Brewers vs Red Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 7

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The Milwaukee Brewers (+125) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-150) on April 7, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45 pm in Boston, MA.

This season, the Brewers are 8-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 2-8 ATS.

Brewers vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Brewers starting pitcher: Jacob Misiorowski 1-0, 2.46 ERA
  • Red Sox starting pitcher: Garrett Crochet 1-1, 3.28 ERA

Brewers vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Brewers vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 57.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Gary Sanchez has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games (+17.20 Units / 215% ROI)
  • Brandon Lockridge has hit the Singles Over in his last 6 games (+6.90 Units / 114% ROI)
  • Gary Sanchez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+6.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Brandon Lockridge has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Brandon Lockridge has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 67% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Garrett Crochet has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+8.20 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Garrett Crochet has hit the Strikeouts Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.95 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Garrett Crochet has hit the Earned Runs Under in 14 of his last 25 games (+4.55 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Garrett Crochet has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 5 of his last 8 games at home (+3.60 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Garrett Crochet has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 79 of their last 125 games (+25.15 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 78 of their last 161 games (+18.75 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 94 of their last 161 games (+17.70 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 73 of their last 125 games (+17.62 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 55 of their last 97 games (+17.10 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 60 of their last 100 games (+16.45 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 48 of their last 78 games at home (+13.55 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 78 games at home (+10.70 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 45 of their last 80 games (+10.30 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 47 games (+7.35 Units / 13% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 8-2 against the Run Line (+7.4 Units / 74% ROI).

  • 8-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.4 Units / 33.98% ROI
  • 7-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.7 Units / 27.55% ROI
  • 3-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.7 Units / -37% ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 2-8 against the Run Line (-5.15 Units / -52.28% ROI).

  • 2-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.4 Units / -60.91% ROI
  • 6-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.65 Units / 6.67% ROI
  • 4-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.6 Units / -15.92% ROI

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Brewers were 45-36 (.556) on the road in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .457.

The Brewers were 71-7 (.910) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .797.

The Brewers are 65-38 (.631) after a win since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .517.

The Brewers are 79-7 (.919) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .795.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Red Sox are just 2-8 (.200) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Red Sox are just 2-7 (.222) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .519.

The Red Sox were 37-14 (.725) when they scored in the first inning in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .636.

The Red Sox were 71-4 (.947) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .909.

Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against RHP since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Brewers hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 140 of their 402 plate appearances (35%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Brewers hitters have an OBP of .385 (267 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Brewers hitters have an OBP of .376 (402 PA’s) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters had 81 extra-base hits out of 186 total hits (43%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

The Red Sox batted .258 against LHP in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters had an OPS of .754 (1,943 PA’s) in innings 7-9 in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB.

The Red Sox are batting .259 against LHP since the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Brewers pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Brewers pitchers had an ERA of 3.59 (1442.0 IP) in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 33% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.58 (1531.0 IP) since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have walked 4% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Red Sox pitchers since the 2025 season — 4th highest in MLB.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 46% against Red Sox pitchers in the 2025 season — 4th highest in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers had an ERA of 3.72 (1448.1 IP) in the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.