- The Brewers are -160 favorites vs the Reds
- Brewers starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes
- Reds starting pitcher: Brandon Williamson
- Watch the game on Apple TV+
The Milwaukee Brewers (-160) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+135) on Friday, June 2, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 5:10pm EDT in Cincinnati.
The Brewers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Brewers vs Reds Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.
This season, the Brewers are 29-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 33-23 ATS.
Brewers vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Brewers | -1.5 -105 | O 10 -110 | -160 |
Reds | +1.5 -115 | U 10 -110 | +135 |
Brewers vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 77.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Owen Miller has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 16 away games (+13.90 Units / 45% ROI)
- Owen Miller has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 16 away games (+11.70 Units / 54% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 27 of his last 40 games (+10.90 Units / 21% ROI)
- Owen Miller has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 27 games (+10.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Singles Under in 30 of his last 42 games (+10.50 Units / 15% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jonathan India has hit the Runs Over in 31 of his last 48 games (+19.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 16 games (+12.70 Units / 41% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+12.15 Units / 41% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Runs Over in 23 of his last 43 games (+11.65 Units / 27% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 30 games (+11.20 Units / 30% ROI)
Reds vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
Jonathan India | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
Darin Ruf | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
Christian Yelich | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Owen Miller | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
Reds vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
Jonathan India | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Darin Ruf | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
Christian Yelich | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
Owen Miller | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -250 |
Reds vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
Jonathan India | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
Darin Ruf | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Christian Yelich | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Owen Miller | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
Reds vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Corbin Burnes | 6.5 -110 | 6.5 -120 |
Brandon Williamson | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -130 |
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 34 games (+12.55 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 34 games (+9.85 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 50 games (+5.65 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 55 games (+1.55 Units / 2% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 6 away games (+0.20 Units / 3% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 28 games at home (+12.55 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 34 games (+9.00 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 55 games (+8.65 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 49 games (+7.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 25 games (+6.50 Units / 23% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 26-30 against the Run Line (-5.8 Units / -8.4% ROI).
- 29-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.15 Units / 0.22% ROI
- 24-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.5 Units / -15.3% ROI
- 30-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.5 Units / 5.72% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 33-23 against the Run Line (+7.65 Units / 10.81% ROI).
- 26-30 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.6 Units / 2.67% ROI
- 32-24 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.05 Units / 9.91% ROI
- 24-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.3 Units / -18.18% ROI
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 63% of the time (203/321) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has thrown low pitches 64% of the time (678/1,065) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 55% of the time (47/85) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes allowed a batting average of .320 vs right-handed batters (tied for ninth worst)– 14th Percentile and just .143 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (tied for eighth best among qualified SPs)– 89th Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brandon Williamson has walked 8 of 54 right-handed batters (15%) over the last 30 days (3 games) — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 7% — fourth Percentile.
Brandon Williamson has walked 9 of 63 batters (14%) over the last 30 days (3 games) — tied for 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 8% — fourth Percentile.
Brandon Williamson has thrown his cutter 31% of the time (74/237) over the last 30 days (3 games) — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total CUT; League Avg: 20% — 91st Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Brewers are just 11-48 (.186) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The Brewers are 25-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Brewers are just 0-26 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Brewers are just 2-13 (.133) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .271.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Reds are just 22-23 (.489) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.
The Reds are just 15-27 (.357) after a home win since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .538.
The Reds are just 24-34 (.414) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .649.
The Reds are 8-19 (.296) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .135.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in just 452 of their 2,040 plate appearances (22%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Brewers hitters have an OPS of just .626 (525 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .751.
The Brewers are batting just .230 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
The Brewers are batting just .219 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters are slugging just .222 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .269.
The Reds are batting .447 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game over the last 14 days (11 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .274.
Reds hitters have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 33% against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Reds hitters have a swing rate of just 26% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have walked 2 of 113 batters (2%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Brewers pitchers have walked 31 of 492 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Brewers pitchers have won 43% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .300 against Reds pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .310 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .251.
Reds pitchers have walked 815 of 8,394 batters (10%) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .340 against Reds pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Reds vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
- William Myers (Reds): Kidney Stones, D10
- Terry Friedl (Reds): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
- Derek Law (Reds): Elbow, D15
- Connor Overton (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Casey Legumina (Reds): Ankle, D15
- Nicholas Lodolo (Reds): Calf, D15
- Henry Ramos (Reds): Hip, D10
- Reiver Sanmartin (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Joseph Votto (Reds): Bicep/Shoulder, D60
- Luis UrÃas (Brewers): Hamstring, D60
- Matthew Bush (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Eric Lauer (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Garrett Mitchell (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Wade Miley (Brewers): Lat Strain, D15
- Justin Wilson (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Labrum, D60
- Jason Alexander (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Willy Adames (Brewers): Head, D7
- Brandon Woodruff (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Jacob Bukauskas (Brewers): Spine, D15
- Jesse Winker (Brewers): Neck, D10
- Tyrone Taylor (Brewers): Elbow, Day-to-Day
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