Brewers vs Twins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 16

Minnesota Twins' Byron Buxton doubles during the eighth inning of a baseball game against the St. Louis Cardinals Tuesday, Aug. 1, 2023, in St. Louis.
(AP Photo/Jeff Roberson)
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  • The Brewers are -125 favorites vs the Twins
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The Milwaukee Brewers (-125) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (+105) on May 16, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in Minneapolis, MN.

This season, the Brewers are 25-17 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 23-22 ATS.

Brewers vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Brewers starting pitcher: Logan Henderson 0-1, 4.27 ERA
  • Twins starting pitcher: Connor Prielipp 1-1, 3.32 ERA

Brewers vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Brewers-1.5 +135O 8.5 -110-125
Twins +1.5 -160U 8.5 -110+105

Brewers vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 53.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Gary Sanchez has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+13.35 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Sal Frelick has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 away games (+11.85 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Sal Frelick has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 15 away games (+10.50 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Brice Turang has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 100% ROI)
  • Brice Turang has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+9.70 Units / 26% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Ryan Kreidler has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games (+21.00 Units / 350% ROI)
  • Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.00 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Austin Martin has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.20 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Austin Martin has hit the Walks Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+11.10 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Austin Martin has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.35 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 40 games (+12.35 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.15 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.05 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 30 away games (+6.70 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+6.45 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 21 games at home (+10.50 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 21 games at home (+10.40 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games (+9.65 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games at home (+8.80 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games (+8.65 Units / 16% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 26-16 against the Run Line (+14.6 Units / 29.41% ROI).

  • 25-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.1 Units / 3.82% ROI
  • 20-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.15 Units / -6.78% ROI
  • 21-20 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.85 Units / -1.84% ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 23-22 against the Run Line (-7.95 Units / -12.09% ROI).

  • 20-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.5 Units / -7.35% ROI
  • 26-16 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.15 Units / 16.37% ROI
  • 16-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.55 Units / -25.51% ROI

Twins vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Byron Buxton +310
Gary Sanchez +425
Kody Clemens +450
Jackson Chourio +500
Ryan Jeffers +550

Twins vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
William Contreras 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Andrew Vaughn 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Brice Turang 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Luis Rengifo 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Byron Buxton 0.5 -200 0.5 +145

Twins vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Gary Sanchez 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Ryan Jeffers 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Garrett Mitchell 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Kody Clemens 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Royce Lewis 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Brewers are 4-10 (.286) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .106.

The Brewers are just 0-11 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .051.

The Brewers are 16-8 (.667) after a win this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .521.

The Brewers are 11-9 (.550) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Twins (eighth in runs scored).

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Twins are just 0-21 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .051.

The Twins are just 17-4 (.810) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .894.

The Twins are just 0-18 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .106.

The Twins are just 2-18 (.100) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

Brewers hitters are slugging just .291 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Brewers hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 498 of their 1,628 plate appearances (31%) this season — highest in MLB.

Brewers hitters have an OBP of .345 (1,135 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Brewers hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 275 of their 741 plate appearances (37%) versus relief pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

The Twins are batting just .193 with two outs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters have struck out in 35% of their PA’s in lefty-lefty matchups this season — highest in MLB.

Twins hitters have struck out in 24% of their PA’s against RHP this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB.

Twins hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Brewers pitchers this season — tied for best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Twins pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

The Twins have allowed 1.80 runs per game (81/45) in late innings this season — highest in MLB.

Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Twins pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.