Brewers vs Rays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 28

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 28, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Brewers (42-33) are -105 favorites vs the Rays (40-32)
  • Brewers starting pitcher: Brandon Woodruff (5-3), 4.74 ERA
  • Rays starting pitcher: (-), ERA
  • Watch the game on BSSUN

The Milwaukee Brewers (-105) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-115) on Tuesday, June 28, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in St. Petersburg.

The Brewers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+165).

The Brewers vs Rays Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Brewers are 42-33 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 34-38 ATS.

Brewers vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Brewers-1.5 +165O 7 -110-105
Rays +1.5 -200U 7 -110-115

Brewers vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 56.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Rays vs Brewers and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+12.10 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Christian Yelich has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+8.05 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Rowdy Tellez has hit the Singles Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+5.70 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Tyrone Taylor has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 5 games (+5.35 Units / 69% ROI)

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Randy Arozarena has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.30 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Randy Arozarena has hit the Runs Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+4.70 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Randy Arozarena has hit the Singles Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.30 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Josh Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.70 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Josh Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.70 Units / 36% ROI)

Rays vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brett Phillips 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500
Isaac Paredes 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Josh Lowe 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500
Randy Arozarena 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Wander Franco 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500

Rays vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brett Phillips 0.5 +135 0.5 -190
Isaac Paredes 0.5 -155 0.5 +110
Josh Lowe 0.5 -110 0.5 -130
Randy Arozarena 0.5 -165 0.5 +120
Wander Franco 0.5 -250 0.5 +160

Rays vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brett Phillips 0.5 +325 0.5 -600
Isaac Paredes 0.5 +185 0.5 -275
Josh Lowe 0.5 +280 0.5 -450
Randy Arozarena 0.5 +195 0.5 -300
Wander Franco 0.5 +250 0.5 -375

Rays vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Shane Baz 5.5 +100 5.5 -145
Brandon Woodruff 5.5 -140 5.5 -105
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 33 of their last 55 games (+12.55 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 55 games (+7.45 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.15 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.25 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.15 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+7.95 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 48 games (+6.70 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 26 of their last 45 games (+6.05 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+5.40 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 40 games at home (+4.80 Units / 11% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 32-43 against the Run Line (-12.25 Units / -13.82% ROI).

  • 42-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.4 Units / -2.99% ROI
  • 37-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.35 Units / -0.42% ROI
  • 34-37 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.8 Units / -7.08% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 34-38 against the Run Line (-2.25 Units / -2.61% ROI).

  • 40-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.35 Units / -2.26% ROI
  • 32-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.85 Units / -9.96% ROI
  • 37-32 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.2 Units / 2.75% ROI

No Matchup notes for this Game

: Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

No Matchup notes for this Game

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Brewers are 4-27 (.129) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .104.

The Brewers are just 3-15 (.167) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .279.

The Brewers are 29-5 (.853) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .796.

The Brewers are just 2-4 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Rays are 3-23 (.115) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .104.

The Rays are 3-25 (.107) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .077.

The Rays are 16-5 (.762) when scoring in the first inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .675.

The Rays are 25-15 (.625) at home this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .512.

Brewers hitters are averaging 4.09 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

Brewers hitters are averaging 4.09 pitches per plate appearance this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

9% of Brewers’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (248/2,799 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.

Brewers hitters are averaging 4.00 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since the start of last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.91.

Rays hitters have just 123 strikeouts in 672 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Rays have scored 1.61 runs per game (372/231) in late innings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.31.

Rays hitters have 687 strikeouts in 2,878 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the start of last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Rays hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,260 of their 3,849 plate appearances (33%) versus relief pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 33% in close and late situations since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Brewers pitchers this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Rays pitchers have walked 32 of 646 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have walked 125 of 2,108 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have walked 619 of 8,637 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Rays pitchers have walked 163 of 2,636 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Jon Chargois (Rays): Oblique, D60
  • Peter Fairbanks (Rays): Lat, D60
  • Kevin Kiermaier (Rays): Hip, D10
  • Drew Rasmussen (Rays): Hamstring, D15
  • Michael Zunino (Rays): Shoulder, D10
  • Manuel Margot (Rays): Knee, D60
  • Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Brendan McKay (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Yonny Chirinos (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D15
  • Nick Anderson (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Luis Patiño (Rays): Oblique, D60
  • Brandon Lowe (Rays): Back, D10
  • Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Luis Perdomo (Brewers): Elbow, D15
  • Alex J Jackson (Brewers): Finger, D10
  • Dustin Renfroe (Brewers): Calf, D10
  • Jake O. Cousins (Brewers): Elbow, D60
  • Miguel Sánchez (Brewers): Right UCL, D15
  • Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Forearm, D15
  • Justin Topa (Brewers): Elbow, D60
  • Freddy Peralta (Brewers): Lat, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.