Brewers vs Reds Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 19

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 19, 2022, 11:05 AM
  • The Brewers (37-30) are -130 favorites vs the Reds (23-42)
  • Brewers starting pitcher: Adrian Houser (3-7), 4.21 ERA
  • Reds starting pitcher: Michael Minor (1-2), 7.36 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSOH

The Milwaukee Brewers (-130) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+105) on Sunday, June 19, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Cincinnati.

The Brewers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).

The Brewers vs Reds Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Brewers are 37-30 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 30-35 ATS.

Brewers vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Brewers-1.5 +120O 9.5 -110-130
Reds +1.5 -145U 9.5 -110+105

Brewers vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Sunday‘s matchup with 65.8% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Reds vs Brewers and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+8.70 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Willy Adames has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.40 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Christian Yelich has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.05 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Jace Peterson has hit the Runs Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Christian Yelich has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.75 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Mike Moustakas has hit the Singles Over in his last 5 games (+6.20 Units / 124% ROI)
  • Brandon Drury has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.15 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Brandon Drury has hit the Singles Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 76% ROI)
  • Mike Moustakas has hit the Hits Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Mike Moustakas has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Reds vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Albert Almora Jr. 0.5 +825 0.5 -5000
    Brandon Drury 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
    Joey Votto 0.5 +280 0.5 -450
    Jonathan India 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
    Kyle Farmer 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500

    Reds vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Albert Almora Jr. 0.5 -175 0.5 +125
    Brandon Drury 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
    Joey Votto 0.5 -190 0.5 +135
    Jonathan India 0.5 -225 0.5 +150
    Kyle Farmer 0.5 -225 0.5 +155

    Reds vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Albert Almora Jr. 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
    Brandon Drury 0.5 +195 0.5 -300
    Joey Votto 0.5 +130 0.5 -185
    Jonathan India 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
    Kyle Farmer 0.5 +185 0.5 -275

    Reds vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Mike Minor 5.5 -120 5.5 -115
    Adrian Houser 4.5 +125 4.5 -175
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 27 of their last 47 games (+7.60 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 47 games (+6.95 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.20 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 20 away games (+2.65 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 36 away games (+2.25 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 37 games (+13.00 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 39 games (+9.40 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 24 of their last 39 games (+9.15 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 26 games at home (+7.20 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.75 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 28-39 against the Run Line (-12.5 Units / -15.71% ROI).

    • 37-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.55 Units / -5.38% ROI
    • 33-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.85 Units / -1.13% ROI
    • 31-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.2 Units / -5.76% ROI

    Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 30-35 against the Run Line (-9.5 Units / -11.69% ROI).

    • 23-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.25 Units / -21.63% ROI
    • 35-29 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.95 Units / 4.11% ROI
    • 29-35 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.75 Units / -13.6% ROI

    Adrian Houser has a strike rate of just 56% (155/279) with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.

    Adrian Houser has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 85.1 MPH on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season (94 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: 89.9

    Adrian Houser has struck out just 15% (21/142) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 7th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — ninth Percentile.

    Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% (96/498) against Adrian Houser this season — tied for 8th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 11th Percentile.

    Michael Minor: Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

    21 of Mike Minor’s 68 breaking pitch strikeouts (31%) have been backdoor since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 97th Percentile.

    Opponents are hitting .361 (48-for-133) against Mike Minor with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: .249 — second Percentile.

    23 of Mike Minor’s 86 breaking pitch strikeouts (27%) have been backdoor since the start of 2020 — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 141 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 98th Percentile.

    Mike Minor has thrown elevated pitches 46% of the time (285/626) when behind in the count since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 98th Percentile.

    Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

    The Brewers are 3-23 (.115) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .074.

    The Brewers are just 3-13 (.188) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .279.

    The Brewers are 16-5 (.762) when scoring in the first inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .673.

    The Brewers are 4-24 (.143) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .099.

    Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

    The Reds are just 11-23 (.324) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .491.

    The Reds are just 0-34 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .099.

    The Reds are just 12-19 (.387) at home this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .509.

    The Reds are just 0-35 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .074.

    Brewers hitters are averaging 4.09 pitches per plate appearance this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

    Brewers hitters are averaging 4.09 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

    The Brewers are batting just .227 against LHP since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

    The Brewers are batting just .322 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.

    Reds hitters are slugging just .320 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .385.

    The Reds have a winning percentage of just 32% on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.

    Reds hitters have an OPS of just .595 (1,222 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .693.

    Reds hitters have an OBP of .345 (1,164 PA’s) at home this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .315.

    Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 11% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

    Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Brewers pitchers this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

    Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Brewers pitchers since the start of last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

    Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% in close and late situations since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

    Reds pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 31 double plays in 503 opportunities (6%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

    Reds pitchers have walked 869 of 8,681 batters (10%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

    Reds pitchers have an ERA of 5.46 (277.0 IP) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.86.

    Reds pitchers have walked 252 of 2,482 batters (10%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

    Reds vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D15
  • Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
  • Lucas Sims (Reds): Lower Back, D60
  • Aristides Aquino (Reds): Calf, D10
  • Donovan Solano (Reds): Hamstring, D60
  • Connor Overton (Reds): Back, D60
  • Nicholas Lodolo (Reds): Back, D10
  • Tyler Stephenson (Reds): Hand, D10
  • Jake Fraley (Reds): Knee, D60
  • Justin Wilson (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Forearm, D15
  • Daniel Duarte (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Tyler Naquin (Reds): Quad, D10
  • Tejay Antone (Reds): Undisclosed, D60
  • Luis Perdomo (Brewers): Elbow, D15
  • Alex J Jackson (Brewers): Finger, D10
  • Trevor Gott (Brewers): Groin, D15
  • Jake O. Cousins (Brewers): Elbow, D60
  • Kolten Wong (Brewers): Calf, D10
  • Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Forearm, Day-to-Day
  • Brandon Woodruff (Brewers): Ankle, D15
  • Jandel Gustave (Brewers): Hamstring, D15
  • Justin Topa (Brewers): Elbow, D60
  • Freddy Peralta (Brewers): Lat, D60
  • Michael Brosseau (Brewers): Ankle, D10

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.