Cardinals vs Astros Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 19

Houston Astros' Jeremy Pena reacts after flying out during the seventh inning of Game 1 of the baseball AL Championship Series against the Texas Rangers Sunday, Oct. 15, 2023, in Houston.
(AP Photo/David J. Phillip)
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  • The Astros are -150 favorites vs the Cardinals
  • Cardinals vs Astros Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Cardinals / Astros TV Channel: CATV | SCHN

The St. Louis Cardinals (+125) visit Daikin Park to take on the Houston Astros (-150) on April 19, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 pm in Houston, TX.

This season, the Cardinals are 12-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 8-14 ATS.

Cardinals vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Matthew Liberatore 0-1, 4.29 ERA
  • Astros starting pitcher: Michael Burrows 1-3, 6.55 ERA

Cardinals vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cardinals+1.5 -180O 8.5 +100+125
Astros -1.5 +145U 8.5 -120-150

Cardinals vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 57.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jordan Walker has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 away games (+22.60 Units / 226% ROI)
  • Jordan Walker has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+12.30 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Alec Burleson has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+9.55 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Jordan Walker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+7.15 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Alec Burleson has hit the Walks Over in 5 of his last 7 away games (+6.95 Units / 99% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 8 games at home (+14.35 Units / 179% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+13.30 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+11.05 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Isaac Paredes has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+10.15 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+9.25 Units / 116% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 45 away games (+8.35 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 23 away games (+7.45 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in their last 7 away games (+7.25 Units / 91% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+5.45 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 away games (+3.35 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.20 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.65 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+5.35 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+3.40 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.00 Units / 21% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 11-8 against the Run Line (-0.3 Units / -1.02% ROI).

  • 12-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.45 Units / 26.46% ROI
  • 12-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.4 Units / 20.28% ROI
  • 7-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.5 Units / -29.02% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 8-14 against the Run Line (-5.85 Units / -23.03% ROI).

  • 8-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.45 Units / -34.89% ROI
  • 15-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.9 Units / 27.77% ROI
  • 7-15 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.25 Units / -39.28% ROI

Astros vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Yordan Alvarez +340
Nolan Gorman +360
Christian Walker +375
Jordan Walker +400
Alec Burleson +425

Astros vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jose Altuve 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Alec Burleson 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Carlos Correa 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Ivan Herrera 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Yainer Diaz 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Astros vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Shay Whitcomb 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Victor Scott II 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Cam Smith 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Christian Walker 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Ivan Herrera 0.5 -185 0.5 +135

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Cardinals were just 7-11 (.389) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals are 5-3 (.625) on the road this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .447.

The Cardinals are 136-8 (.944) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .904.

The Cardinals are 72-4 (.947) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .908.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Astros are just 8-13 (.381) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .522.

The Astros are just 0-13 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .105.

The Astros are just 2-132 (.015) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .047.

The Astros are just 1-9 (.100) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .287.

Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .403 (181 PA’s) when leading off an inning this season — best in MLB.

The Cardinals are batting just .164 with two outs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Cardinals hitters have 17 extra-base hits out of 84 total hits (just 20%) against starting pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Cardinals hitters had an OPS of just .941 (1,172 PA’s) when the pitcher was behind in the count in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Astros hitters have struck out in just 4% of their PA’s against LHP over the past seven days (3 games) — best in MLB.

The Astros batted .253 with two outs in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Astros hitters have an OBP of .355 (626 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Astros hitters have an OBP of .352 (864 PA’s) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 20% against Cardinals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% this season — lowest in MLB.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 33% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Cardinals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 20% in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Astros have allowed 4.23 runs per game (93/22) in the first 5 innings this season — highest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have an ERA of 6.19 (190.1 IP) this season — highest in MLB.

The Astros have allowed 7.50 runs per game (75/10) on the road this season — highest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have walked 14% of batters this season — highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.