- The Yankees are -145 favorites vs the Brewers
- Brewers starting pitcher: Wade Miley
- Yankees starting pitcher: Michael King
- Watch the game on YES
The Milwaukee Brewers (+120) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-145) on Saturday, September 9, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:05pm EDT in Bronx.
The Yankees are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Brewers vs Yankees Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Brewers are 78-62 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 68-73 ATS.
Brewers vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | +1.5 -165 | O 8.5 +100 | +120 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +140 | U 8.5 -120 | -145 |
Brewers vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 64.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Brewers vs Yankees and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- William Contreras has hit the Runs Over in 21 of his last 30 games (+14.95 Units / 48% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 34 of his last 49 games (+13.95 Units / 21% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 away games (+11.55 Units / 32% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 28 games (+10.45 Units / 23% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 36 games (+10.25 Units / 17% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 16 games at home (+9.70 Units / 32% ROI)
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 13 games at home (+9.45 Units / 63% ROI)
- Everson Pereira has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+8.95 Units / 69% ROI)
- Oswald Peraza has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+8.75 Units / 31% ROI)
Yankees vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Everson Pereira | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Mark Canha | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Oswald Peraza | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
Yankees vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Everson Pereira | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Mark Canha | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Oswald Peraza | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
Yankees vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Everson Pereira | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Mark Canha | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Oswald Peraza | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
Yankees vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Wade Miley | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +115 |
| Michael King | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -155 |
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 52 away games (+9.30 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+8.18 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.48 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.35 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.80 Units / 25% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 46 of their last 78 games (+11.83 Units / 13% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+7.54 Units / 36% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 29 games at home (+6.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.69 Units / 30% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.40 Units / 35% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 66-74 against the Run Line (-12.4 Units / -7.02% ROI).
- 78-62 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.6 Units / 4.38% ROI
- 63-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.8 Units / -10.26% ROI
- 71-63 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.9 Units / 1.25% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 68-73 against the Run Line (-8.3 Units / -4.76% ROI).
- 70-71 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.4 Units / -7.24% ROI
- 64-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.25 Units / -9.83% ROI
- 72-64 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.6 Units / 1.03% ROI
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Wade Miley has allowed at least one HR in each of his last five games dating back to August 8th — Kenta Maeda has the longest active streak at 9.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 18% (61/329) against Wade Miley since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 120 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.
Wade Miley has located his fastball inside 53% of the time (213/405) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 99th Percentile.
Wade Miley has thrown his cutter 48% of the time (541/1,126) in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total CUT; League Avg: 21% — 97th Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed batters are hitting just .161 (20-for-124) against Michael King this season — 6th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .228 — 94th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .188 (13-for-69) against Michael King on low fastballs since last season — tied for 7th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .272 — 94th Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .168 (32-for-191) against Michael King since last season — 4th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .229 — 96th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .283 (28-for-99) against Michael King’s elevated fastball since last season — 12th highest among among 132 qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .208 — ninth Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Brewers are 17-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .793.
The Brewers are 15-8 (.652) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Brewers are 19-9 (.679) after a home loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .504.
The Brewers are 18-36 (.333) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .220.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Yankees were 20-24 (.455) when allowing 5 or more runs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Yankees are just 8-48 (.143) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .220.
The Yankees are just 1-60 (.016) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .053.
The Yankees are 48-15 (.762) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .688.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters are slugging just .236 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .274.
The Brewers are batting just .231 against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Brewers hitters are slugging just .357 on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .409.
The Brewers are batting just .231 against LHP since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
The Yankees are batting just .226 at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Yankees hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in just 1,138 of their 5,172 plate appearances (22%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Yankees are batting just .233 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Yankees hitters have an OBP of just .298 (4,117 PA’s) against RHP this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% in close and late situations since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have walked 7 of 225 batters (3%) over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 21% against Yankees pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .218 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .217 against Yankees pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Yankees vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Keynan Middleton (Yankees): Shoulder, D15
- Luis Severino (Yankees): Side, D15
- Scott Effross (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- James Weber (Yankees): Forearm, D60
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Albert Abreu (Yankees): Hamstring, D15
- William McKinney (Yankees): Back, D10
- Ian Hamilton (Yankees): Groin, D15
- Jose Trevino (Yankees): Wrist, D60
- Anthony Rizzo (Yankees): Concussion, D10
- Nestor Cortes (Yankees): Shoulder, D15
- Lou Trivino (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Eric Lauer (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Garrett Mitchell (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Darin Ruf (Brewers): Knee, D60
- Justin Wilson (Brewers): Lat, D60
- Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Labrum, D60
- Adrian Houser (Brewers): Forearm, D15
- Christian Yelich (Brewers): Back, Day-to-Day
- Blake Perkins (Brewers): Oblique, D10
- Jean Carlos Mejía (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Julio Teheran (Brewers): Hip, D15
- Jesse Winker (Brewers): Back, D10
Bet now on Brewers vs Yankees and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
