- The Brewers (42-33) are -105 favorites vs the Rays (40-32)
- Brewers starting pitcher: Brandon Woodruff (5-3), 4.74 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: – (-), – ERA
- Watch the game on BSSUN
The Milwaukee Brewers (-105) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-115) on Tuesday, June 28, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in St. Petersburg.
The Brewers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+165).
The Brewers vs Rays Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Brewers are 42-33 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 34-38 ATS.
Brewers vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | -1.5 +165 | O 7 -110 | -105 |
| Rays | +1.5 -200 | U 7 -110 | -115 |
Brewers vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 56.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+12.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+8.05 Units / 35% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Singles Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+5.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- Tyrone Taylor has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 5 games (+5.35 Units / 69% ROI)
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.30 Units / 43% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Runs Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+4.70 Units / 29% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Singles Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.30 Units / 64% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.70 Units / 37% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.70 Units / 36% ROI)
Rays vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brett Phillips | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Isaac Paredes | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Josh Lowe | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Randy Arozarena | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Wander Franco | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
Rays vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brett Phillips | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -190 |
| Isaac Paredes | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
| Josh Lowe | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -130 |
| Randy Arozarena | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +120 |
| Wander Franco | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +160 |
Rays vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brett Phillips | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -600 |
| Isaac Paredes | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
| Josh Lowe | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -450 |
| Randy Arozarena | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -300 |
| Wander Franco | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -375 |
Rays vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shane Baz | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -145 |
| Brandon Woodruff | 5.5 -140 | 5.5 -105 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Brewers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 33 of their last 55 games (+12.55 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 55 games (+7.45 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.15 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.25 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.15 Units / 33% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Rays: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+7.95 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 48 games (+6.70 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 26 of their last 45 games (+6.05 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+5.40 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 40 games at home (+4.80 Units / 11% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 32-43 against the Run Line (-12.25 Units / -13.82% ROI).
- 42-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.4 Units / -2.99% ROI
- 37-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.35 Units / -0.42% ROI
- 34-37 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.8 Units / -7.08% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 34-38 against the Run Line (-2.25 Units / -2.61% ROI).
- 40-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.35 Units / -2.26% ROI
- 32-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.85 Units / -9.96% ROI
- 37-32 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.2 Units / 2.75% ROI
Brandon Woodruff: Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
–: Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Brewers are 4-27 (.129) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .104.
The Brewers are just 3-15 (.167) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .279.
The Brewers are 29-5 (.853) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Brewers are just 2-4 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Rays are 3-23 (.115) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .104.
The Rays are 3-25 (.107) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .077.
The Rays are 16-5 (.762) when scoring in the first inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .675.
The Rays are 25-15 (.625) at home this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .512.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters are averaging 4.09 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Brewers hitters are averaging 4.09 pitches per plate appearance this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
9% of Brewers’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (248/2,799 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Brewers hitters are averaging 4.00 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since the start of last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.91.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have just 123 strikeouts in 672 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Rays have scored 1.61 runs per game (372/231) in late innings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.31.
Rays hitters have 687 strikeouts in 2,878 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the start of last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rays hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,260 of their 3,849 plate appearances (33%) versus relief pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 33% in close and late situations since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Brewers pitchers this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 32 of 646 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 125 of 2,108 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 619 of 8,637 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rays pitchers have walked 163 of 2,636 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jon Chargois (Rays): Oblique, D60
- Peter Fairbanks (Rays): Lat, D60
- Kevin Kiermaier (Rays): Hip, D10
- Drew Rasmussen (Rays): Hamstring, D15
- Michael Zunino (Rays): Shoulder, D10
- Manuel Margot (Rays): Knee, D60
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Brendan McKay (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Yonny Chirinos (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D15
- Nick Anderson (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Luis Patiño (Rays): Oblique, D60
- Brandon Lowe (Rays): Back, D10
- Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Luis Perdomo (Brewers): Elbow, D15
- Alex J Jackson (Brewers): Finger, D10
- Dustin Renfroe (Brewers): Calf, D10
- Jake O. Cousins (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Miguel Sánchez (Brewers): Right UCL, D15
- Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Forearm, D15
- Justin Topa (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Freddy Peralta (Brewers): Lat, D60
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