Cardinals vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 31

Toronto Blue Jays Vladimir Guerrero Jr. gestures after hitting a home run during the first inning of a baseball game against the Boston Red Sox, Sunday, June 29, 2025, in Boston.
(AP Photo/Mark Stockwell)
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  • The Blue Jays are -175 favorites vs the Cardinals
  • Cardinals vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Cardinals / Blue Jays TV Channel: CATV | RSN

The St. Louis Cardinals (+145) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-175) on July 31, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07 pm in Toronto, ON.

This season, the Cardinals are against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are ATS.

Cardinals vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Kyle Leahy 7-4, 3.58 ERA
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Dylan Cease 7-5, 2.47 ERA

Cardinals vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cardinals+1.5 -150O 7.5 -110+145
Blue Jays -1.5 +125U 7.5 -110-175

Cardinals vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Friday‘s MLB game with 62.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Nathan Church has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 away games (+19.50 Units / 195% ROI)
  • Blaze Jordan has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+16.15 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Lars Nootbaar has hit the Walks Under in 14 of his last 15 away games (+12.10 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Nathan Church has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+11.40 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Nathan Church has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+11.30 Units / 74% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Davis Schneider has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+13.75 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Kazuma Okamoto has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+11.75 Units / 117% ROI)
  • Dylan Cease has hit the Strikeouts Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.20 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Alejandro Kirk has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.40 Units / 22% ROI)
  • George Springer has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+7.70 Units / 154% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 50 away games (+12.05 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games (+11.75 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 11 games (+9.40 Units / 68% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 45 away games (+9.40 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 45 away games (+8.70 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+10.45 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 12 games at home (+9.90 Units / 70% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.05 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.60 Units / 8% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Blue Jays vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Kazuma Okamoto +320
Jordan Walker +425
George Springer +425
Daulton Varsho +450
Alec Burleson +475

Blue Jays vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
George Springer 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Ernie Clement 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Yohendrick Pinango 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Alec Burleson 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Alejandro Kirk 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Blue Jays vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bryan Torres 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Nathan Church 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Alec Burleson 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Yohendrick Pinango 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Daulton Varsho 0.5 -175 0.5 +130

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Cardinals are just 4-38 (.095) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .138.

The Cardinals are just 4-38 (.095) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .138.

The Cardinals were 69-1 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .949.

The Cardinals were just 7-11 (.389) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Blue Jays are just 5-41 (.109) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.

The Blue Jays are just 9-28 (.243) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .368.

The Blue Jays were 12-53 (.185) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .090.

The Blue Jays are just 5-41 (.109) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.

Cardinals hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Cardinals hitters are slugging just .509 with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB.

Cardinals hitters are slugging just .359 at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Cardinals are batting just .222 with two outs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Blue Jays have scored 134 runs with two outs this season — fewest in MLB.

The Blue Jays are batting .192 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .345 against LHP this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of just .638 (1,097 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Cardinals pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 33% of their games on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB.

Cardinals pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.7 MPH (2,862 batted balls) this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.7 MPH (2,637 batted balls) this season — tied for best in MLB.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 59% of their games this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .235 against Blue Jays pitchers with runners on base this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 55% of their games on the road this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.