Cardinals vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 26

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 26, 2022, 3:36 PM
  • The Blue Jays (53-43) are -225 favorites vs the Cardinals (51-46)
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Neil Pallante (3-4), 3.34 ERA
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: José Berríos (7-4), 5.22 ERA
  • Watch the game on SNET

The St. Louis Cardinals (+185) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-225) on Tuesday, July 26, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto.

The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).

The Cardinals vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Cardinals are 51-46 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 42-54 ATS.

Cardinals vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cardinals+1.5 -105O 9 -120+185
Blue Jays -1.5 -115U 9 +100-225

Cardinals vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Blue Jays vs Cardinals and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Tommy Edman has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 21 away games (+13.00 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 32 away games (+12.40 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Tommy Edman has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 14 away games (+12.10 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 18 away games (+11.90 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Tommy Edman has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 21 away games (+11.60 Units / 35% ROI)

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 27 games (+15.30 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 26 games (+11.20 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+11.05 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 26 games at home (+11.05 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 21 games at home (+10.75 Units / 24% ROI)

Blue Jays vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alejandro Kirk 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Bo Bichette 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
George Springer 0.5 +333 0.5 -600
Teoscar Hernandez 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.5 +375 0.5 -700

Blue Jays vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alejandro Kirk 1.5 +185 1.5 -275
Bo Bichette 1.5 +150 1.5 -200
George Springer 1.5 +185 1.5 -275
Teoscar Hernandez 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1.5 +160 1.5 -225

Blue Jays vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alejandro Kirk 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Bo Bichette 0.5 +125 0.5 -185
George Springer 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
Teoscar Hernandez 0.5 +120 0.5 -175
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.5 +130 0.5 -185

Blue Jays vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jose Berrios 4.5 -175 4.5 +120
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 41 of their last 74 games (+9.15 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 29 games (+9.05 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 50 of their last 92 games (+4.85 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.05 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 38 of their last 54 games (+22.15 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 55 games (+17.75 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.75 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+0.20 Units / 2% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 52-45 against the Run Line (+3.5 Units / 2.82% ROI).

  • 51-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.2 Units / -1.75% ROI
  • 45-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.4 Units / -7.84% ROI
  • 48-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.3 Units / -1.22% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 42-54 against the Run Line (-16.35 Units / -13.94% ROI).

  • 53-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.35 Units / -8.39% ROI
  • 51-44 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.4 Units / 2.29% ROI
  • 44-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.05 Units / -12.22% ROI

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 67% (65/97) against Andre Pallante this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 21% (77/372) against Andre Pallante this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 64% (145/226) against Andre Pallante this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 99th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .240 (31-for-129) against Andre Pallante with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: .169 — first Percentile.

José Berríos: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jose Berrios has allowed a slugging percentage of .693 (52 Total Bases / 75 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .359 — first Percentile.

Jose Berrios has an ERA of 7.15 (50.1 IP) on the road this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.69 — third Percentile.

Jose Berrios has a strike rate of 71% (588/833) against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% (27/139) against Jose Berrios on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 11th Percentile.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Cardinals are 29-20 (.592) at home this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .522.

The Cardinals are just 13-37 (.260) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.

The Cardinals are 42-2 (.955) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Cardinals are 30-6 (.833) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .717.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Blue Jays are 42-11 (.792) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

The Blue Jays are just 7-11 (.389) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Blue Jays are 5-31 (.139) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .113.

The Blue Jays are just 2-34 (.056) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .792 (2,028 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .729.

Cardinals hitters are slugging .459 against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .409.

Cardinals hitters have 227 extra-base hits out of 540 total hits (42%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Cardinals hitters have 200 extra-base hits out of 468 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

The Blue Jays are batting .266 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .233.

The Blue Jays are batting .266 since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging .456 since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .405.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging .448 with two-strikes over the last 14 days (9 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .271.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Cardinals pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 94 double plays in 717 opportunities (13%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Cardinals pitchers have walked 913 of 9,647 batters (10%) since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 10 of 317 batters (3%) over the last 14 days (9 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 41% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days (9 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 723 of 9,486 batters (8%) since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 51% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (9 games) — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Blue Jays vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Julian Merryweather (Blue Jays): Side, D60
  • Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D60
  • Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
  • Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D60
  • Yusei Kikuchi (Blue Jays): Neck, D15
  • Andrew Vasquez (Blue Jays): Ankle, D15
  • Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • Steven Matz (Cardinals): Knee, D15
  • Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • Harrison Bader (Cardinals): Foot, D10
  • Dakota Hudson (Cardinals): Neck, D15
  • Juan Yepez (Cardinals): Forearm, D10
  • Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Hip, D15
  • Yadier Molina (Cardinals): Knee, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.