Brewers vs Rockies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 5

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 05, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Brewers (70-63) are -135 favorites vs the Rockies (57-78)
  • Brewers starting pitcher: Adrian Houser (4-9), 5.02 ERA
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Ryan Feltner (2-6), 5.77 ERA
  • Watch the game on SportsNet RM

The Milwaukee Brewers (-135) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+110) on Monday, September 5, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Denver.

The Brewers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).

The Brewers vs Rockies Over/Under is 11.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Brewers are 68-62 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 70-61 ATS.

Brewers vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Brewers-1.5 +110O 11.5 -105-135
Rockies +1.5 -135U 11.5 -115+110

Brewers vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Monday‘s matchup with 55.3% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jace Peterson has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 20 away games (+15.35 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Jace Peterson has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 away games (+15.05 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Hunter Renfroe has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 27 games (+14.25 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Jace Peterson has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+11.30 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Andrew McCutchen has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 18 away games (+9.55 Units / 40% ROI)

Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • German Marquez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 18 of his last 21 games (+15.00 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Randal Grichuk has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 24 games (+13.95 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Randal Grichuk has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 21 games at home (+13.75 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Brendan Rodgers has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 21 games (+12.10 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Brendan Rodgers has hit the RBIs Under in 31 of his last 43 games at home (+9.35 Units / 12% ROI)

Rockies vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brendan Rodgers 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Brian Serven 0.5 +550 0.5 -1200
C.J. Cron 0.5 +350 0.5 -650
Charlie Blackmon 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Garrett Hampson 0.5 +775 0.5 -3000

Rockies vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brendan Rodgers 1.5 +110 1.5 -155
Brian Serven 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
C.J. Cron 1.5 +140 1.5 -200
Charlie Blackmon 1.5 +170 1.5 -250
Garrett Hampson 0.5 -250 0.5 +160

Rockies vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brendan Rodgers 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Brian Serven 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
C.J. Cron 0.5 +110 0.5 -155
Charlie Blackmon 0.5 +120 0.5 -165
Garrett Hampson 0.5 +195 0.5 -300

Rockies vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adrian Houser 2.5 -150 2.5 +105
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 61 of their last 113 games (+10.45 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 27 of their last 44 games (+9.80 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.10 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.65 Units / 12% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 53-77 against the Run Line (-31.05 Units / -19.74% ROI).

  • 68-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.25 Units / -10.74% ROI
  • 63-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.35 Units / -2.34% ROI
  • 61-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.3 Units / -5.09% ROI

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 70-61 against the Run Line (+2.45 Units / 1.52% ROI).

  • 56-76 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.05 Units / -2.86% ROI
  • 62-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.95 Units / -5.45% ROI
  • 63-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.7 Units / -3.93% ROI

Adrian Houser has thrown his off-speed pitches for a strike just 53% (682/1,277) of the time since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 146 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 39% of Adrian Houser’s non-fastballs (494/1,277) since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 146 total IP; League Avg: 49% — first Percentile.

Adrian Houser has walked 21 of 138 batters (15%) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 65 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.

Adrian Houser has a strike rate of just 58% (1,043/1,785) vs left-handed batters since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 146 total IP; League Avg: 64% — third Percentile.

Ryan Feltner: Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

The average home run distance against Ryan Feltner this season is 419.0 feet — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 65 total IP; League Avg: 398.2

Ryan Feltner has allowed at least one HR in each of his last six games dating back to August 2nd — Josiah Gray has the longest active streak at 11.

Opponents are hitting .372 (16-for-43) against Ryan Feltner on low fastballs this season — 13th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 65 total IP; League Avg: .273 — 10th Percentile.

Ryan Feltner has allowed a slugging percentage of .533 (32 Total Bases / 60 ABs) with runners in scoring position this season — 14th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 65 total IP; League Avg: .397 — ninth Percentile.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Brewers are just 47-9 (.839) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .886.

The Brewers are 8-49 (.140) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .084.

The Brewers are 15-7 (.682) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Brewers are 35-26 (.574) at home this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .529.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Rockies are just 5-16 (.238) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rockies are just 12-32 (.273) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rockies are just 21-46 (.313) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .471.

The Rockies are just 12-36 (.250) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .332.

The Brewers are batting just .224 against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Brewers hitters are averaging 4.10 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

The Brewers are batting just .218 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.

The Brewers are batting just .230 at home since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

The Rockies are batting .286 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .246.

The Rockies are batting .307 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.

The Rockies are batting .283 at home since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

The Rockies are batting .282 at home since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% in close and late situations since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Brewers pitchers since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The longest HR allowed by the Rockies pitchers this season traveled 496.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 460.0

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Rockies pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 117 double plays in 955 opportunities (12%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% versus the bottom of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Rockies vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): ACL, D15
  • Scott Oberg (Rockies): Arm, D60
  • José Iglesias (Rockies): Hand, Day-to-Day
  • Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Foot, D10
  • Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D15
  • Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Helcris Olivarez (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Yonathan Daza (Rockies): Shoulder, D10
  • Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Trevor Gott (Brewers): Forearm, D15
  • Alex J Jackson (Brewers): Wrist, D60
  • Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
  • Trevor Rosenthal (Brewers): Hamstring, D15
  • Michael Brosseau (Brewers): Oblique, D10
  • Miguel Sánchez (Brewers): Elbow, D60
  • Jandel Gustave (Brewers): Forearm, D15
  • Jonathan Davis (Brewers): Elbow, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.