- The – (45-28) are favorites vs the – (45-28)
- Brewers starting pitcher: Eric Lauer (6-3), 3.89 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Jalen Beeks (1-1), 2.58 ERA
- Watch the game on BSSUN
The Milwaukee Brewers () visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays () on Wednesday, June 29, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 12:10pm EDT in St. Petersburg.
The – are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at ().
The Brewers vs Rays Over/Under is total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Brewers are 43-33 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 34-39 ATS.
Brewers vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | O | ||
| Rays | U |
Brewers vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 62.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+13.10 Units / 33% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.10 Units / 37% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Singles Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 76% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+6.70 Units / 30% ROI)
- Andrew McCutchen has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 48% ROI)
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+6.30 Units / 35% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+5.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Singles Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.50 Units / 73% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Hits Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.95 Units / 42% ROI)
Rays vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Mejia | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Harold Ramirez | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Ji-Man Choi | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Randy Arozarena | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Vidal Brujan | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
Rays vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Mejia | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
| Harold Ramirez | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
| Ji-Man Choi | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +105 |
| Randy Arozarena | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
| Vidal Brujan | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +110 |
Rays vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Mejia | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Harold Ramirez | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -250 |
| Ji-Man Choi | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Randy Arozarena | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -250 |
| Vidal Brujan | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -350 |
Rays vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Lauer | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -145 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Brewers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 33 of their last 56 games (+11.50 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 56 games (+8.50 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.15 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.65 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 away games (+4.50 Units / 50% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Rays: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 49 games (+8.00 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 27 of their last 46 games (+7.05 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+6.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 21 games at home (+4.40 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 41 games at home (+3.55 Units / 8% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 33-43 against the Run Line (-11.25 Units / -12.36% ROI).
- 43-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.4 Units / -2.09% ROI
- 38-34 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.7 Units / 0.83% ROI
- 34-38 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.05 Units / -8.47% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 34-39 against the Run Line (-3.25 Units / -3.72% ROI).
- 40-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.5 Units / -3.33% ROI
- 33-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.8 Units / -8.52% ROI
- 37-33 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.95 Units / 1.17% ROI
Eric Lauer: Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Eric Lauer has allowed an OPS of 1.826 (47 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 1.028 — first Percentile.
Eric Lauer has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.167 (42 Total Bases / 36 ABs) when behind in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total IP; League Avg: .578 — 0 Percentile.
Eric Lauer has allowed a slugging percentage of .717 (91 Total Bases / 127 ABs) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .526 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .556 (20-for-36) against Eric Lauer when he’s behind in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total IP; League Avg: .332 — 0 Percentile.
Jalen Beeks: Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jalen Beeks has thrown his changeup 56% of the time (195/348) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 15% — 97th Percentile.
Jalen Beeks has thrown his changeup 35% of the time (44/124) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 7th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 12% — 94th Percentile.
Jalen Beeks has thrown his changeup 43% of the time (36/84) when he’s behind in the count this season — 5th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 17% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 33% (31/95) against Jalen Beeks this season — 13th best among among 101 qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 88th Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Brewers are 24-18 (.571) on the road this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .487.
The Brewers are just 3-15 (.167) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .280.
The Brewers are 30-5 (.857) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Brewers are 24-7 (.774) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .717.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Rays are 16-5 (.762) when scoring in the first inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .677.
The Rays are 25-16 (.610) at home this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .513.
The Rays are 76-13 (.854) when totaling 10 or more hits since the 2020 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .735.
The Rays are 6-4 (.600) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters are averaging 4.10 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Brewers hitters are averaging 4.09 pitches per plate appearance this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
The Brewers are batting just .227 at home since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Brewers are batting just .228 against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have an OBP of just .290 (2,006 PA’s) against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .309.
Rays hitters have an OPS of just .442 (1,459 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .507.
Rays hitters have an OPS of just .657 (2,006 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .702.
Rays hitters have 506 strikeouts in 2,006 PA’s (25%) against RHP this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 33% in close and late situations since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Brewers pitchers since the start of last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 33 of 655 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 126 of 2,117 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 164 of 2,645 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 623 of 8,674 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rays vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jon Chargois (Rays): Oblique, D60
- Peter Fairbanks (Rays): Lat, D60
- Kevin Kiermaier (Rays): Hip, D10
- Drew Rasmussen (Rays): Hamstring, D15
- Michael Zunino (Rays): Shoulder, D10
- Manuel Margot (Rays): Knee, D60
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Brendan McKay (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Yonny Chirinos (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D15
- Nick Anderson (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Luis Patiño (Rays): Oblique, D60
- Brandon Lowe (Rays): Back, D10
- Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Luis Perdomo (Brewers): Elbow, D15
- Alex J Jackson (Brewers): Finger, D10
- Dustin Renfroe (Brewers): Calf, D10
- Jake O. Cousins (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Jonathan Davis (Brewers): Back/Rib cage, Day-to-Day
- Miguel Sánchez (Brewers): Elbow, D15
- Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Forearm, D15
- Justin Topa (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Freddy Peralta (Brewers): Lat, D60
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