- The Reds are -135 favorites vs the Brewers
- Brewers starting pitcher: Julio Teheran
- Reds starting pitcher: Andrew Abbott
- Watch the game on BSOH
The Milwaukee Brewers (+110) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-135) on Monday, June 5, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Cincinnati.
The Reds are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Brewers vs Reds Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Brewers are 32-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 34-25 ATS.
Brewers vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | +1.5 -175 | O 9.5 -105 | +110 |
| Reds | -1.5 +145 | U 9.5 -115 | -135 |
Brewers vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 52.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Brewers vs Reds and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Owen Miller has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 19 away games (+13.75 Units / 41% ROI)
- Owen Miller has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 19 away games (+11.60 Units / 43% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 27 of his last 40 games (+10.90 Units / 21% ROI)
- Owen Miller has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 19 away games (+10.60 Units / 43% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Singles Under in 30 of his last 42 games (+10.50 Units / 15% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jonathan India has hit the Runs Over in 31 of his last 50 games (+17.45 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 16 games at home (+13.05 Units / 36% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 32 games (+11.40 Units / 29% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+11.25 Units / 94% ROI)
Reds vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Victor Caratini | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Owen Miller | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
Reds vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Victor Caratini | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Owen Miller | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Reds vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Victor Caratini | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Owen Miller | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
Reds vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Julio Teheran | 3.5 +100 | 3.5 -130 |
| Andrew Abbott | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -110 |
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 37 games (+11.05 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 37 games (+8.25 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 53 games (+6.55 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 58 games (+4.55 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 away games (+2.45 Units / 31% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 31 games at home (+13.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 58 games (+7.05 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 52 games (+6.10 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 37 games (+5.70 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 28 games (+5.60 Units / 18% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 28-31 against the Run Line (-4.5 Units / -6.16% ROI).
- 32-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.15 Units / 4.29% ROI
- 25-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.7 Units / -16.36% ROI
- 32-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.4 Units / 6.83% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 34-25 against the Run Line (+6.05 Units / 8.13% ROI).
- 26-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.7 Units / -2.69% ROI
- 33-26 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.85 Units / 7.54% ROI
- 26-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.4 Units / -15.89% ROI
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Julio Teheran has not walked any of the 22 batters that he has faced over the past seven days (1 games) — tied for best in NL over the last week; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Julio Teheran did not walk any of the 15 batters that he faced against right-handed batters — tied for best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 7% (3/41) against Julio Teheran over the past seven days (1 games) — lowest in NL over the last week; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Julio Teheran did not walk any of the 22 batters that he faced — tied for best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Brewers are 27-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Brewers are 26-1 (.963) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .904.
The Brewers are 23-2 (.920) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .785.
The Brewers are 24-1 (.960) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .864.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Reds are just 0-9 (.000) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are 8-21 (.276) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .136.
The Reds are just 18-44 (.290) after a road loss since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .452.
The Reds are just 22-23 (.489) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Brewers are batting just .219 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Brewers hitters have 603 strikeouts in 2,268 PA’s (27%) against LHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Brewers hitters have an OBP of just .299 (869 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .327.
Brewers hitters have 163 strikeouts in 557 PA’s (29%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 33% against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
The Reds have a winning percentage of just 42% at home since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Reds hitters have an OPS of just .467 (1,218 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .516.
Reds hitters have an OBP of .331 (2,259 PA’s) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .320.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Brewers pitchers have walked 36 of 521 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% in close and late situations since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .294 against Reds pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .307 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Reds pitchers have walked 827 of 8,517 batters (10%) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Reds pitchers since last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Cincinnati Reds – No Injuries Reported
- Milwaukee Brewers – No Injuries Reported
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