Brewers vs Twins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 13

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 13, 2022, 11:00 AM
  • The Twins (48-41) are -125 favorites vs the Brewers (49-39)
  • Brewers starting pitcher: Aaron Ashby (2-6), 4.52 ERA
  • Twins starting pitcher: Joseph Ryan (6-3), 3.08 ERA
  • Watch the game on YouTube

The Milwaukee Brewers (+105) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-125) on Wednesday, July 13, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Minneapolis.

The Twins are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).

The Brewers vs Twins Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Brewers are 49-39 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 40-49 ATS.

Brewers vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Brewers+1.5 -190O 8.5 -115+105
Twins -1.5 +155U 8.5 -105-125

Brewers vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 65.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Twins vs Brewers and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Willy Adames has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 5 games (+5.30 Units / 100% ROI)
  • Rowdy Tellez has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 5 games (+5.10 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Rowdy Tellez has hit the Runs Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Rowdy Tellez has hit the RBIs Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Andrew McCutchen has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 8 away games (+4.85 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 24 games at home (+18.10 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Luis Arraez has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 26 games at home (+9.70 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Max Kepler has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 15 games (+7.95 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Luis Arraez has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 23 games at home (+7.10 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Carlos Correa has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Twins vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Byron Buxton 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
    Carlos Correa 0.5 +550 0.5 -1200
    Gio Urshela 0.5 +750 0.5 -3000
    Jorge Polanco 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
    Ryan Jeffers 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400

    Twins vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Byron Buxton 0.5 -225 0.5 +150
    Carlos Correa 0.5 -250 0.5 +160
    Gio Urshela 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
    Jorge Polanco 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
    Ryan Jeffers 0.5 -160 0.5 +115

    Twins vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Byron Buxton 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
    Carlos Correa 0.5 +195 0.5 -300
    Gio Urshela 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
    Jorge Polanco 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
    Ryan Jeffers 0.5 +240 0.5 -375

    Twins vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Joe Ryan 4.5 -125 4.5 -115
    Aaron Ashby 5.5 +110 5.5 -155
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 41 of their last 68 games (+15.10 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 27 games (+8.20 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 68 games (+7.00 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 28 away games (+6.50 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 5 games (+5.30 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 41 of their last 72 games (+9.85 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 50 of their last 87 games (+9.15 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 77 games (+6.95 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.90 Units / 65% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 24 games at home (+2.60 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 38-50 against the Run Line (-13.85 Units / -13.08% ROI).

    • 49-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.9 Units / -5.78% ROI
    • 43-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.8 Units / -0.82% ROI
    • 40-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.5 Units / -6.72% ROI

    Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 40-49 against the Run Line (-11.45 Units / -10.63% ROI).

    • 48-41 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.15 Units / 1.78% ROI
    • 41-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.3 Units / -4.41% ROI
    • 42-41 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.2 Units / -3.24% ROI

    Hitters have swung at 57% of Aaron Ashby’s pitches in the zone (316/556) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 67% — 0 Percentile.

    Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 65% (90/139) against Aaron Ashby this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 99th Percentile.

    Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 17% (23/139) against Aaron Ashby this season — tied for 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 95th Percentile.

    Aaron Ashby has walked 9 of 67 batters (13%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.

    Joseph Ryan: Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

    Opponents have a groundball rate of just 21% (6/29) against Joe Ryan this month (2 games) — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.

    Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 20% (3/15) against Joe Ryan this month (2 games) — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — fifth Percentile.

    Joe Ryan has a strikeout rate of just 10% (6 SO in 61 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 21% — third Percentile.

    Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 28% (27/95) against Joe Ryan this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 43% — fifth Percentile.

    Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

    The Brewers are 7-3 (.700) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

    The Brewers are 5-31 (.139) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .112.

    The Brewers are just 3-18 (.143) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .287.

    The Brewers are 27-8 (.771) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .707.

    Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

    The Twins are just 2-8 (.200) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

    The Twins are just 4-6 (.400) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

    The Twins are just 41-6 (.872) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .916.

    The Twins are 42-13 (.764) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .702.

    The Brewers are batting just .227 against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

    Brewers hitters are slugging just .383 against LHP since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .409.

    The Brewers are batting just .223 against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.

    Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

    Twins hitters are slugging .579 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .443.

    Twins hitters are slugging .435 against RHP this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .394.

    Twins hitters have 48 extra-base hits out of 92 total hits (52%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

    Twins hitters have an OPS of .760 (2,446 PA’s) against RHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .704.

    Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 33% in close and late situations since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

    Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% in close and late situations since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

    Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Brewers pitchers since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

    Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

    Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% against Twins pitchers this month (10 games) — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

    Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

    Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

    The Twins have won just 12% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

    Twins vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Daniel Coulombe (Twins): Hip, D15
  • Jhon Romero (Twins): Biceps, D60
  • Randy Dobnak (Twins): Finger, D60
  • Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
  • Joseph Smith (Twins): Trap, D15
  • Kenta Maeda (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Miguel Sanó (Twins): Knee, D60
  • Trevor Larnach (Twins): Core, D10
  • John Ober (Twins): Groin, D15
  • Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Christopher Archer (Twins): Hip, D15
  • Jorge Alcala (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Maximilian Kepler (Twins): Leg, Day-to-Day
  • Cody Stashak (Twins): Shoulder, D60
  • Luis Perdomo (Brewers): Elbow, D15
  • Alex J Jackson (Brewers): Finger, D10
  • Tyrone Taylor (Brewers): Concussion, D7
  • Adrian Houser (Brewers): Flexor, D15
  • Jake O. Cousins (Brewers): Elbow, D60
  • Jonathan Davis (Brewers): Back/Rib cage, Day-to-Day
  • Christian Yelich (Brewers): Back, Day-to-Day
  • Miguel Sánchez (Brewers): Elbow, D15
  • Justin Topa (Brewers): Elbow, D60
  • Freddy Peralta (Brewers): Lat, D60

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.