- The Brewers (37-30) are -130 favorites vs the Reds (23-42)
- Brewers starting pitcher: Adrian Houser (3-7), 4.21 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Michael Minor (1-2), 7.36 ERA
- Watch the game on BSOH
The Milwaukee Brewers (-130) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+105) on Sunday, June 19, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Cincinnati.
The Brewers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Brewers vs Reds Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Brewers are 37-30 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 30-35 ATS.
Brewers vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | -1.5 +120 | O 9.5 -110 | -130 |
| Reds | +1.5 -145 | U 9.5 -110 | +105 |
Brewers vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Sunday‘s matchup with 65.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Reds vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Albert Almora Jr. | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Brandon Drury | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Joey Votto | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Kyle Farmer | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
Reds vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Albert Almora Jr. | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +125 |
| Brandon Drury | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Joey Votto | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
| Kyle Farmer | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
Reds vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Albert Almora Jr. | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
| Brandon Drury | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -300 |
| Joey Votto | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -185 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Kyle Farmer | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
Reds vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mike Minor | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -115 |
| Adrian Houser | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -175 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Brewers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Reds: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 28-39 against the Run Line (-12.5 Units / -15.71% ROI).
- 37-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.55 Units / -5.38% ROI
- 33-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.85 Units / -1.13% ROI
- 31-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.2 Units / -5.76% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 30-35 against the Run Line (-9.5 Units / -11.69% ROI).
- 23-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.25 Units / -21.63% ROI
- 35-29 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.95 Units / 4.11% ROI
- 29-35 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.75 Units / -13.6% ROI
Adrian Houser: Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Adrian Houser has a strike rate of just 56% (155/279) with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Adrian Houser has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 85.1 MPH on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season (94 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: 89.9
Adrian Houser has struck out just 15% (21/142) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 7th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — ninth Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% (96/498) against Adrian Houser this season — tied for 8th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 11th Percentile.
Michael Minor: Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
21 of Mike Minor’s 68 breaking pitch strikeouts (31%) have been backdoor since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .361 (48-for-133) against Mike Minor with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: .249 — second Percentile.
23 of Mike Minor’s 86 breaking pitch strikeouts (27%) have been backdoor since the start of 2020 — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 141 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 98th Percentile.
Mike Minor has thrown elevated pitches 46% of the time (285/626) when behind in the count since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 98th Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Brewers are 3-23 (.115) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .074.
The Brewers are just 3-13 (.188) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .279.
The Brewers are 16-5 (.762) when scoring in the first inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .673.
The Brewers are 4-24 (.143) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .099.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Reds are just 11-23 (.324) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .491.
The Reds are just 0-34 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .099.
The Reds are just 12-19 (.387) at home this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .509.
The Reds are just 0-35 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .074.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters are averaging 4.09 pitches per plate appearance this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Brewers hitters are averaging 4.09 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
The Brewers are batting just .227 against LHP since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Brewers are batting just .322 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters are slugging just .320 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .385.
The Reds have a winning percentage of just 32% on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Reds hitters have an OPS of just .595 (1,222 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .693.
Reds hitters have an OBP of .345 (1,164 PA’s) at home this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 11% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Brewers pitchers this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Brewers pitchers since the start of last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% in close and late situations since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Reds pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 31 double plays in 503 opportunities (6%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Reds pitchers have walked 869 of 8,681 batters (10%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Reds pitchers have an ERA of 5.46 (277.0 IP) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.86.
Reds pitchers have walked 252 of 2,482 batters (10%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Reds vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
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