Brewers vs Twins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 15

Minnesota Twins' Byron Buxton celebrates towards the dugout after hitting a single that scores two runs against the Athletics during the sixth inning of a baseball game Tuesday, June 3, 2025, in West Sacramento, Calif.
(AP Photo/Scott Marshall)
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  • The Brewers are -105 favorites vs the Twins
  • Brewers vs Twins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Brewers / Twins TV Channel: TWTV | BRTV

The Milwaukee Brewers (-105) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-115) on May 15, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in Minneapolis, MN.

This season, the Brewers are 24-17 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 22-22 ATS.

Brewers vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Brewers starting pitcher: Logan Henderson 0-1, 4.27 ERA
  • Twins starting pitcher: Joe Ryan 2-3, 3.43 ERA

Brewers vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Brewers-1.5 +155O 8.5 +100-105
Twins +1.5 -190U 8.5 -120-115

Brewers vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Gary Sanchez has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+13.35 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Sal Frelick has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 away games (+11.85 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Brice Turang has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 away games (+11.00 Units / 122% ROI)
  • Jackson Chourio has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.15 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Brice Turang has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+9.70 Units / 26% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Byron Buxton has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 9 games at home (+18.80 Units / 209% ROI)
  • Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.65 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Austin Martin has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.20 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Austin Martin has hit the Walks Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+11.10 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Byron Buxton has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 20 games (+10.75 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 50 games (+14.65 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 15 games (+7.15 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 30 away games (+6.70 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 35 games (+6.30 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games (+5.45 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 20 games at home (+11.85 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 35 games (+11.85 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 20 games at home (+11.40 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games (+10.10 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games at home (+9.80 Units / 40% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 26-15 against the Run Line (+15.6 Units / 32.07% ROI).

  • 24-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.1 Units / 2.04% ROI
  • 20-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.95 Units / -4.31% ROI
  • 20-20 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.85 Units / -4.1% ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 22-22 against the Run Line (-8.95 Units / -13.97% ROI).

  • 20-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.4 Units / -5.16% ROI
  • 26-15 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.35 Units / 19.24% ROI
  • 15-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.55 Units / -28.11% ROI

Twins vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Byron Buxton +250
Jackson Chourio +450
Jake Bauers +475
William Contreras +475
Ryan Jeffers +475

Twins vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
William Contreras 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Byron Buxton 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Brice Turang 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Luis Rengifo 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Andrew Vaughn 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Twins vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew Vaughn 0.5 -210 0.5 +150
Brice Turang 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
William Contreras 0.5 -185 0.5 +135
Ryan Jeffers 0.5 -175 0.5 +130
David Hamilton 0.5 -175 0.5 +130

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Brewers are 3-10 (.231) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .105.

The Brewers are 15-8 (.652) after a win this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .524.

The Brewers are just 0-11 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .051.

The Brewers are just 17-5 (.773) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .865.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Twins are just 0-20 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .051.

The Twins are just 0-18 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .105.

The Twins are just 2-7 (.222) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Brewers (fifth in runs scored).

The Twins are just 2-18 (.100) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .209.

Brewers hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 269 of their 727 plate appearances (37%) versus relief pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

Brewers hitters are slugging just .157 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Brewers hitters have an OBP of .396 (487 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB.

Brewers hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 487 of their 1,592 plate appearances (31%) this season — highest in MLB.

The Twins are batting just .193 with two outs this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters have a 55% QAB rate with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB.

Twins hitters have 25 extra-base hits out of 49 total hits (51%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB.

Twins hitters have put just 29% of their swings in play in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Brewers pitchers this season — tied for best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% this season — best in MLB.

Batters facing the Brewers pitchers put just 34% of their swings in play this season — lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Twins pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Twins pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% with runners in scoring position this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

The Twins have allowed 1.80 runs per game (79/44) in late innings this season — highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.