- The Blue Jays (53-43) are -225 favorites vs the Cardinals (51-46)
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Neil Pallante (3-4), 3.34 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: José Berríos (7-4), 5.22 ERA
- Watch the game on SNET
The St. Louis Cardinals (+185) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-225) on Tuesday, July 26, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto.
The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The Cardinals vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Cardinals are 51-46 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 42-54 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -105 | O 9 -120 | +185 |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 -115 | U 9 +100 | -225 |
Cardinals vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Tommy Edman has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 21 away games (+13.00 Units / 33% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 32 away games (+12.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 14 away games (+12.10 Units / 61% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 18 away games (+11.90 Units / 37% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 21 away games (+11.60 Units / 35% ROI)
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 27 games (+15.30 Units / 49% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 26 games (+11.20 Units / 24% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+11.05 Units / 22% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 26 games at home (+11.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 21 games at home (+10.75 Units / 24% ROI)
Blue Jays vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Bo Bichette | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
Blue Jays vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -275 |
| Bo Bichette | 1.5 +150 | 1.5 -200 |
| George Springer | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -275 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 1.5 +160 | 1.5 -225 |
Blue Jays vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Bo Bichette | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -185 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -175 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -185 |
Blue Jays vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Berrios | 4.5 -175 | 4.5 +120 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Cardinals Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 41 of their last 74 games (+9.15 Units / 11% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 29 games (+9.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 50 of their last 92 games (+4.85 Units / 4% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.05 Units / 27% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Blue Jays: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 38 of their last 54 games (+22.15 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 55 games (+17.75 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.75 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+0.20 Units / 2% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 52-45 against the Run Line (+3.5 Units / 2.82% ROI).
- 51-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.2 Units / -1.75% ROI
- 45-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.4 Units / -7.84% ROI
- 48-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.3 Units / -1.22% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 42-54 against the Run Line (-16.35 Units / -13.94% ROI).
- 53-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.35 Units / -8.39% ROI
- 51-44 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.4 Units / 2.29% ROI
- 44-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.05 Units / -12.22% ROI
Neil Pallante: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 67% (65/97) against Andre Pallante this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 21% (77/372) against Andre Pallante this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 64% (145/226) against Andre Pallante this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .240 (31-for-129) against Andre Pallante with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: .169 — first Percentile.
José Berríos: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Berrios has allowed a slugging percentage of .693 (52 Total Bases / 75 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .359 — first Percentile.
Jose Berrios has an ERA of 7.15 (50.1 IP) on the road this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.69 — third Percentile.
Jose Berrios has a strike rate of 71% (588/833) against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% (27/139) against Jose Berrios on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 11th Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Cardinals are 29-20 (.592) at home this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .522.
The Cardinals are just 13-37 (.260) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.
The Cardinals are 42-2 (.955) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Cardinals are 30-6 (.833) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .717.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Blue Jays are 42-11 (.792) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
The Blue Jays are just 7-11 (.389) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Blue Jays are 5-31 (.139) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .113.
The Blue Jays are just 2-34 (.056) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .792 (2,028 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .729.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .459 against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .409.
Cardinals hitters have 227 extra-base hits out of 540 total hits (42%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Cardinals hitters have 200 extra-base hits out of 468 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting .266 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .233.
The Blue Jays are batting .266 since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .456 since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .448 with two-strikes over the last 14 days (9 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .271.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 94 double plays in 717 opportunities (13%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 913 of 9,647 batters (10%) since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 10 of 317 batters (3%) over the last 14 days (9 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 41% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days (9 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 723 of 9,486 batters (8%) since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 51% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (9 games) — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Blue Jays vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Julian Merryweather (Blue Jays): Side, D60
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D60
- Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
- Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D60
- Yusei Kikuchi (Blue Jays): Neck, D15
- Andrew Vasquez (Blue Jays): Ankle, D15
- Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Steven Matz (Cardinals): Knee, D15
- Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Harrison Bader (Cardinals): Foot, D10
- Dakota Hudson (Cardinals): Neck, D15
- Juan Yepez (Cardinals): Forearm, D10
- Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Hip, D15
- Yadier Molina (Cardinals): Knee, D10
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