- The Cardinals (89-65) are -115 favorites vs the Brewers (82-71)
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas (11-13), 3.35 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Adrian Houser (6-9), 4.62 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The St. Louis Cardinals (-115) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-105) on Tuesday, September 27, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Milwaukee.
The Cardinals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Cardinals vs Brewers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Cardinals are 89-65 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 65-88 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Cardinals | -1.5 +140 | O 8.5 -110 | -115 |
Brewers | +1.5 -165 | U 8.5 -110 | -105 |
Cardinals vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 57.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jose Quintana has hit the Earned Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.30 Units / 47% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the RBIs Under in his last 11 away games (+11.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.80 Units / 56% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+8.40 Units / 62% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+8.05 Units / 29% ROI)
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Willy Adames has hit the RBIs Over in 24 of his last 45 games at home (+11.25 Units / 25% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 24 games at home (+10.85 Units / 39% ROI)
- Eric Lauer has hit the Strikeouts Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+9.35 Units / 30% ROI)
- Freddy Peralta has hit the Strikeouts Under in his last 9 games (+9.05 Units / 68% ROI)
- Hunter Renfroe has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 46 games (+9.05 Units / 19% ROI)
Brewers vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Christian Yelich | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
Garrett Mitchell | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
Hunter Renfroe | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
Kolten Wong | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
Brewers vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +115 |
Christian Yelich | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
Garrett Mitchell | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -115 |
Hunter Renfroe | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
Kolten Wong | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +130 |
Brewers vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
Christian Yelich | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
Garrett Mitchell | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -450 |
Hunter Renfroe | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
Kolten Wong | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
Brewers vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Adrian Houser | 2.5 -140 | 2.5 +100 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Cardinals Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 83 of their last 149 games (+12.05 Units / 6% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 67 games (+11.10 Units / 10% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 35 of their last 65 away games (+9.75 Units / 14% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 11 away games (+9.50 Units / 73% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 48 away games (+6.60 Units / 12% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Brewers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 71 of their last 133 games (+12.90 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games at home (+10.70 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 42 of their last 69 games at home (+10.32 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 70 of their last 133 games (+5.15 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 23 games at home (+5.05 Units / 13% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 85-69 against the Run Line (+10.7 Units / 5.53% ROI).
- 89-65 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.4 Units / 3.34% ROI
- 73-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.9 Units / -6.42% ROI
- 76-73 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.9 Units / -2.3% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 65-88 against the Run Line (-30.75 Units / -16.66% ROI).
- 82-71 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.75 Units / -8.14% ROI
- 75-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.65 Units / -1.57% ROI
- 71-75 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.25 Units / -6.09% ROI
Miles Mikolas: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Miles Mikolas has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 75.7 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season (125 balls in play) — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: 80.2
Miles Mikolas has thrown inside pitches 46% of the time (658/1,433) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 33% — 96th Percentile.
Miles Mikolas has a strikeout rate of just 17% (30 SO in 177 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — fourth Percentile.
52% of Miles Mikolas’ called strikeouts are inside this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 91st Percentile.
Adrian Houser: Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Adrian Houser has a strikeout rate of just 9% (3 SO in 35 PAs) with two-strikes this month (4 games) — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 0 Percentile.
Adrian Houser has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 53% (180/338) of opposing batters this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Hitters have chased just 95 of Adrian Houser’s 439 breaking balls down out of the zone (chase rate of 22%) since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: 35% — second Percentile.
Adrian Houser has not struck out a hitter in his last 46 PAs against a RHH dating back to September 5th — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Cardinals are 15-4 (.789) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 15-9 (.625) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 49-9 (.845) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
The Cardinals are 46-10 (.821) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Brewers are 16-8 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Brewers are just 58-11 (.841) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .881.
The Brewers are 8-55 (.127) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Brewers are 42-30 (.583) at home this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .525.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters are slugging .469 against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Cardinals hitters have 255 extra-base hits out of 591 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .804 (2,574 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .465 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Brewers are batting just .218 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
The Brewers are batting just .224 against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Brewers hitters are averaging 4.08 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Brewers hitters have 783 strikeouts in 3,139 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Brewers pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 52% against Brewers pitchers over the last 14 days (12 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Brewers vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Luis Perdomo (Brewers): Calf, D15
- Alex J Jackson (Brewers): Wrist, D60
- Trevor Rosenthal (Brewers): Hamstring, D15
- Miguel Sánchez (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Jandel Gustave (Brewers): Forearm, D15
- Jonathan Davis (Brewers): Elbow, D10
- Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Hamstring, D10
- Jordan Hicks (Cardinals): Neck, D15
- Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Hip, D60
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