- The Brewers (70-63) are -135 favorites vs the Rockies (57-78)
- Brewers starting pitcher: Adrian Houser (4-9), 5.02 ERA
- Rockies starting pitcher: Ryan Feltner (2-6), 5.77 ERA
- Watch the game on SportsNet RM
The Milwaukee Brewers (-135) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+110) on Monday, September 5, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Denver.
The Brewers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Brewers vs Rockies Over/Under is 11.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Brewers are 68-62 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 70-61 ATS.
Brewers vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | -1.5 +110 | O 11.5 -105 | -135 |
| Rockies | +1.5 -135 | U 11.5 -115 | +110 |
Brewers vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Monday‘s matchup with 55.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jace Peterson has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 20 away games (+15.35 Units / 49% ROI)
- Jace Peterson has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 away games (+15.05 Units / 48% ROI)
- Hunter Renfroe has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 27 games (+14.25 Units / 53% ROI)
- Jace Peterson has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+11.30 Units / 75% ROI)
- Andrew McCutchen has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 18 away games (+9.55 Units / 40% ROI)
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- German Marquez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 18 of his last 21 games (+15.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- Randal Grichuk has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 24 games (+13.95 Units / 48% ROI)
- Randal Grichuk has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 21 games at home (+13.75 Units / 47% ROI)
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 21 games (+12.10 Units / 57% ROI)
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the RBIs Under in 31 of his last 43 games at home (+9.35 Units / 12% ROI)
Rockies vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brendan Rodgers | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Brian Serven | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Garrett Hampson | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
Rockies vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brendan Rodgers | 1.5 +110 | 1.5 -155 |
| Brian Serven | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| C.J. Cron | 1.5 +140 | 1.5 -200 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -250 |
| Garrett Hampson | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +160 |
Rockies vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brendan Rodgers | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Brian Serven | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -155 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -165 |
| Garrett Hampson | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -300 |
Rockies vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adrian Houser | 2.5 -150 | 2.5 +105 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Brewers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 61 of their last 113 games (+10.45 Units / 8% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Rockies: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 27 of their last 44 games (+9.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.10 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.65 Units / 12% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 53-77 against the Run Line (-31.05 Units / -19.74% ROI).
- 68-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.25 Units / -10.74% ROI
- 63-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.35 Units / -2.34% ROI
- 61-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.3 Units / -5.09% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 70-61 against the Run Line (+2.45 Units / 1.52% ROI).
- 56-76 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.05 Units / -2.86% ROI
- 62-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.95 Units / -5.45% ROI
- 63-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.7 Units / -3.93% ROI
Adrian Houser: Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Adrian Houser has thrown his off-speed pitches for a strike just 53% (682/1,277) of the time since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 146 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 39% of Adrian Houser’s non-fastballs (494/1,277) since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 146 total IP; League Avg: 49% — first Percentile.
Adrian Houser has walked 21 of 138 batters (15%) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 65 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Adrian Houser has a strike rate of just 58% (1,043/1,785) vs left-handed batters since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 146 total IP; League Avg: 64% — third Percentile.
Ryan Feltner: Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against Ryan Feltner this season is 419.0 feet — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 65 total IP; League Avg: 398.2
Ryan Feltner has allowed at least one HR in each of his last six games dating back to August 2nd — Josiah Gray has the longest active streak at 11.
Opponents are hitting .372 (16-for-43) against Ryan Feltner on low fastballs this season — 13th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 65 total IP; League Avg: .273 — 10th Percentile.
Ryan Feltner has allowed a slugging percentage of .533 (32 Total Bases / 60 ABs) with runners in scoring position this season — 14th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 65 total IP; League Avg: .397 — ninth Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Brewers are just 47-9 (.839) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .886.
The Brewers are 8-49 (.140) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .084.
The Brewers are 15-7 (.682) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Brewers are 35-26 (.574) at home this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .529.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Rockies are just 5-16 (.238) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rockies are just 12-32 (.273) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rockies are just 21-46 (.313) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .471.
The Rockies are just 12-36 (.250) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .332.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Brewers are batting just .224 against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Brewers hitters are averaging 4.10 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
The Brewers are batting just .218 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
The Brewers are batting just .230 at home since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies are batting .286 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
The Rockies are batting .307 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Rockies are batting .283 at home since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Rockies are batting .282 at home since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% in close and late situations since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Brewers pitchers since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Rockies pitchers this season traveled 496.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 460.0
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rockies pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 117 double plays in 955 opportunities (12%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% versus the bottom of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Rockies vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): ACL, D15
- Scott Oberg (Rockies): Arm, D60
- José Iglesias (Rockies): Hand, Day-to-Day
- Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Foot, D10
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D15
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Helcris Olivarez (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Yonathan Daza (Rockies): Shoulder, D10
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Trevor Gott (Brewers): Forearm, D15
- Alex J Jackson (Brewers): Wrist, D60
- Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Trevor Rosenthal (Brewers): Hamstring, D15
- Michael Brosseau (Brewers): Oblique, D10
- Miguel Sánchez (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Jandel Gustave (Brewers): Forearm, D15
- Jonathan Davis (Brewers): Elbow, D10
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