- The Brewers are -160 favorites vs the Reds
- Brewers starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes
- Reds starting pitcher: Brandon Williamson
- Watch the game on Apple TV+
The Milwaukee Brewers (-160) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+135) on Friday, June 2, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 5:10pm EDT in Cincinnati.
The Brewers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Brewers vs Reds Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.
This season, the Brewers are 29-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 33-23 ATS.
Brewers vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | -1.5 -105 | O 10 -110 | -160 |
| Reds | +1.5 -115 | U 10 -110 | +135 |
Brewers vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 77.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Brewers vs Reds and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Owen Miller has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 16 away games (+13.90 Units / 45% ROI)
- Owen Miller has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 16 away games (+11.70 Units / 54% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 27 of his last 40 games (+10.90 Units / 21% ROI)
- Owen Miller has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 27 games (+10.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Singles Under in 30 of his last 42 games (+10.50 Units / 15% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jonathan India has hit the Runs Over in 31 of his last 48 games (+19.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 16 games (+12.70 Units / 41% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+12.15 Units / 41% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Runs Over in 23 of his last 43 games (+11.65 Units / 27% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 30 games (+11.20 Units / 30% ROI)
Reds vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Darin Ruf | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Owen Miller | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
Reds vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Darin Ruf | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Owen Miller | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -250 |
Reds vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Darin Ruf | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Owen Miller | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
Reds vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corbin Burnes | 6.5 -110 | 6.5 -120 |
| Brandon Williamson | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -130 |
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 34 games (+12.55 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 34 games (+9.85 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 50 games (+5.65 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 55 games (+1.55 Units / 2% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 6 away games (+0.20 Units / 3% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 28 games at home (+12.55 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 34 games (+9.00 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 55 games (+8.65 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 49 games (+7.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 25 games (+6.50 Units / 23% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 26-30 against the Run Line (-5.8 Units / -8.4% ROI).
- 29-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.15 Units / 0.22% ROI
- 24-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.5 Units / -15.3% ROI
- 30-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.5 Units / 5.72% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 33-23 against the Run Line (+7.65 Units / 10.81% ROI).
- 26-30 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.6 Units / 2.67% ROI
- 32-24 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.05 Units / 9.91% ROI
- 24-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.3 Units / -18.18% ROI
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 63% of the time (203/321) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has thrown low pitches 64% of the time (678/1,065) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 55% of the time (47/85) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes allowed a batting average of .320 vs right-handed batters (tied for ninth worst)– 14th Percentile and just .143 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (tied for eighth best among qualified SPs)– 89th Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brandon Williamson has walked 8 of 54 right-handed batters (15%) over the last 30 days (3 games) — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 7% — fourth Percentile.
Brandon Williamson has walked 9 of 63 batters (14%) over the last 30 days (3 games) — tied for 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 8% — fourth Percentile.
Brandon Williamson has thrown his cutter 31% of the time (74/237) over the last 30 days (3 games) — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total CUT; League Avg: 20% — 91st Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Brewers are just 11-48 (.186) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The Brewers are 25-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Brewers are just 0-26 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Brewers are just 2-13 (.133) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .271.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Reds are just 22-23 (.489) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.
The Reds are just 15-27 (.357) after a home win since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .538.
The Reds are just 24-34 (.414) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .649.
The Reds are 8-19 (.296) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .135.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in just 452 of their 2,040 plate appearances (22%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Brewers hitters have an OPS of just .626 (525 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .751.
The Brewers are batting just .230 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
The Brewers are batting just .219 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters are slugging just .222 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .269.
The Reds are batting .447 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game over the last 14 days (11 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .274.
Reds hitters have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 33% against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Reds hitters have a swing rate of just 26% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have walked 2 of 113 batters (2%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Brewers pitchers have walked 31 of 492 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Brewers pitchers have won 43% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .300 against Reds pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .310 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .251.
Reds pitchers have walked 815 of 8,394 batters (10%) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .340 against Reds pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Reds vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
- William Myers (Reds): Kidney Stones, D10
- Terry Friedl (Reds): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
- Derek Law (Reds): Elbow, D15
- Connor Overton (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Casey Legumina (Reds): Ankle, D15
- Nicholas Lodolo (Reds): Calf, D15
- Henry Ramos (Reds): Hip, D10
- Reiver Sanmartin (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Joseph Votto (Reds): Bicep/Shoulder, D60
- Luis UrÃas (Brewers): Hamstring, D60
- Matthew Bush (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Eric Lauer (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Garrett Mitchell (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Wade Miley (Brewers): Lat Strain, D15
- Justin Wilson (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Labrum, D60
- Jason Alexander (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Willy Adames (Brewers): Head, D7
- Brandon Woodruff (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Jacob Bukauskas (Brewers): Spine, D15
- Jesse Winker (Brewers): Neck, D10
- Tyrone Taylor (Brewers): Elbow, Day-to-Day
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