- The Cardinals are -135 favorites vs the Brewers
- Cardinals vs Brewers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Cardinals / Brewers TV Channel: FDMW | FDWI
The St. Louis Cardinals (-135) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (+110) on Thursday, June 12, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.
This season, the Cardinals are 36-32 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 33-34 ATS.
Cardinals vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Sonny Gray 7-1, 3.36 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Jacob Misiorowski 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Cardinals vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +125 | O 8 -120 | -135 |
| Brewers | +1.5 -150 | U 8 +100 | +110 |
Cardinals vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 54.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Alec Burleson has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+14.80 Units / 42% ROI)
- Willson Contreras has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+12.90 Units / 129% ROI)
- Alec Burleson has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 away games (+12.50 Units / 208% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 25 games (+10.20 Units / 41% ROI)
- Willson Contreras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.35 Units / 70% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Eric Haase has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games at home (+20.25 Units / 203% ROI)
- Eric Haase has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.25 Units / 39% ROI)
- Caleb Durbin has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+10.10 Units / 33% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+9.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- Caleb Durbin has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+9.05 Units / 44% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games (+9.95 Units / 22% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 45 games (+9.15 Units / 17% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 66 games (+6.25 Units / 9% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 18 away games (+6.15 Units / 30% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 38 of their last 68 games (+5.57 Units / 7% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 65 games (+13.95 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 65 games (+8.05 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 65 games (+7.50 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 23 games (+7.20 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 23 games (+6.60 Units / 25% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 37-31 against the Run Line (+1.15 Units / 1.24% ROI).
- 36-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.5 Units / 4.51% ROI
- 37-28 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.15 Units / 8.23% ROI
- 28-37 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.85 Units / -17.16% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 33-34 against the Run Line (-7.05 Units / -7.53% ROI).
- 36-33 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.85 Units / 2.25% ROI
- 26-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.5 Units / -24.14% ROI
- 40-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.6 Units / 15.42% ROI
Brewers vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lars Nootbaar (STL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Brewers vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Masyn Winn (STL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Ivan Herrera (STL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Brice Turang (MIL) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Brewers vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -285 |
| Lars Nootbaar (STL) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -285 |
Brewers vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Sonny Gray (STL) | 5.5 -160 | 5.5 +120 |
| Jacob Misiorowski (MIL) | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -125 |
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sonny Gray had a strikeout rate of 58% (203/350) with two-strikes in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a two strike miss rate of 35% (151/426) against Sonny Gray in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Sonny Gray has allowed an OBP of just .168 (518 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .230 — 97th Percentile.
Sonny Gray allowed an OPS of just .321 (350 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2024 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .486 — 98th Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Cardinals are just 0-23 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .043.
The Cardinals are just 11-163 (.063) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .099.
The Cardinals are 30-1 (.968) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .904.
The Cardinals were 18-9 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .498.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Brewers are 31-18 (.633) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Brewers are 153-28 (.845) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .794.
The Brewers were 13-6 (.684) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Brewers are 18-8 (.692) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .397 (34 PA’s) on the road this month (1 game) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .703.
Cardinals hitters struck out just 351 times in 1,755 PA’s (20%) against LHP in the 2024 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Cardinals won only 43% of their home games in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Cardinals hitters have 144 extra-base hits out of 426 total hits (just 34%) with the pitcher behind in the count since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters had 129 extra-base hits out of 494 total hits (just 26%) with two-strikes in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Brewers hitters have an OPS of just .628 (1,221 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .725.
The Brewers are batting just .213 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Cardinals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes in 2023 — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Cardinals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 19% in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 56% of the time since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 53% of the time since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 58% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Brewers pitchers had an ERA of 2.98 (468.2 IP) against division opponents in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.06.
More MLB Reading:
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