- The Braves are -300 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Dakota Hudson
- Braves starting pitcher: Spencer Strider
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The St. Louis Cardinals (+240) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-300) on Wednesday, September 6, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta.
The Braves are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+110).
The Cardinals vs Braves Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Cardinals are 60-78 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 71-66 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | +2.5 -135 | O 9 -105 | +240 |
| Braves | -2.5 +110 | U 9 -115 | -300 |
Cardinals vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 87.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Braves and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Lars Nootbaar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 32 of his last 46 games (+15.60 Units / 26% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Under in 25 of his last 35 games (+11.20 Units / 23% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+10.95 Units / 32% ROI)
- Andrew Knizner has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 13 away games (+10.65 Units / 82% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.80 Units / 52% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 45 games (+17.40 Units / 20% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 37 games (+14.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+13.30 Units / 55% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 22 of his last 29 games (+12.50 Units / 31% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+11.45 Units / 49% ROI)
Braves vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Masyn Winn | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
Braves vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -115 |
| Masyn Winn | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
Braves vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Masyn Winn | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -450 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -400 |
Braves vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dakota Hudson | 2.5 -160 | 2.5 +125 |
| Spencer Strider | 8.5 -125 | 8.5 -105 |
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 39 of their last 65 away games (+9.80 Units / 13% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 31 away games (+8.20 Units / 23% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 31 away games (+6.19 Units / 18% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 34 games (+5.05 Units / 14% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 68 games (+4.95 Units / 6% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 80 of their last 137 games (+18.24 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 84 of their last 137 games (+18.03 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 50 of their last 79 games (+16.39 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 39 games at home (+14.75 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 39 games at home (+9.45 Units / 12% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 66-72 against the Run Line (-11.05 Units / -6.31% ROI).
- 60-78 when betting on the Moneyline for -35.3 Units / -19.78% ROI
- 65-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.45 Units / -4.89% ROI
- 66-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.95 Units / -3.27% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 71-66 against the Run Line (+2.3 Units / 1.43% ROI).
- 90-47 when betting on the Moneyline for +11 Units / 4.6% ROI
- 72-61 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.6 Units / 3.06% ROI
- 61-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -18 Units / -12.08% ROI
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 20% (160/810) against Dakota Hudson since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 119 total IP; League Avg: 28% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 5% (2/37) against Dakota Hudson over the past seven days (1 games) — lowest in NL over the last week; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.
Dakota Hudson has a strikeout rate of just 11% (23 SO in 203 PAs) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 119 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 0 Percentile.
Dakota Hudson has a strike rate of just 58% (891/1,538) vs left-handed batters since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 119 total IP; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 40% (564/1,410) against Spencer Strider this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Spencer Strider has a strikeout rate of 38% (245 SO in 644 PAs) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 49% (124/251) against Spencer Strider on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 100th Percentile.
Spencer Strider has struck out 39% (119/306) of right-handed batters he faced this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Cardinals are just 47-6 (.887) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .946.
The Cardinals are 27-10 (.730) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 13-64 (.169) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .268.
The Cardinals are 11-6 (.647) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Braves are 43-33 (.566) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .303.
The Braves are 20-23 (.465) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .273.
The Braves are 23-36 (.390) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .221.
The Braves are 19-7 (.731) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters are slugging just .193 with two-strikes over the last 14 days (11 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .292.
Cardinals hitters have 364 extra-base hits out of 891 total hits (41%) against LHP since the 2021 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .324 (8,779 PA’s) against RHP since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .487 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .449.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .589 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .453.
Braves hitters are slugging .501 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .416.
The Braves are batting .316 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .266.
Braves hitters are slugging .470 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .404.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 12% over the last 14 days (11 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 27% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (11 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Braves pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Braves pitchers have an ERA of 3.66 (608.0 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.45.
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Braves pitchers since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Braves vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jesse Chavez (Braves): Shin, D60
- Yonny Chirinos (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Samuel Hilliard (Braves): Heel, D60
- Tyler Matzek (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Ehire Adrianza (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Michael Soroka (Braves): Forearm, D15
- Kyle Wright (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Kolby Allard (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Daysbel Hernández (Braves): Forearm, D15
- Nick Anderson (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Collin McHugh (Braves): Shoulder, D15
- Huascar Ynoa (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Joseph Romero (Cardinals): Knee, D15
- Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Brendan Donovan (Cardinals): Elbow, D60
- Steven Matz (Cardinals): Lat, D15
- Wilking Rodríguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Guillermo Zuñiga (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Dylan Carlson (Cardinals): Oblique, D10
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