- The Yankees are -135 favorites vs the Brewers
- Brewers starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes
- Yankees starting pitcher: Gerrit Cole
- Watch the game on YES
The Milwaukee Brewers (+110) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-135) on Sunday, September 10, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Bronx.
The Yankees are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Brewers vs Yankees Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Brewers are 0-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 0-0 ATS.
Brewers vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | +1.5 -190 | O 7.5 -120 | +110 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +155 | U 7.5 +100 | -135 |
Brewers vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 58.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Brewers vs Yankees and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- William Contreras has hit the Runs Over in 22 of his last 31 games (+16.10 Units / 50% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 35 of his last 50 games (+14.95 Units / 22% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 19 away games (+12.55 Units / 32% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 37 games (+11.25 Units / 18% ROI)
- Mark Canha has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 14 games (+10.85 Units / 36% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Everson Pereira has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Oswald Peraza has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+9.75 Units / 32% ROI)
- DJ LeMahieu has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.05 Units / 44% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.70 Units / 61% ROI)
- Jake Bauers has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.45 Units / 53% ROI)
Yankees vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mark Canha | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| William Contreras | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Tyrone Taylor | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Aaron Judge | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
Yankees vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mark Canha | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| William Contreras | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Tyrone Taylor | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Aaron Judge | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
Yankees vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mark Canha | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| William Contreras | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Tyrone Taylor | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Aaron Judge | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Yankees vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gerrit Cole | 6.5 +110 | 6.5 -145 |
| Corbin Burnes | 7.5 +105 | 7.5 -135 |
| Gerrit Cole | 5.5 -150 | 5.5 +115 |
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 52 away games (+9.30 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+8.18 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.48 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.35 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.80 Units / 25% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 46 of their last 78 games (+11.83 Units / 13% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+7.54 Units / 36% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 29 games at home (+6.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.69 Units / 30% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.40 Units / 35% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 65% of the time (314/483) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 62% of the time (154/247) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has thrown low pitches 62% of the time (923/1,497) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
73 of Corbin Burnes’ 174 strikeouts (42%) have come on cutters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 4% — 100th Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Gerrit Cole has a strikeout rate of 27% (195 SO in 719 PAs) this season — 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 83rd Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has allowed an OBP of just .274 (716 PA’s) this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .304 — 90th Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has allowed an OPS of just .618 (719 PA’s) this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .708 — 96th Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has allowed a slugging percentage of just .344 (228 Total Bases / 663 ABs) this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .404 — 92nd Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Brewers are 17-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .792.
The Brewers are 19-98 (.162) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .130.
The Brewers are 32-10 (.762) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .688.
The Brewers are 17-12 (.586) after a loss as underdogs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Yankees were 20-24 (.455) when allowing 5 or more runs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Yankees are just 8-49 (.140) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .220.
The Yankees are just 3-56 (.051) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .102.
The Yankees are just 14-26 (.350) after a loss as underdogs since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .405.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters are slugging just .236 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .275.
The Brewers are batting just .231 against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Brewers hitters are slugging just .359 on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .409.
Brewers hitters have chased 12% of pitches out of the zone on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 16%.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
The Yankees are batting just .227 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Yankees are batting just .233 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
The Yankees are batting just .223 against starting pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Yankees hitters have a groundball batting average of just .211 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% in close and late situations since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.98 (630.2 IP) on the road this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 4.46.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .219 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Yankees pitchers won 56% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .219 against Yankees pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .198 against Yankees pitchers with the shift this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Yankees vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Keynan Middleton (Yankees): Shoulder, D15
- Luis Severino (Yankees): Side, D15
- Scott Effross (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- James Weber (Yankees): Forearm, D60
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Albert Abreu (Yankees): Hamstring, D15
- William McKinney (Yankees): Back, D10
- Ian Hamilton (Yankees): Groin, D15
- Jose Trevino (Yankees): Wrist, D60
- Anthony Rizzo (Yankees): Concussion, D10
- Nestor Cortes (Yankees): Shoulder, D15
- Lou Trivino (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Jasson Domínguez (Yankees): Elbow, Day-to-Day
- Eric Lauer (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Garrett Mitchell (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Darin Ruf (Brewers): Knee, D60
- Justin Wilson (Brewers): Lat, D60
- Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Labrum, D60
- Adrian Houser (Brewers): Forearm, D15
- Christian Yelich (Brewers): Back, Day-to-Day
- Blake Perkins (Brewers): Oblique, D10
- Jean Carlos Mejía (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Julio Teheran (Brewers): Hip, D15
- Jesse Winker (Brewers): Back, D10
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