- The Brewers are -115 favorites vs the Reds
- Brewers starting pitcher: Colin Rea
- Reds starting pitcher: Douglas Ashcraft
- Watch the game on BSOH
The Milwaukee Brewers (-115) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-105) on Saturday, June 3, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Cincinnati.
The Brewers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Brewers vs Reds Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.
This season, the Brewers are 30-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 34-23 ATS.
Brewers vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Brewers | -1.5 +135 | O 10 +100 | -115 |
Reds | +1.5 -165 | U 10 -120 | -105 |
Brewers vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 58.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Brewers vs Reds and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Owen Miller has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 away games (+15.75 Units / 50% ROI)
- Owen Miller has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 17 away games (+12.70 Units / 55% ROI)
- Owen Miller has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 28 games (+11.75 Units / 30% ROI)
- Owen Miller has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 17 away games (+11.35 Units / 53% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 27 of his last 40 games (+10.90 Units / 21% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jonathan India has hit the Runs Over in 32 of his last 49 games (+20.95 Units / 41% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 16 games (+12.70 Units / 41% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 32 of his last 49 games (+12.65 Units / 22% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+11.25 Units / 112% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 30 games (+11.20 Units / 30% ROI)
Reds vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Jonathan India | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
Owen Miller | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
Christian Yelich | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
William Contreras | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Spencer Steer | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Reds vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Jonathan India | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
Owen Miller | 1.5 +160 | 1.5 -210 |
William Contreras | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Spencer Steer | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Brian Anderson | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Reds vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Jonathan India | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Owen Miller | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Christian Yelich | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
William Contreras | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Spencer Steer | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
Reds vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Colin Rea | 4.5 +130 | 4.5 -175 |
Graham Ashcraft | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +100 |
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 35 games (+13.55 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 35 games (+10.85 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 51 games (+6.65 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 56 games (+2.55 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 away games (+0.45 Units / 8% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 29 games at home (+13.80 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 56 games (+9.65 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 35 games (+8.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 26 games (+7.60 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+6.20 Units / 56% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 26-31 against the Run Line (-6.9 Units / -9.84% ROI).
- 30-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.15 Units / 1.61% ROI
- 24-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.65 Units / -16.84% ROI
- 31-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.5 Units / 7.23% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 34-23 against the Run Line (+8.65 Units / 12.04% ROI).
- 26-31 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.6 Units / 0.99% ROI
- 32-25 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.9 Units / 7.88% ROI
- 25-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.3 Units / -16.3% ROI
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 67% (12/18) against Colin Rea — tied for 4th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% — 96th Percentile.
Colin Rea had a first-pitch strike rate of 83% (20/24) — 2nd highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 63% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 16% (20/123) against Colin Rea this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Colin Rea has a first-pitch strike rate of 83% (20/24) over the past seven days (1 games) — highest in NL over the last week; League Avg: 62% — 100th Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .353 (18-for-51) against Graham Ashcraft’s elevated fastball this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .222 — second Percentile.
Graham Ashcraft has allowed an OBP of .387 (142 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .293 — first Percentile.
Graham Ashcraft has struck out just 15% (22/143) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — sixth Percentile.
Graham Ashcraft has walked 15 of 143 right-handed batters (10%) this season — tied for 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — ninth Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Brewers are 22-1 (.957) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .863.
The Brewers are 25-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Brewers are just 0-27 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Brewers are just 5-13 (.278) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .386.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Reds are 8-19 (.296) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .137.
The Reds are just 24-34 (.414) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .650.
The Reds are just 22-23 (.489) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .697.
The Reds are just 15-27 (.357) after a home win since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .539.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have an OPS of just .629 (557 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .749.
The Brewers are batting just .219 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Brewers hitters are slugging just .341 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .423.
Brewers hitters have 603 strikeouts in 2,268 PA’s (27%) against LHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters have an OPS of just .453 (1,181 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .516.
Reds hitters are slugging just .218 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .268.
Reds hitters have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 32% against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Reds hitters are slugging just .372 against RHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have walked 33 of 503 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% in close and late situations since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers pitchers have walked 4 of 116 batters (3%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (13 games) — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .296 against Reds pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .308 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .251.
Reds pitchers have walked 820 of 8,440 batters (10%) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Reds pitchers have walked 9 of 55 batters (16%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Reds vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
- William Myers (Reds): Kidney Stones, D10
- Terry Friedl (Reds): Hamstring, D10
- Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
- Derek Law (Reds): Elbow, D15
- Connor Overton (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Casey Legumina (Reds): Ankle, D15
- Nicholas Lodolo (Reds): Calf, D60
- Henry Ramos (Reds): Hip, D10
- Reiver Sanmartin (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Joseph Votto (Reds): Bicep/Shoulder, D60
- Luis UrÃas (Brewers): Hamstring, D60
- Matthew Bush (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Eric Lauer (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Garrett Mitchell (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Darin Ruf (Brewers): Knee, D10
- Wade Miley (Brewers): Lat Strain, D15
- Justin Wilson (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Labrum, D60
- Jason Alexander (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Willy Adames (Brewers): Head, D7
- Brandon Woodruff (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Jacob Bukauskas (Brewers): Spine, D15
- Jesse Winker (Brewers): Neck, D10
- Tyrone Taylor (Brewers): Elbow, D10
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