- The – are favorites vs the –
- Brewers starting pitcher: Colin Rea
- Twins starting pitcher: John Ober
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Milwaukee Brewers () visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins () on Wednesday, June 14, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Minneapolis.
The – are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().
The Brewers vs Twins Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Brewers are 34-33 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 34-33 ATS.
Brewers vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | O | ||
| Twins | U |
Brewers vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 68.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Owen Miller has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 21 away games (+12.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+11.60 Units / 38% ROI)
- Owen Miller has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 21 away games (+11.30 Units / 38% ROI)
- Brian Anderson has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 20 away games (+10.10 Units / 39% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 30 of his last 46 games (+10.10 Units / 17% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kyle Farmer has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 21 games (+11.60 Units / 55% ROI)
- Jorge Polanco has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 18 games at home (+11.25 Units / 46% ROI)
- Byron Buxton has hit the RBIs Under in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+9.05 Units / 32% ROI)
- Donovan Solano has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 18 games at home (+9.00 Units / 26% ROI)
- Sonny Gray has hit the Earned Runs Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.85 Units / 50% ROI)
Twins vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Trevor Larnach | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Alex Kirilloff | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Owen Miller | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Michael A. Taylor | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
Twins vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Trevor Larnach | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Alex Kirilloff | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -250 |
| Owen Miller | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Michael A. Taylor | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Twins vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Trevor Larnach | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Alex Kirilloff | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Owen Miller | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Michael A. Taylor | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Twins vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bailey Ober | 5.5 -150 | 5.5 +115 |
| Colin Rea | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +120 |
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 45 games (+12.30 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 45 games (+9.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 61 games (+7.30 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 away games (+2.45 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 32 away games (+1.55 Units / 4% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 25 games at home (+7.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games (+6.05 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 22 of their last 36 games (+5.80 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games (+5.65 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.45 Units / 35% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 29-38 against the Run Line (-12.8 Units / -15.28% ROI).
- 34-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.25 Units / -4.97% ROI
- 28-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.05 Units / -16.24% ROI
- 36-28 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.15 Units / 7.03% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 34-33 against the Run Line (-0.4 Units / -0.48% ROI).
- 34-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.55 Units / -7.17% ROI
- 28-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.65 Units / -15.69% ROI
- 36-28 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.65 Units / 7.68% ROI
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Colin Rea has allowed a slugging percentage of just .056 (2 Total Bases / 36 ABs) on fastballs away this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: .416 — 99th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .056 (2-for-36) against Colin Rea on fastballs away this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: .256 — 99th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a groundball rate of 58% (19/33) against Colin Rea when he’s behind in the count this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: 38% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .226 (7-for-31) against Colin Rea when he’s behind in the count this season — 8th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: .351 — 94th Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bailey Ober has thrown fastballs up 81% of the time (302/374) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.
Bailey Ober has thrown fastballs up 78% of the time (618/793) since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 90 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 26% (40/153) against Bailey Ober since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 90 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.
Bailey Ober has thrown fastballs up 88% of the time (100/114) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: 56% — 99th Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Brewers are 24-4 (.857) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .785.
The Brewers are just 12-50 (.194) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .270.
The Brewers are just 0-31 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .054.
The Brewers are 23-13 (.639) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Twins are just 7-22 (.241) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are just 17-31 (.354) after a road win since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .488.
The Twins are 6-19 (.240) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .145.
The Twins are 14-3 (.824) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .611.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Brewers are batting just .221 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Brewers hitters have 185 strikeouts in 648 PA’s (28%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Brewers are batting just .228 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Brewers hitters are slugging just .352 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .421.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins are batting just .142 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .171.
Twins hitters have been successful in 180% of their bunt for hit attempts since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
The Twins are batting just .223 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .256.
Twins hitters have an OBP of just .220 (1,409 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have 78 three-pitch strikeouts this season — tied for 3rd fewest in MLB.
The Brewers have won just 20% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Brewers pitchers since the 2021 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Twins have won just 13% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Twins vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Caleb Thielbar (Twins): Oblique, D15
- Kenta Maeda (Twins): Tricep, D15
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Gilberto Celestino (Twins): Thumb, D60
- Jorge Polanco (Twins): Hamstring, D10
- Nicholas Gordon (Twins): Shin, D60
- Jorge Alcala (Twins): Forearm, D15
- Tyler Mahle (Twins): Arm, D60
- Byron Buxton (Twins): Ribs, D10
- Matthew Bush (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Jake O. Cousins (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Eric Lauer (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Garrett Mitchell (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Darin Ruf (Brewers): Knee, D60
- Wade Miley (Brewers): Lat Strain, D15
- Justin Wilson (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Labrum, D60
- Jason Alexander (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Brandon Woodruff (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- John Sousa (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Jesse Winker (Brewers): Neck, D10
- Tyrone Taylor (Brewers): Elbow, D10
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