Brewers vs Reds Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 22

Cincinnati Reds' Blake Dunn rounds the bases to score on a base hit by Matt McLain during the third inning of a spring training baseball game against the Los Angeles Angels, Tuesday, March 18, 2025, in Goodyear, Ariz. (AP Photo/Matt York)
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  • The Brewers are -155 favorites vs the Reds
  • Brewers vs Reds Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
  • Brewers / Reds TV Channel: RDTV | BRTV

The Milwaukee Brewers (-155) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+125) on June 22, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in Cincinnati, OH.

This season, the Brewers are 46-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 42-33 ATS.

Brewers vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Brewers starting pitcher: Brandon Sproat 1-4, 5.91 ERA
  • Reds starting pitcher: Brady Singer 3-6, 5.38 ERA

Brewers vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Brewers-1.5 +105O 9.5 -118-155
Reds +1.5 -125U 9.5 -102+125

Brewers vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Monday‘s MLB game with 61.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jackson Chourio has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+13.00 Units / 130% ROI)
  • Sal Frelick has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.25 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Brice Turang has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+10.55 Units / 28% ROI)
  • William Contreras has hit the Walks Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+10.05 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Sal Frelick has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+9.45 Units / 30% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Tyler Stephenson has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 25 games at home (+17.15 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Noelvi Marte has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games at home (+15.20 Units / 304% ROI)
  • Spencer Steer has hit the Singles Under in his last 15 games (+15.00 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Sal Stewart has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+13.35 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Sal Stewart has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+13.20 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 50 games (+10.75 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 50 games (+10.20 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games (+8.35 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games (+8.10 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 45 games (+7.30 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.80 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+8.45 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.80 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games at home (+5.00 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+4.40 Units / 41% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 43-32 against the Run Line (+16.15 Units / 18.05% ROI).

  • 46-29 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.85 Units / 7.46% ROI
  • 34-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.85 Units / -10.71% ROI
  • 39-34 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.7 Units / 2.06% ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 42-33 against the Run Line (-0.15 Units / -0.14% ROI).

  • 37-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.45 Units / -2.86% ROI
  • 45-30 when betting on the total runs Over for +11.7 Units / 13.87% ROI
  • 30-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -19 Units / -22.92% ROI

Reds vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Jackson Chourio +270
JJ Bleday +270
Jake Bauers +300
Eugenio Suarez +300
Sal Stewart +333

Reds vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brice Turang 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Sal Frelick 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Sal Stewart 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Blake Dunn 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Cooper Pratt 0.5 -185 0.5 +135

Reds vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brice Turang 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
JJ Bleday 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Tyler Stephenson 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Spencer Steer 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Edwin Arroyo 0.5 -220 0.5 +165

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Brewers are 8-21 (.276) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .105.

The Brewers are 30-15 (.667) after a win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .511.

The Brewers are 7-20 (.259) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .140.

The Brewers are 46-29 (.613) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Reds are just 2-10 (.167) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Reds are 4-33 (.108) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .055.

The Reds are 32-5 (.865) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .727.

The Reds are just 5-34 (.128) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .208.

The Brewers are batting .392 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB.

Brewers hitters are slugging just .357 against LHP this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.

Brewers hitters have an OBP of .340 (2,929 PA’s) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Brewers hitters have struck out in just 16% of their PA’s in righty-righty matchups this season — best in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .121 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .217 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .216 at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .210 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Brewers pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Brewers pitchers this season — best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Reds pitchers have walked 12% of batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of just 57% this season — lowest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have an ERA of 6.49 (130.1 IP) against division opponents this season — highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.