- The Brewers (71-64) are -145 favorites vs the Rockies (58-79)
- Brewers starting pitcher: Eric Lauer (10-6), 3.54 ERA
- Rockies starting pitcher: Kyle Freeland (7-9), 4.75 ERA
- Watch the game on SportsNet RM
The Milwaukee Brewers (-145) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+120) on Wednesday, September 7, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10pm EDT in Denver.
The Brewers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Brewers vs Rockies Over/Under is 11.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Brewers are 69-63 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 71-62 ATS.
Brewers vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | -1.5 +105 | O 11.5 -105 | -145 |
| Rockies | +1.5 -130 | U 11.5 -115 | +120 |
Brewers vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 55.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jace Peterson has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 21 away games (+16.45 Units / 51% ROI)
- Jace Peterson has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 21 away games (+16.05 Units / 47% ROI)
- Hunter Renfroe has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 28 games (+12.95 Units / 46% ROI)
- Jace Peterson has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 16 away games (+10.25 Units / 63% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 52 away games (+9.60 Units / 14% ROI)
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- German Marquez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 18 of his last 21 games (+15.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 22 games (+13.70 Units / 61% ROI)
- Randal Grichuk has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+12.65 Units / 66% ROI)
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the RBIs Under in 32 of his last 44 games at home (+10.35 Units / 13% ROI)
- Randal Grichuk has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 15 games at home (+9.85 Units / 50% ROI)
Rockies vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alan Trejo | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Brendan Rodgers | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -900 |
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -450 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Elias Diaz | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
Rockies vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alan Trejo | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Brendan Rodgers | 1.5 +140 | 1.5 -200 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 1.5 +135 | 1.5 -190 |
| Michael Toglia | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| Randal Grichuk | 1.5 +120 | 1.5 -175 |
Rockies vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alan Trejo | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -250 |
| Brendan Rodgers | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -160 |
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -145 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -165 |
| Elias Diaz | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -190 |
Rockies vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Lauer | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -165 |
| Kyle Freeland | 3.5 -175 | 3.5 +120 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Brewers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 61 of their last 115 games (+9.20 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.75 Units / 14% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Rockies: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 28 of their last 46 games (+10.85 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+1.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.65 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 7 games at home (+0.05 Units / 1% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 54-78 against the Run Line (-31.25 Units / -19.59% ROI).
- 69-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -23.25 Units / -11.03% ROI
- 64-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.5 Units / -2.4% ROI
- 62-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.35 Units / -5.05% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 71-62 against the Run Line (+2.25 Units / 1.38% ROI).
- 57-77 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.35 Units / -2.34% ROI
- 63-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.1 Units / -5.47% ROI
- 64-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.75 Units / -3.91% ROI
Eric Lauer: Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 32% (106/337) against Eric Lauer this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — fourth Percentile.
Eric Lauer has walked 27 of 224 batters (12%) versus the top of the order this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% (58/167) against Eric Lauer in two-strike counts this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — third Percentile.
Eric Lauer has walked 51 of 591 batters (9%) this season — tied for 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 10th Percentile.
Kyle Freeland: Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Freeland has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 54% (232/430) of opposing batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — first Percentile.
23 of Kyle Freeland’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — 2nd most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 98th Percentile.
Kyle Freeland has a strikeout rate of just 5% (7 SO in 140 PAs) in PAs ending on inside fastballs this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 40% (285/722) against Kyle Freeland on changeups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 147 total IP; League Avg: 52% — first Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Brewers are just 8-29 (.216) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.
The Brewers are 35-26 (.574) at home this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .530.
The Brewers are just 48-10 (.828) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .886.
The Brewers are 8-47 (.145) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .114.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Rockies are just 12-32 (.273) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rockies are 7-60 (.104) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .084.
The Rockies are 11-60 (.155) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .114.
The Rockies are just 5-16 (.238) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters are averaging 4.05 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
The Brewers are batting just .317 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.
The Brewers are batting just .224 against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Brewers are batting just .217 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies are batting .282 at home since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Rockies are batting .305 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
The Rockies are batting .281 at home since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.4 feet since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.5.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Brewers pitchers since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% in close and late situations since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The longest HR allowed by the Rockies pitchers this season traveled 496.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 461.1
Rockies pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 119 double plays in 971 opportunities (12%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Rockies pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 60% of opposing batters this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Rockies vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): ACL, D15
- Scott Oberg (Rockies): Arm, D60
- José Iglesias (Rockies): Hand, D10
- Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Foot, D10
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D15
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Helcris Olivarez (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Yonathan Daza (Rockies): Shoulder, Day-to-Day
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Kolten Wong (Brewers): Knee, Day-to-Day
- Trevor Gott (Brewers): Forearm, D15
- Alex J Jackson (Brewers): Wrist, D60
- Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Trevor Rosenthal (Brewers): Hamstring, D15
- Michael Brosseau (Brewers): Oblique, D10
- Miguel Sánchez (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Jandel Gustave (Brewers): Forearm, D15
- Jonathan Davis (Brewers): Elbow, D10
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