Brewers vs Twins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 17

Minnesota Twins third baseman Royce Lewis runs off the field after throwing out Houston Astros' Jeremy Pena at first during the seventh inning of Game 4 of a baseball AL Division Series, Wednesday, Oct. 11, 2023, in Minneapolis.
(AP Photo/Bruce Kluckhohn)
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  • The Brewers are -125 favorites vs the Twins
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The Milwaukee Brewers (-125) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (+105) on May 17, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 pm in Minneapolis, MN.

This season, the Brewers are 26-17 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 24-22 ATS.

Brewers vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Brewers starting pitcher: Robert Gasser 0-0, 0.00 ERA
  • Twins starting pitcher: Bailey Ober 4-2, 3.46 ERA

Brewers vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Brewers-1.5 +135O 7.5 +100-125
Twins +1.5 -165U 7.5 -120+105

Brewers vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 55.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Brice Turang has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+12.40 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Brice Turang has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.30 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Jake Bauers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.30 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Brice Turang has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 15 away games (+8.50 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Sal Frelick has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+8.35 Units / 44% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Ryan Kreidler has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games (+21.00 Units / 350% ROI)
  • Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.00 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Austin Martin has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.60 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Victor Caratini has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.55 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Austin Martin has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.30 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 45 games (+10.90 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 17 games (+7.45 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.15 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.05 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 35 away games (+7.00 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 22 games at home (+11.40 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 22 games at home (+10.50 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games (+9.75 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games (+8.75 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+7.35 Units / 28% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 26-17 against the Run Line (+13.6 Units / 26.85% ROI).

  • 26-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.1 Units / 5.5% ROI
  • 20-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.25 Units / -8.94% ROI
  • 22-20 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.15 Units / 0.32% ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 24-22 against the Run Line (-6.95 Units / -10.33% ROI).

  • 20-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.5 Units / -9.26% ROI
  • 26-17 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.05 Units / 13.85% ROI
  • 17-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.55 Units / -22.96% ROI

Twins vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Byron Buxton +390
Jackson Chourio +475
William Contreras +500
Jake Bauers +500
Andrew Vaughn +550

Twins vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
William Contreras 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Byron Buxton 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Brice Turang 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Austin Martin 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Luke Keaschall 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Twins vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jake Bauers 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Byron Buxton 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Trevor Larnach 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Jackson Chourio 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Brice Turang 0.5 -185 0.5 +135

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Brewers are 4-10 (.286) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .105.

The Brewers are 12-9 (.571) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Twins (eighth in runs scored).

The Brewers are 17-8 (.680) after a win this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .520.

The Brewers are 3-11 (.214) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .136.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Twins are just 2-9 (.182) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Brewers (fifth in runs scored).

The Twins are just 1-17 (.056) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .136.

The Twins are just 17-4 (.810) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .895.

The Twins are just 0-19 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .105.

Brewers hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 507 of their 1,665 plate appearances (30%) this season — highest in MLB.

Brewers hitters have an OPS of just .598 (516 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Brewers hitters are slugging just .153 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Brewers hitters are slugging just .291 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Twins are batting just .193 with two outs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters have a 54% QAB rate with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB.

Twins hitters have 25 extra-base hits out of 51 total hits (49%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB.

Twins hitters have put just 30% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Brewers pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have 86 three-pitch strikeouts this season — most in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Twins pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% in late innings this season — lowest in MLB.

Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.