- The Brewers (39-32) are -125 favorites vs the Cardinals (40-31)
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Dakota Hudson (5-3), 3.31 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Jason Alexander (1-0), 2.41 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The St. Louis Cardinals (+105) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-125) on Thursday, June 23, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Milwaukee.
The Brewers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Cardinals vs Brewers Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Cardinals are 40-31 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 30-41 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -185 | O 9.5 -120 | +105 |
| Brewers | -1.5 +150 | U 9.5 +100 | -125 |
Cardinals vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Thursday‘s matchup with 61.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Tommy Edman has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 11 away games (+6.95 Units / 30% ROI)
- Harrison Bader has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 14 away games (+6.80 Units / 48% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 10 away games (+5.35 Units / 35% ROI)
- Harrison Bader has hit the Runs Under in 7 of his last 9 away games (+3.90 Units / 22% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 11 away games (+3.85 Units / 25% ROI)
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+8.50 Units / 40% ROI)
- Andrew McCutchen has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+8.25 Units / 43% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+8.10 Units / 29% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.35 Units / 35% ROI)
- Hunter Renfroe has hit the Total Bases Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+6.00 Units / 79% ROI)
Brewers vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Jace Peterson | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Luis Urias | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Rowdy Tellez | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
Brewers vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jace Peterson | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +115 |
| Luis Urias | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
| Rowdy Tellez | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
Brewers vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jace Peterson | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Luis Urias | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Rowdy Tellez | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -185 |
Brewers vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dakota Hudson | 3.5 -140 | 3.5 -105 |
| Jason Alexander | 3.5 +120 | 3.5 -165 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Cardinals Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 66 games (+8.45 Units / 10% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 39 games (+5.70 Units / 12% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 55 games (+5.30 Units / 9% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 14 of their last 24 games (+5.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 33 games (+0.10 Units / 0% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Brewers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 29 of their last 51 games (+8.55 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.15 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 51 games (+3.45 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 8 games (+2.30 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.80 Units / 24% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 40-31 against the Run Line (+7.1 Units / 7.68% ROI).
- 40-31 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.25 Units / 3.52% ROI
- 36-31 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.55 Units / 1.97% ROI
- 31-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.3 Units / -10.63% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 30-41 against the Run Line (-12.5 Units / -14.87% ROI).
- 39-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.75 Units / -5.3% ROI
- 33-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.35 Units / -5.48% ROI
- 34-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.15 Units / -1.49% ROI
Dakota Hudson: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dakota Hudson has a strike rate of just 58% (653/1,128) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Dakota Hudson has a strike rate of just 56% (335/603) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — third Percentile.
Dakota Hudson has a strikeout rate of just 13% (39 SO in 290 PAs) this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Dakota Hudson has walked 20 of 149 left-handed batters (13%) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Jason Alexander: Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jason Alexander has not allowed a HR in any of his last four starts dating back to June 1st — Collin McHugh has the longest active streak at 8.
Jason Alexander did not walk any of the 19 batters that he faced against right-handed batters — tied for best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.
Jason Alexander has not allowed a home run in any of the last 22.1 innings he’s appeared — A.J. Minter has the longest active streak at 69.2.
Opponents batted .333 (8-for-24) against Jason Alexander — tied for 9th highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .235 — 10th Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Cardinals are 34-10 (.773) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .708.
The Cardinals are 34-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .925.
The Cardinals are just 1-29 (.033) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .075.
The Cardinals are 18-6 (.750) when scoring in the first inning this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .674.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Brewers are 26-5 (.839) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Brewers are 4-26 (.133) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .099.
The Brewers are 23-18 (.561) on the road this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Brewers are just 3-14 (.176) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .281.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have 179 extra-base hits out of 415 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
The Cardinals are batting .267 against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Cardinals hitters have 206 extra-base hits out of 487 total hits (42%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Cardinals are batting just .307 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .337.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Brewers are batting just .225 at home since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Brewers are batting just .223 at home since the start of 2020 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Brewers hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Brewers hitters are averaging 4.10 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Cardinals pitchers have walked 63 of 630 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 191 of 2,049 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 33% in close and late situations since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Brewers pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Brewers vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Luis Perdomo (Brewers): Elbow, D15
- Alex J Jackson (Brewers): Finger, D10
- Trevor Gott (Brewers): Groin, D15
- Jake O. Cousins (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Kolten Wong (Brewers): Calf, D10
- Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Forearm, D15
- Brandon Woodruff (Brewers): Ankle, D15
- Jandel Gustave (Brewers): Hamstring, D15
- Justin Topa (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Freddy Peralta (Brewers): Lat, D60
- Michael Brosseau (Brewers): Ankle, D10
- Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Hamstring, D10
- McKenzie Dickerson (Cardinals): Calf, D10
- Jordan Hicks (Cardinals): Forearm, D15
- Steven Matz (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Timothy McFarland (Cardinals): Undisclosed, D15
- Yadier Molina (Cardinals): Knee, D10
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