts in 2,832 PA’s (25%) against LHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Brewers are batting just .230 against LHP since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Brewers are batting just .230 against LHP since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters are slugging .499 at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .421.
Rangers hitters are slugging .275 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .212.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .851 (2,492 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .745.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of .354 (1,296 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .322.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% in close and late situations since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 53% against Rangers pitchers over the last 14 days (12 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Rangers pitchers since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 56% against Rangers pitchers over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days (12 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rangers vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Bradley Miller (Rangers): Hamstring, D10
- Jacob deGrom (Rangers): Elbow, D60
- Joshua Jung (Rangers): Thumb, D10
- Nathan Eovaldi (Rangers): Elbow, D15
- Eric Lauer (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Garrett Mitchell (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Darin Ruf (Brewers): Knee, D60
- Justin Wilson (Brewers): Lat, D60
- Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Labrum, D60
- Blake Perkins (Brewers): Oblique, D10
- Salvatore Frelick (Brewers): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Jean Carlos Mejía (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Julio Teheran (Brewers): Hip, D15
- Jesse Winker (Brewers): Back, D10
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