Cardinals vs Brewers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 23

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 23, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Brewers (39-32) are -125 favorites vs the Cardinals (40-31)
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Dakota Hudson (5-3), 3.31 ERA
  • Brewers starting pitcher: Jason Alexander (1-0), 2.41 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The St. Louis Cardinals (+105) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-125) on Thursday, June 23, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Milwaukee.

The Brewers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).

The Cardinals vs Brewers Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Cardinals are 40-31 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 30-41 ATS.

Cardinals vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cardinals+1.5 -185O 9.5 -120+105
Brewers -1.5 +150U 9.5 +100-125

Cardinals vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Thursday‘s matchup with 61.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Brewers vs Cardinals and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Tommy Edman has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 11 away games (+6.95 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Harrison Bader has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 14 away games (+6.80 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Tommy Edman has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 10 away games (+5.35 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Harrison Bader has hit the Runs Under in 7 of his last 9 away games (+3.90 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Tommy Edman has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 11 away games (+3.85 Units / 25% ROI)

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Rowdy Tellez has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+8.50 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Andrew McCutchen has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+8.25 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+8.10 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Christian Yelich has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.35 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Hunter Renfroe has hit the Total Bases Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+6.00 Units / 79% ROI)

Brewers vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew McCutchen 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Christian Yelich 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Jace Peterson 0.5 +750 0.5 -3000
Luis Urias 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Rowdy Tellez 0.5 +400 0.5 -750

Brewers vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew McCutchen 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
Christian Yelich 0.5 -275 0.5 +185
Jace Peterson 0.5 -165 0.5 +115
Luis Urias 0.5 -225 0.5 +150
Rowdy Tellez 0.5 -275 0.5 +180

Brewers vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew McCutchen 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Christian Yelich 0.5 +150 0.5 -225
Jace Peterson 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
Luis Urias 0.5 +160 0.5 -225
Rowdy Tellez 0.5 +125 0.5 -185

Brewers vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Dakota Hudson 3.5 -140 3.5 -105
Jason Alexander 3.5 +120 3.5 -165
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 66 games (+8.45 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 39 games (+5.70 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 55 games (+5.30 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 14 of their last 24 games (+5.20 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 33 games (+0.10 Units / 0% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 29 of their last 51 games (+8.55 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.15 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 51 games (+3.45 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 8 games (+2.30 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.80 Units / 24% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 40-31 against the Run Line (+7.1 Units / 7.68% ROI).

  • 40-31 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.25 Units / 3.52% ROI
  • 36-31 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.55 Units / 1.97% ROI
  • 31-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.3 Units / -10.63% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 30-41 against the Run Line (-12.5 Units / -14.87% ROI).

  • 39-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.75 Units / -5.3% ROI
  • 33-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.35 Units / -5.48% ROI
  • 34-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.15 Units / -1.49% ROI

Dakota Hudson has a strike rate of just 58% (653/1,128) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.

Dakota Hudson has a strike rate of just 56% (335/603) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — third Percentile.

Dakota Hudson has a strikeout rate of just 13% (39 SO in 290 PAs) this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.

Dakota Hudson has walked 20 of 149 left-handed batters (13%) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.

Jason Alexander: Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jason Alexander has not allowed a HR in any of his last four starts dating back to June 1st — Collin McHugh has the longest active streak at 8.

Jason Alexander did not walk any of the 19 batters that he faced against right-handed batters — tied for best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.

Jason Alexander has not allowed a home run in any of the last 22.1 innings he’s appeared — A.J. Minter has the longest active streak at 69.2.

Opponents batted .333 (8-for-24) against Jason Alexander — tied for 9th highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .235 — 10th Percentile.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Cardinals are 34-10 (.773) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .708.

The Cardinals are 34-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .925.

The Cardinals are just 1-29 (.033) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .075.

The Cardinals are 18-6 (.750) when scoring in the first inning this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .674.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Brewers are 26-5 (.839) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .796.

The Brewers are 4-26 (.133) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .099.

The Brewers are 23-18 (.561) on the road this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .486.

The Brewers are just 3-14 (.176) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .281.

Cardinals hitters have 179 extra-base hits out of 415 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

The Cardinals are batting .267 against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .245.

Cardinals hitters have 206 extra-base hits out of 487 total hits (42%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

The Cardinals are batting just .307 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .337.

The Brewers are batting just .225 at home since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

The Brewers are batting just .223 at home since the start of 2020 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Brewers hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Brewers hitters are averaging 4.10 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

Cardinals pitchers have walked 63 of 630 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Cardinals pitchers have walked 191 of 2,049 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 33% in close and late situations since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Brewers pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Brewers vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Luis Perdomo (Brewers): Elbow, D15
  • Alex J Jackson (Brewers): Finger, D10
  • Trevor Gott (Brewers): Groin, D15
  • Jake O. Cousins (Brewers): Elbow, D60
  • Kolten Wong (Brewers): Calf, D10
  • Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Forearm, D15
  • Brandon Woodruff (Brewers): Ankle, D15
  • Jandel Gustave (Brewers): Hamstring, D15
  • Justin Topa (Brewers): Elbow, D60
  • Freddy Peralta (Brewers): Lat, D60
  • Michael Brosseau (Brewers): Ankle, D10
  • Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Hamstring, D10
  • McKenzie Dickerson (Cardinals): Calf, D10
  • Jordan Hicks (Cardinals): Forearm, D15
  • Steven Matz (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
  • Timothy McFarland (Cardinals): Undisclosed, D15
  • Yadier Molina (Cardinals): Knee, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.