- The Brewers are -120 favorites vs the Rockies
- Brewers starting pitcher: Eric Lauer
- Rockies starting pitcher: Kyle Freeland
- Watch the game on SportsNet RM
The Milwaukee Brewers (-120) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+100) on Wednesday, May 3, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in Denver.
The Brewers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Brewers vs Rockies Over/Under is 12 total runs for the game.
This season, the Brewers are 18-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 11-19 ATS.
Brewers vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | -1.5 +125 | O 12 -115 | -120 |
| Rockies | +1.5 -150 | U 12 -105 | +100 |
Brewers vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 59.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Willy Adames has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 games (+9.55 Units / 44% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 22 games (+8.70 Units / 25% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+8.50 Units / 37% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+7.35 Units / 34% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+7.05 Units / 22% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Elias Diaz has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+10.00 Units / 54% ROI)
- Kris Bryant has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 27 games (+8.95 Units / 26% ROI)
- Kris Bryant has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 games (+7.10 Units / 59% ROI)
- Elias Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+6.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- Elias Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+6.30 Units / 32% ROI)
Rockies vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mike Brosseau | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -800 |
| Rowdy Tellez | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Joey Wiemer | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Owen Miller | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
Rockies vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mike Brosseau | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Rowdy Tellez | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Joey Wiemer | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Christian Yelich | 1.5 +150 | 1.5 -200 |
| Owen Miller | 1.5 +200 | 1.5 -275 |
Rockies vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mike Brosseau | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Rowdy Tellez | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Joey Wiemer | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Owen Miller | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Rockies vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Freeland | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -140 |
| Eric Lauer | 3.5 -155 | 3.5 +120 |
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 28 games (+6.95 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 23 games (+5.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 17 games (+3.45 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.75 Units / 35% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+8.05 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+6.80 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 11 games (+6.15 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.95 Units / 67% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.40 Units / 27% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 15-14 against the Run Line (+1.6 Units / 4.6% ROI).
- 18-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.55 Units / 14.74% ROI
- 12-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.3 Units / -19.27% ROI
- 16-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.9 Units / 9.31% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 11-19 against the Run Line (-9.85 Units / -28.72% ROI).
- 10-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.8 Units / -20.96% ROI
- 13-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.9 Units / -17.56% ROI
- 17-13 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.1 Units / 9.54% ROI
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 31% (135/433) against Eric Lauer since last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 43% — fourth Percentile.
Eric Lauer has allowed at least one HR in each of his last five games dating back to April 2nd — Corey Kluber has the longest active streak at 8.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (40/225) against Eric Lauer on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 26% — third Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 28% (19/67) against Eric Lauer this season — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 43% — sixth Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
30 of Kyle Freeland’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches since last season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
Kyle Freeland has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 56% (335/593) of opposing batters since last season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 10% (4/39) against Kyle Freeland on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Kyle Freeland has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.080 (27 Total Bases / 25 ABs) on sliders this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .395 — first Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Brewers are 20-12 (.625) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Brewers are 6-73 (.076) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .046.
The Brewers are 4-5 (.444) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .202.
The Brewers are 9-5 (.643) on the road this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .483.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Rockies are just 15-53 (.221) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .346.
The Rockies are just 48-27 (.640) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .804.
The Rockies are just 26-13 (.667) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .805.
The Rockies are just 14-31 (.311) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters are averaging 4.04 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Brewers hitters have an OPS of just .624 (265 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .736.
Brewers hitters have 82 strikeouts in 265 PA’s (31%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Brewers hitters have 522 strikeouts in 1,976 PA’s (26%) against LHP since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies are batting .283 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Rockies hitters have an OBP of .345 (3,636 PA’s) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .318.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.0 feet since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.2.
The Rockies are batting .282 at home since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Brewers pitchers since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Brewers pitchers over the last 14 days (11 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers pitchers have won 44% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies pitchers have walked 155 of 1,690 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rockies vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Biceps, D60
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Knee, D15
- Noah Davis (Rockies): Elbow, D15
- Germán Márquez (Rockies): Elbow, D15
- Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Gus Varland (Brewers): Hand, D15
- Luis UrÃas (Brewers): Hamstring, D60
- Matthew Bush (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Adrian Houser (Brewers): Groin, D15
- Garrett Mitchell (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Justin Wilson (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Labrum, D60
- Jason Alexander (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Brandon Woodruff (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
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